GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · TRE FIORI 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 07 JUL · 18:30 LOCAL
TRE FIORI
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LARNE
GOALS
⚽ 45' M. Lusty
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Graham
    LAR
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam McClelland
    LAR
  3. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Lusty · assist Sam McClelland
    LAR
  4. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sam McClelland · assist B. Magee
    LAR
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    P. Mengucci · assist M. Sancisi
    TRE
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. D'Addario · assist G. Ponticelli
    TRE
  7. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Prandelli
    TRE
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Simone Rea · assist Federico Pesaresi
    TRE
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Doherty · assist J. McEneff
    LAR
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    M. Gibson · assist Joshua Ukek
    LAR
  11. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    TRE
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    T. L. Bernardi · assist N. Manara
    TRE
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    F. Benedettini · assist F. Dolcini
    TRE
  14. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Lusty
    LAR
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Graham · assist J. Simpson
    LAR
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-5-2
3-4-1-2
3-5-2
17
M. NARDI
23
ALEX SIRR
5
SIMONE RE
6
T. SYKU
24
P. MENGUC
4
BRANDO SA
29
R. BERTAN
2
A. D&APOS
20
F. BENEDE
9
M. PRANDE
10
T. L. BER
1
R. FERGUS
4
AARON DON
3
M. RIDLEY
5
SAM MCCLE
11
S. GRAHAM
15
R. DOHERT
6
C. GALLAG
26
D. BENT
23
T. COSGRO
30
M. LUSTY
45
M. GIBSON
SUBSTITUTES · TRE FIORI
27
Mohamed Ben...
F
28
L. Terenzi
M
16
F. Dolcini
M
8
L. Censoni
M
99
G. Ponticell...
D
12
Federico Pes...
D
3
Mattia Sanci...
D
33
Michele Bera...
G
25
Alex Castagn...
G
76
N. Manara
F
COACH: Matteo Cecchetti
SUBSTITUTES · LARNE
21
Leroy Millar
M
22
J. McEneff
M
25
D. Sloan
M
47
J. Simpson
M
17
Joshua Ukek
M
8
Mark Randall
M
7
C. McKendry
M
2
Logan Wallac...
D
36
Dylan Graham
G
14
B. Magee
M
19
Kevin O'Hara
F
COACH: Nathan Rooney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Artem Gasparyan, Armenia
—
TRE MANAGER
Matteo Cecchetti
head coach
LAR MANAGER
Nathan Rooney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
TRE WINS
1
DRAWS
1
LAR WINS
50%
50%
0 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
0.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Graham
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Lusty
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · F. Benedettini
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · T. L. Bernardi
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dissent
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · M. Gibson
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Doherty
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Simone Rea
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Prandelli
    Dangerous Play
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. D'Addario
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · P. Mengucci
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sam McClelland
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Lusty
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam McClelland
    Foul
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Graham
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
TRE FIORI WIN
6.97
14.3% implied
↑ best 7.90
DRAW
4.55
22% implied
↑ best 5.00
LARNE WIN
1.38
72.5% implied
↑ best 1.44

Market favors Larne. AI projects TRE FIORI 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TRE FIORI 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 7.25 4.45 1.37 +24.2%
1xBet 7.65 4.60 1.39 +24.9%
888Sport 7.00 4.40 1.40 +23.7%
Bet365 6.50 4.20 1.36 +22.6%
Betano 6.60 4.65 1.40 +22.8%
Betfair 6.50 4.60 1.33 +22.6%
BetVictor 7.50 4.80 1.40 +24.7%
Dafabet 7.00 5.00 1.44 +23.7%
Marathonbet 7.90 4.65 1.37 +25.3%
Pinnacle 6.85 4.73 1.39 +23.4%
SBO 6.09 4.17 1.34 +21.6%
Unibet 6.75 4.60 1.42 +23.2%
William Hill 7.00 4.33 1.36 +23.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.31
2.5 O 1.62 U 2.17
3.5 O 2.55 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.82 10 bks
NO
1.87 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.08
Away -0.5 1.10
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.09
Away +0.25 1.22
Away +0.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.