GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · USA 76% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · THU, 02 JUL · 00:00 LOCAL
USA
1ST · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
W L D L D
· 5TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45' Folarin Balogun ⚽ 82' Malik Tillman
GOALS
Malik Tillman
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Malik Tillman
USA · 98 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 22% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.92
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.21
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
9
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Folarin Balogun
    USA
  2. 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Armin Gigović · assist Esmir Bajraktarević
    BOS
  3. 51'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ivan Šunjić · assist B. Tahirović
    BOS
  4. 51'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    E. Džeko · assist Ermin Mahmić
    BOS
  5. 64'
    Card · Red Card
    Folarin Balogun
    USA
  6. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sead Kolašinac · assist Haris Tabaković
    BOS
  7. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    N. Katić · assist Amar Memić
    BOS
  8. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    BOS
  9. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stjepan Radeljić
    BOS
  10. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Malik Tillman
    USA
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sergiño Dest · assist Sebastian Berhalter
    USA
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Christian Pulišić · assist Ricardo Pepi
    USA
  13. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Weston McKennie · assist Giovanni Reyna
    USA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
USA AVG 7.4
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
0.2
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
408.0
PASSES
441.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
USA 2 shots
Malik Tillman
1/1
Alexander Freeman
0/1
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.92 – 0.21
0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 45' 82' H 0.92 A 0.21 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 5-3-2
4-3-3
5-3-2
24
M. FREESE
 7.2
5
ANTONEE R
 7.2
13
TIM REAM
 7.3
3
CHRIS RIC
 7.2
16
ALEXANDER
 7.9
17
MALIK TIL
4
TYLER ADA
8
WESTON MC
10
CHRISTIAN
20
FOLARIN B
2
SERGIñO D
1
NIKOLA VA
5
SEAD KOLA
 6.5
21
STJEPAN R
 6.9
4
TARIK MUH
18
N. KATIć
 6.6
7
AMAR DEDI
19
KERIM ALA
14
IVAN ŠUNJ
 6.7
8
ARMIN GIG
10
ERMEDIN D
11
E. DžEKO
SUBSTITUTES · USA
7
Giovanni Rey...
M
18
Maximilian A...
M
14
Sebastian Be...
M
21
Timothy Weah
F
19
Haji Wright
F
11
Brenden Aaro...
M
26
Alex Zendeja...
F
23
Joseph Scall...
D
6
Auston Trust...
D
12
Miles Robins...
D
25
Chris Brady
G
1
M. Turner
G
9
Ricardo Pepi
F
COACH: Mauricio Pochettino
SUBSTITUTES · BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
16
A. Hadžiahme...
M
15
Amar Memić
M
17
Dženis Burni...
M
13
Ivan Bašić
M
25
Jovo Lukić
F
23
Haris Tabako...
F
3
Dennis Hadži...
D
2
N. Mujakić
D
24
Arjan Malić
D
12
Mladen Jurka...
G
22
Martin Zlomi...
G
20
Esmir Bajrak...
F
26
Ermin Mahmić
M
6
B. Tahirović
M
9
Samed Baždar
F
COACH: Sergej Barbarez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
USA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Raphael Claus, Brazil
—
USA MANAGER
Mauricio Pochettino
head coach
BOS MANAGER
Sergej Barbarez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
USA WINS
1
DRAWS
0
BOS WINS
50%
50%
1 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
0.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
19 Dec 2021
USA
1 – 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
W
29 Jan 2018
USA
0 – 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
D
USA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
USA #1
Won · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA #3
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W W D W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
W W W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W D
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
W W D D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W W D
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L W W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
W W W W D
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Weston McKennie
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Christian Pulišić
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sergiño Dest
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Malik Tillman
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stjepan Radeljić
    Holding
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · N. Katić
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sead Kolašinac
  • 64'
    Card · Red Card · Folarin Balogun
    Serious foul
  • 51'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · E. Džeko
  • 51'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ivan Šunjić
  • 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Armin Gigović
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Folarin Balogun
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
USA WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
5.02
19.9% implied
↑ best 5.35
BOSNIA & HERZEGO WIN
8.66
11.5% implied
↑ best 9.50

Market favors USA. AI projects USA 76% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS USA 76% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.35 4.90 8.10 +1.9%
1xBet 1.39 5.35 8.95 +4.1%
Bet365 1.36 5.00 8.00 +2.5%
Betano 1.42 5.10 8.25 +5.6%
Betfair 1.33 5.00 9.50 +0.8%
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 8.50 +0.8%
Dafabet 1.36 5.00 9.00 +2.5%
Marathonbet 1.38 5.30 8.90 +3.5%
Pinnacle 1.39 5.00 9.50 +4.1%
SBO 1.37 4.74 8.20 +3.0%
Unibet 1.35 5.00 9.00 +1.9%
William Hill 1.35 4.80 8.00 +1.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.37
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.92 9 bks
NO
1.83 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.99
Away -0.5 2.97
Away -0.75 2.77
Away -1 2.47
Away -1.25 2.03
Away -1.5 1.80
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.