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Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · GROUP 13 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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BALA AZUL
FT
3 – 4
FULL TIME
MULEñO
⚽ 43' M. Ali ⚽ 66' I. Acosta Garrido ⚽ 73' I. Acosta Garrido
GOALS
⚽ 18' A. Blaya ⚽ 22' A. Serrano ⚽ 80' J. Lucas ⚽ 88' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 71/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
BAL
0 – 2
MUL
most likely scoreline · 13.0% probability
AI PICKS MULEñO TO WIN 57%
FT 3 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
BAL WIN 15%
DRAW 28%
MUL WIN 57%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 77.83% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 78% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Muleño 2-0 up at 24' with 67 min remaining; Bala Azul would need exceptional comeback given weak recent form.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY BALA AZUL CHALLENGED
15%
Muleño leads 2-0 at minute 24 — dominant start, unlikely to surrender
CONTEXT
Bala Azul form LWD (inconsistent); Muleño form WLD (trending up)
CONTEXT
H2H asymmetry favors Muleño (2-1 recent win); Bala Azul lost last meeting
CONTEXT
WHY MULEñO FAVORED
57%
Muleño leads 2-0 at minute 24 — dominant start, unlikely to surrender
CONTEXT
Bala Azul form LWD (inconsistent); Muleño form WLD (trending up)
CONTEXT
H2H asymmetry favors Muleño (2-1 recent win); Bala Azul lost last meeting
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Muleño leads 2-0 at minute 24 — dominant start, unlikely to surrender
  • Bala Azul form LWD (inconsistent); Muleño form WLD (trending up)
  • H2H asymmetry favors Muleño (2-1 recent win); Bala Azul lost last meeting
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 18' A. BLAYA ⚽ 22' A. SERRANO ⚽ 43' M. ALI ⚽ 66' I. ACOSTA ⚽ 73' I. ACOSTA ⚽ 80' J. LUCAS ⚽ 88'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 7 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
11.9
13.0
9.4
5.1
2.2
0.8
1
4.0
8.7
9.5
6.8
3.7
1.6
0.6
2
1.5
3.2
3.5
2.5
1.4
0.6
0.2
3
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 13.0%
0 — 1 11.9%
1 — 2 9.5%
0 — 3 9.4%
1 — 1 8.7%
Top 5 = 52.4% · rest 47.6%