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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · NASHVILLE SC 70% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 18 JUL · 00:10 LOCAL
NASHVILLE SC
1ST · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLANTA UNITED FC
L D L D L
· 15TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 79' S. Mohammed
GOALS
Brian Schwake
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Brian Schwake
Nashville SC · 96 mins
· 19% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United | Full Match Highlights | Feisty Southern Showdown!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.47
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.66
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
4
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ajani Fortune · assist William Reilly
    ATL
  2. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matthew Edwards · assist William Reilly
    ATL
  3. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Edvard Sandvik Tagseth · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  4. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Josh Bauer · assist Andy Najar
    NAS
  5. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ahmed Qasem · assist Alex Muyl
    NAS
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jack Maher · assist Jeisson Palacios
    NAS
  7. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Mohammed · assist Alex Muyl
    NAS
  8. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luke Brennan · assist Fafà Picault
    ATL
  9. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Emmanuel Latte Lath
    ATL
  10. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Mohammed
    NAS
  11. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Mohammed · assist J. Knight
    NAS
  12. 90'+11
    Card · Yellow Card
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.6
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.7
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
436.0
PASSES
485.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NASHVILLE SC 2 shots
S. Mohammed
1/1
Hany Mukhtar
1/1
ATLANTA UNITED FC 5 shots
Enea Mihaj
2/2
Miguel Almirón
1/1
Luke Brennan
1/1
Tristan Muyumba
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.47 – 1.66
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 79' H 0.47 A 1.66 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
8.6
99
BRIAN SCH
2
DANIEL LO
 7.3
3
MAXWELL W
5
JACK MAHE
22
JOSH BAUE
37
AHMED QAS
20
EDVARD SA
 7.0
16
MATTHEW C
 7.9
14
S. MOHAMM
9
SAM SURRI
 7.3
10
HANY MUKH
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
 7.0
4
ENEA MIHA
 7.0
55
TOMáS JAC
47
MATTHEW E
35
AJANI FOR
 6.7
8
TRISTAN M
48
COOPER SA
 7.3
10
MIGUEL AL
59
ALEKSEY M
 6.9
20
LUKE BREN
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
12
Charles-Emil...
M
19
Alex Muyl
M
6
Bryan Acosta
M
21
T. Williams
D
31
Andy Najar
D
23
J. Knight
D
4
Jeisson Pala...
D
1
Joe Willis
G
17
Woobens Paci...
F
COACH: Brian Callaghan
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
30
Cayman Togas...
F
9
Emmanuel Lat...
F
56
Ignacio Suar...
M
16
Adrian Gill
M
18
Pedro Amador
D
2
Ronald Herná...
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
28
William Reil...
M
22
Fafà Picault
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NAS WINS
3
DRAWS
2
ATL WINS
50%
30%
20%
16 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Apr 2026
Atlanta United FC
0 – 2
Nashville SC
W
31 Aug 2025
Nashville SC
0 – 1
Atlanta United FC
L
03 May 2025
Atlanta United FC
1 – 1
Nashville SC
D
14 Sep 2024
Atlanta United FC
0 – 2
Nashville SC
W
18 May 2024
Nashville SC
1 – 1
Atlanta United FC
D
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ATLANTA UNITED FC #15
Lost · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+11
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Mohammed
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Mohammed
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luke Brennan
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Mohammed
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jack Maher
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ahmed Qasem
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Josh Bauer
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matthew Edwards
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ajani Fortune
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NASHVILLE SC WIN
1.56
64.1% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
4.21
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.60
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
5.37
18.6% implied
↑ best 6.20

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 70% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 70% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.55 4.30 5.25 +5.5%
888Sport 1.53 4.00 5.00 +4.6%
Bet365 1.57 4.33 5.25 +6.3%
Betano 1.60 4.40 5.90 +7.5%
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.00 +4.6%
BetVictor 1.57 4.10 5.25 +6.3%
Dafabet 1.62 4.30 5.20 +8.3%
Marathonbet 1.57 4.05 5.30 +6.3%
Pinnacle 1.61 4.16 5.69 +7.9%
SBO 1.57 4.03 4.94 +6.3%
Superbet 1.48 4.60 6.20 +2.4%
Unibet 1.50 4.40 5.80 +3.3%
William Hill 1.55 4.00 5.00 +5.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.37
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.22
3.5 O 2.61 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 10 bks
NO
2.04 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.92
Away -0.5 2.43
Away -0.75 2.12
Away -1 1.84
Away -1.25 1.63
Away -1.5 1.53
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.