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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MINNESOTA UNITED FC 38%
CONF 24 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT 25 APR · 20:45 LOCAL
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
5TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LOS ANGELES FC
D L W W W
· 3RD · 20 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 9' David Martínez Morales
Nkosi Tafari
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nkosi Tafari
Los Angeles FC · 95 mins
· 38% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.73
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
11
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Martínez Morales · assist Timothy Tillman
    LOS
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aaron Long · assist Ryan Porteous
    LOS
  3. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Timothy Tillman
    LOS
  4. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kelvin Yeboah
    MIN
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Stephen Eustaquio · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    David Martínez Morales · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mamadou Dieng · assist Tomás Chancalay
    MIN
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    James Rodriguez · assist Joaquín Pereyra
    MIN
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bongokuhle Hlongwane · assist Kyle Duncan
    MIN
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nectarios Triantis · assist Owen Gene
    MIN
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Wil Trapp · assist Mauricio González
    MIN
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nathan Ordaz · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  13. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryan Hollingshead
    LOS
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Artem Smoliakov · assist Sergi Palencia
    LOS
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sergi Palencia
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MINNESOTA UNITED FC AVG 7.4
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.7
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
8.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
613.0
PASSES
391.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MINNESOTA UNITED FC 10 shots
James Rodriguez
2/5
Jefferson Díaz
1/2
Anthony Markanich
0/2
Joaquín Pereyra
0/1
LOS ANGELES FC 2 shots
David Martínez Morales
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.30 – 0.73
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 9' H 2.30 A 0.73 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-3
3-4-1-2
3-4-3
7.3
12
DRAKE CAL
2
DEVIN PAD
23
MORRIS DU
 7.3
28
JEFFERSON
 7.2
13
ANTHONY M
20
WIL TRAPP
25
NECTARIOS
21
BONGOKUHL
 7.9
10
JAMES ROD
9
KELVIN YE
29
MAMADOU
1
HUGO LLOR
 7.3
4
EDDIE SEG
 8.5
91
NKOSI TAF
 7.3
33
AARON LON
29
ARTEM SMO
 7.9
11
TIMOTHY T
46
STEPHEN E
24
RYAN HOLL
99
DENIS BOU
27
NATHAN OR
 7.9
30
DAVID MAR
SUBSTITUTES · MINNESOTA UNITED FC
27
D.J. Taylor
D
5
Nicolás Rome...
D
1
Alec Smir
G
18
Mauricio Gon...
F
30
Owen Gene
M
8
Tomás Chanca...
F
26
Joaquín Pere...
M
3
Kyle Duncan
D
33
Kieran Chand...
D
COACH: Cameron Knowles
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
21
Ryan Raposo
M
19
Tyler Boyd
F
31
Cabral Carte...
G
14
Sergi Palenc...
D
22
Jude Terry
M
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
66
Mathieu Choi...
M
5
Ryan Porteou...
D
18
Jacob Shaffe...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Guido Gonzales Jr, USA
—
MIN MANAGER
Cameron Knowles
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MIN WINS
4
DRAWS
5
LOS WINS
10%
40%
50%
8 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 Jul 25
Minnesota United FC
0 – 1
Los Angeles FC
L
22 Feb 25
Los Angeles FC
1 – 0
Minnesota United FC
L
30 May 24
Los Angeles FC
2 – 0
Minnesota United FC
L
17 Mar 24
Minnesota United FC
2 – 0
Los Angeles FC
W
05 Oct 23
Los Angeles FC
5 – 1
Minnesota United FC
L
MINNESOTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L L
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
MINNESOTA UNITED FC #5
Lost · already at 17 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LOS ANGELES FC #3
Won · already at 20 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Sergi Palencia
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Artem Smoliakov
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryan Hollingshead
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nathan Ordaz
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Wil Trapp
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nectarios Triantis
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bongokuhle Hlongwane
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · James Rodriguez
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mamadou Dieng
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · David Martínez Morales
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Stephen Eustaquio
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kelvin Yeboah
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Timothy Tillman
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aaron Long
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Martínez Morales
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
MINNESOTA UNITED WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.80
DRAW
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.55
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
2.66
37.6% implied
↑ best 2.84

Market favors Minnesota United FC. AI projects MINNESOTA UNITED FC 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MINNESOTA UNITED FC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.52 3.50 2.56 +3.4%
888Sport 2.80 3.30 2.30 +2.3%
Bet365 2.50 3.40 2.75 +2.6%
Betano 2.52 3.55 2.67 +3.8%
Betfair 2.40 3.50 2.70 +3.4%
BetVictor 2.45 3.40 2.70 +2.6%
Dafabet 2.55 3.55 2.75 +3.8%
Marathonbet 2.46 3.38 2.71 +2.4%
Pinnacle 2.54 3.47 2.84 +3.2%
SBO 2.39 3.32 2.70 +1.9%
Unibet 2.50 3.55 2.60 +3.8%
William Hill 2.45 3.30 2.62 +1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.01
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.05
3.5 O 2.84 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 9 bks
NO
2.23 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.71
Away -0.5 1.53
Away -0.75 1.39
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.