J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED 29 APR · 07:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
MITO HOLLYHOCK
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
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MINS
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SECS
Best Denki Stadium
MACHIDA ZELVIA
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 32/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MIT
1 0
MAC
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS MITO HOLLYHOCK TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
MIT WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
MAC WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Severely limited data (no season stats, thin form); home advantage provides only marginal edge.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MITO HOLLYHOCK FAVORED
48%
Mito home record shows W in last appearance; Zelvia away record shows L
CONTEXT
Both teams recent form inconsistent (2-game samples only)
CONTEXT
No season-level xG, clean sheets, or standings context available
CONTEXT
WHY MACHIDA ZELVIA CHALLENGED
24%
Mito home record shows W in last appearance; Zelvia away record shows L
CONTEXT
Both teams recent form inconsistent (2-game samples only)
CONTEXT
No season-level xG, clean sheets, or standings context available
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Mito home record shows W in last appearance; Zelvia away record shows L
  • Both teams recent form inconsistent (2-game samples only)
  • No season-level xG, clean sheets, or standings context available
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%