GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · LINCOLN 40%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 15 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
MIDDLESBROUGH
51'
0 – 1
HT · 0-1
LINCOLN
⚽ 62' Will Lankshear ⚽ 90+1' Will Lankshear
GOALS
⚽ 12' Adam Reach
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Middlesbrough · 90'

LIVE
LINCOLN MIDDLESB

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

MIDDLESB LINCOLN
MIDDLESBRO LINCOLN 21' 36' 51'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 51'

2.22
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.62
77%
BALL POSSESSION %
23%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
10
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
57%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adam Reach · assist Tendayi Darikwa
    LIN
  2. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Freddie Draper
    LIN
  3. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Freddie Draper · assist Isaac Olaofe
    LIN
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dom Jefferies · assist Robert Street
    LIN
  5. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Will Lankshear
    MID
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Abdoulaye Kanté · assist Riley McGree
    MID
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Leo Castledine · assist Myles Peart-Harris
    MID
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Neto Borges · assist Maximilian Arfsten
    MID
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kyle Joseph · assist Jeremy Sarmiento
    MID
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ben House · assist Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
    LIN
  11. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isaac Olaofe
    LIN
  12. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Will Lankshear · assist Riley McGree
    MID
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Adam Reach · assist Tom Bayliss
    LIN
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tendayi Darikwa · assist Andrei Coubiș
    LIN
  15. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Morgan Whittaker · assist Alfie Jones
    MID
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.6
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
8.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
77.0%
POSSESSION %
23.0%
627.0
PASSES
182.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
57.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MIDDLESBROUGH 8 shots
Will Lankshear
3/4
Luke Ayling
0/2
Adilson Malanda
1/1
Myles Peart-Harris
0/1
LINCOLN 2 shots
Ben House
0/1
Adam Reach
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.22 – 0.62
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 62' 90' 12' H 2.22 A 0.62 KO 30' 60' 51'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-2-2 vs 5-3-2
4-2-2-2
5-3-2
1
RADEK VIT
30
NETO BORG
 7.9
29
ADILSON M
 7.5
12
LUKE AYLI
2
CALLUM BR
6
SEBASTIAN
42
ABDOULAYE
19
LEO CASTL
11
MORGAN WH
22
KYLE JOSE
 7.3
7
WILL LANK
1
GEORGE WI
 7.0
3
ADAM REAC
6
RYLEY TOW
25
DEJI ELER
22
THOMAS HA
2
TENDAYI D
 7.2
14
CONOR MCG
 7.2
24
IVAN VARF
16
DOM JEFFE
 7.3
18
BEN HOUSE
34
FREDDIE D
SUBSTITUTES · MIDDLESBROUGH
46
Finlay Cartw...
M
5
Alfie Jones
D
25
George Edmun...
D
31
Solomon Bryn...
G
16
Jeremy Sarmi...
F
8
Riley McGree
M
14
Myles Peart-...
M
17
Maximilian A...
D
44
Cruz Ibeh
M
COACH: Kim Hellberg
SUBSTITUTES · LINCOLN
20
Callum Elder
D
8
Tom Bayliss
M
23
Joshua Honoh...
D
4
Andrei Coubi...
D
46
Joe Gauci
G
7
Reeco Hacket...
M
17
Robert Stree...
F
19
Isaac Olaofe
F
10
Mason Melia
F
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MID · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Robert Madley, England
—
MID MANAGER
Kim Hellberg
head coach
LIN MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
MID WINS
0
DRAWS
1
LIN WINS
100%
0 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Morgan Whittaker
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tendayi Darikwa
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Adam Reach
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Will Lankshear
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isaac Olaofe
    Foul
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ben House
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kyle Joseph
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Neto Borges
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Leo Castledine
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Abdoulaye Kanté
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Will Lankshear
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dom Jefferies
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Freddie Draper
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Freddie Draper
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adam Reach
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MIDDLESBROUGH WIN
1.40
71.4% implied
↑ best 1.45
DRAW
4.59
21.8% implied
↑ best 4.80
LINCOLN WIN
7.40
13.5% implied
↑ best 10.25

Market favors Middlesbrough. AI projects LINCOLN 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LINCOLN 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.31 4.80 10.25 +30.2%
1xBet 1.42 4.45 7.19 +26.1%
888Sport 1.40 4.40 6.50 +24.6%
Bet365 1.42 4.75 6.50 +24.6%
Betano 1.45 4.55 7.00 +25.7%
Betfair 1.40 4.50 8.00 +27.5%
BetVictor 1.40 4.75 7.50 +26.7%
Dafabet 1.44 4.80 7.20 +26.1%
Marathonbet 1.42 4.40 7.10 +25.9%
Pinnacle 1.44 4.71 7.57 +26.8%
SBO 1.40 4.36 6.95 +25.6%
Unibet 1.36 4.75 8.00 +27.5%
William Hill 1.40 4.40 6.50 +24.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.02
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.74 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.89 10 bks
NO
1.82 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.53
Away -0.5 2.87
Away -0.75 2.47
Away -1 2.22
Away -1.25 1.85
Away -1.5 1.68
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.