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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CHARLOTTE 52%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SAT, 16 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
6TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
TORONTO FC
L D D L L
· 12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Wilfried Zaha ⚽ 35' David Schnegg
GOALS
⚽ 22' Derrick Etienne Jr.
Pep Biel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pep Biel
Charlotte · 84 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 34% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Charlotte vs Toronto FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

78%
BALL POSSESSION %
83%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
374%
PASS ACCURACY %
439%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · 1-0
    Wilfried Zaha · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  2. 22'
    Goal · 1-1
    Derrick Etienne Jr. · assist Jonathan Osorio 
    TOR
  3. 30'
    Var
    Jackson Gilman
    TOR
  4. 35'
    Goal · 2-1
    David Schnegg · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  5. 49'
    Card · Foul
    Pep Biel
    CHA
  6. 54'
    Card · Foul
    Malik Henry
    TOR
  7. 58'
    Subst
    Nicksoen Gomis  · assist Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Djibril Diani · assist Brandt Bronico
    CHA
  9. 66'
    Subst
    Rodolfo Aloko · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  10. 75'
    Subst
    Archie Goodwin · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Will Cleary · assist Nathan Byrne
    CHA
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Fletcher Bank · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  13. 83'
    Card · Foul
    Jonathan Osorio 
    TOR
  14. 84'
    Penalty · 3-1
    Pep Biel
    CHA
  15. 87'
    Subst
    Luca de la Torre · assist Pep Biel
    CHA
  16. 90'+2
    Card · Time wasting
    CHA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.6
TORONTO FC AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
78.0%
POSSESSION %
83.0%
424.0
PASSES
501.0
374.0%
PASS ACCURACY
439.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLOTTE 10 shots
Wilfried Zaha
2/6
David Schnegg
2/2
Pep Biel
1/1
Morrison Agyemang
0/1
TORONTO FC 3 shots
Alonso Coello
0/1
Derrick Etienne
1/1
Walker Zimmerman
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 63%
37% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
KRISTIJAN
 7.3
23
DAVID SCH
4
ANDREW PR
 7.7
44
MORRISON
14
NATHAN BY
 7.7
8
ASHLEY WE
13
BRANDT BR
 7.6
10
WILFRIED
 7.9
16
PEP BIEL
18
KERWIN CA
9
IDAN TOKL
 6.6
1
LUKA GAVR
44
RAHEEM ED
38
JACKSON G
 6.9
25
WALKER ZI
19
KOBE FRAN
21
JONATHAN
 7.0
14
ALONSO CO
 6.9
11
DERRICK E
20
DáNIEL SA
78
MALIK HEN
17
EMILIO AR
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
7
Archie Goodw...
F
48
Aron John
M
28
Djibril Dian...
M
11
Liel Abada
F
17
Luca De La T...
M
22
Henry Kessle...
D
35
Will Cleary
D
21
Tyler Miller
G
37
Rodolfo Alok...
F
COACH: Dean Smith
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
79
Fletcher Ban...
F
15
Nickseon Gom...
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
74
Luca Costabi...
D
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
23
William Yarb...
G
91
Dekwon Barro...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Chapman
—
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHA WINS
1
DRAWS
3
TOR WINS
50%
12.5%
37.5%
12 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.88
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
26 Jul 2025
Charlotte
2 – 0
Toronto FC
W
31 May 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 2
Charlotte
W
13 Apr 2024
Charlotte
3 – 2
Toronto FC
W
09 Mar 2024
Toronto FC
1 – 0
Charlotte
L
04 Oct 2023
Charlotte
3 – 0
Toronto FC
W
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L D
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #6
Won · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
TORONTO FC #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Time wasting
    4th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Luca de la Torre
    7th Substitution
  • 84'
    Penalty · 3-1 · Pep Biel
    1st Penalty
  • 83'
    Card · Foul · Jonathan Osorio 
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Subst · Fletcher Bank
    6th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Will Cleary
    4th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Archie Goodwin
    5th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Rodolfo Aloko
    2nd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Djibril Diani
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Nicksoen Gomis 
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Foul · Malik Henry
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 49'
    Card · Foul · Pep Biel
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · 2-1 · David Schnegg
    3rd Goal
  • 30'
    Var · Jackson Gilman
    Goal disallowed
  • 22'
    Goal · 1-1 · Derrick Etienne Jr.
    2nd Goal
  • 19'
    Goal · 1-0 · Wilfried Zaha
    1st Goal
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
1.71
58.5% implied
↑ best 1.74
DRAW
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.06
TORONTO FC WIN
4.50
22.2% implied
↑ best 4.75

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.80 4.40 -0.3%
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.50 +1.0%
Betano 1.72 3.95 4.75 +0.9%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.50 +0.4%
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.33 -0.3%
Dafabet 1.74 4.00 4.60 +1.0%
Marathonbet 1.68 3.90 4.55 +0.4%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.06 4.65 +1.4%
SBO 1.69 3.78 4.34 -0.5%
Unibet 1.72 3.85 4.50 +0.0%
William Hill 1.67 3.70 4.40 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.18
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.12
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 8 bks
NO
2.10 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.55
Away -0.5 2.14
Away -0.75 1.89
Away -1 1.64
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.39
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.