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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MINNESOTA UNITED FC 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
10TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D D L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ATLANTA UNITED FC
W W L L D
· 15TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 58' A. Markanich
GOALS
⚽ 37' Tomás Jacob ⚽ 78' Tristan Muyumba
Tomás Jacob
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tomás Jacob
Atlanta United FC · 83 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Minnesota United vs. Atlanta United | Full Match Highlights
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.75
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.93
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
4
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Junior Alonso
    ATL
  2. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Michael Boxall
    MIN
  3. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Pereyra
    MIN
  4. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tomás Jacob
    ATL
  5. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adrian Gill
    ATL
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  7. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Markanich
    MIN
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fafà Picault · assist Luke Brennan
    ATL
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Steven Alzate
    ATL
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bongokuhle Hlongwane · assist Mamadou Dieng
    MIN
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Caldeira · assist Aziel Jackson
    MIN
  12. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Chancalay
    MIN
  13. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tristan Muyumba · assist Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aleksey Miranchuk · assist Matthew Edwards
    ATL
  15. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Chancalay · assist K. Yeboah
    MIN
  16. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    W. Trapp · assist M. Gonzalez
    MIN
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Adrian Gill · assist Enea Mihaj
    ATL
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tristan Muyumba · assist Paulo Díaz
    ATL
  19. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Gene
    MIN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MINNESOTA UNITED FC AVG 6.9
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.9
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
396.0
PASSES
400.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MINNESOTA UNITED FC 5 shots
A. Markanich
3/5
ATLANTA UNITED FC 4 shots
Tomás Jacob
1/1
Tristan Muyumba
1/1
Stian Gregersen
0/1
Miguel Almirón
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.75 – 0.93
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 58' 37' 78' H 1.75 A 0.93 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-4-2
3-4-3
4-4-2
6.7
12
DRAKE CAL
23
MORRIS DU
15
MICHAEL B
28
JEFFERSON
 7.2
13
A. MARKAN
 6.9
20
W. TRAPP
 6.6
30
O. GENE
21
BONGOKUHL
8
T. CHANCA
22
M. CALDEI
 7.2
26
J. PEREYR
 7.3
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
6
JUNIOR AL
 7.0
5
STIAN GRE
 7.7
55
TOMáS JAC
 6.9
10
MIGUEL AL
 7.6
8
TRISTAN M
16
ADRIAN GI
48
COOPER SA
22
FAFà PICA
59
ALEKSEY M
SUBSTITUTES · MINNESOTA UNITED FC
29
Mamadou Die...
F
16
Aziel Jackso...
M
67
C. Harvey
M
18
M. Gonzalez
F
24
Julian Gress...
M
2
D. Padelford
D
3
K. Duncan
D
1
Alec Smir
G
9
K. Yeboah
F
COACH: Cameron Knowles
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
30
Cayman Togas...
F
7
Steven Alzat...
M
20
Luke Brennan
M
27
Paulo Díaz
D
2
Ronald Herná...
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
47
Matthew Edwa...
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
19
Sergio Santo...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joshua Encarnacion, USA
—
MIN MANAGER
Cameron Knowles
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
MIN WINS
0
DRAWS
4
ATL WINS
33.3%
66.7%
7 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
04 May 2024
Atlanta United FC
1 – 2
Minnesota United FC
W
29 May 2019
Atlanta United FC
3 – 0
Minnesota United FC
L
01 Apr 2018
Minnesota United FC
0 – 1
Atlanta United FC
L
03 Oct 2017
Atlanta United FC
2 – 3
Minnesota United FC
W
12 Mar 2017
Minnesota United FC
1 – 6
Atlanta United FC
L
MINNESOTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D L
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
MINNESOTA UNITED FC #10
Lost · already at 28 pts
ATLANTA UNITED FC #15
Won · already at 18 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Gene
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tristan Muyumba
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Adrian Gill
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · W. Trapp
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Chancalay
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aleksey Miranchuk
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tristan Muyumba
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Chancalay
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Caldeira
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bongokuhle Hlongwane
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fafà Picault
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Markanich
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cooper Sanchez
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adrian Gill
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tomás Jacob
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Pereyra
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · Michael Boxall
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Junior Alonso
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MINNESOTA UNITED WIN
1.65
60.6% implied
↑ best 1.68
DRAW
4.15
24.1% implied
↑ best 4.40
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
4.69
21.3% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors Minnesota United FC. AI projects MINNESOTA UNITED FC 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MINNESOTA UNITED FC 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.63 4.10 4.70 +1.6%
888Sport 1.60 4.20 4.50 +2.2%
Bet365 1.67 4.10 4.75 +1.6%
Betano 1.67 4.40 5.00 +3.3%
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.60 +1.0%
BetVictor 1.65 4.10 4.60 +1.6%
Dafabet 1.68 4.30 4.80 +2.7%
Marathonbet 1.62 4.15 4.70 +1.9%
Pinnacle 1.68 4.22 4.91 +2.3%
SBO 1.62 3.95 4.64 +0.7%
Superbet 1.67 4.20 4.60 +2.2%
Unibet 1.65 4.00 4.70 +1.0%
William Hill 1.60 4.20 4.50 +2.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.89
2.5 O 1.57 U 2.37
3.5 O 2.39 U 1.54
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.25 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.65
Away -0.5 2.24
Away -0.75 2.01
Away -1 1.75
Away -1.25 1.56
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.