GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–4 · VALENCIA 74% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
REAL SOCIEDAD
10TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L D L
FT
3 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
VALENCIA
D W L W D
· 9TH · 46 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 8' Javi Guerra ⚽ 22' Hugo Duro ⚽ 89' Guido Rodríguez ⚽ 90+3' Javi Guerra
Javier Guerra
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Javier Guerra
Valencia · 97 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 26% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Real Sociedad vs Valencia
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

112%
BALL POSSESSION %
86%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
410%
PASS ACCURACY %
321%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 10 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-1
    Javi Guerra · assist Diego López
    VAL
  2. 22'
    Goal · 1-2
    Hugo Duro · assist Eray Cömert
    VAL
  3. 70'
    Card · Professional foul last man
    Eray Cömert
    VAL
  4. 73'
    Subst
    Thierry Correia · assist Filip Ugrinic
    VAL
  5. 73'
    Subst
    Pepelu · assist Diego López
    VAL
  6. 74'
    Subst
    Largie Ramazani · assist Luis Rioja
    VAL
  7. 74'
    Subst
    Umar Sadiq · assist Hugo Duro
    VAL
  8. 83'
    Subst
    André Almeida · assist Unai Núñez
    VAL
  9. 89'
    Goal · 3-3
    Guido Rodríguez · assist André Almeida
    VAL
  10. 90'+3
    Goal · 3-4
    Javi Guerra · assist Thierry Correia
    VAL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SOCIEDAD AVG 7.3
VALENCIA AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
0.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
112.0%
POSSESSION %
86.0%
491.0
PASSES
412.0
410.0%
PASS ACCURACY
321.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SOCIEDAD 5 shots
Orri Óskarsson
2/3
Mikel Oyarzabal
0/1
Aihen Muñoz
1/1
VALENCIA 6 shots
Javier Guerra
3/4
Guido Rodríguez
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
ÁLEX REMI
 6.9
3
AIHEN MUñ
5
IGOR ZUBE
31
JON MARTI
6
ARITZ ELU
18
CARLOS SO
8
BEñAT TUR
21
ARSEN ZAK
 7.2
23
BRAIS MéN
15
PABLO MAR
 8.0
9
ORRI ÓSKA
1
STOLE DIM
 6.9
21
JESúS VáZ
24
ERAY CöME
5
CéSAR TáR
4
UNAI NúñE
16
DIEGO LóP
 8.5
2
GUIDO ROD
23
FILIP UGR
11
LUIS RIOJ
9
HUGO DURO
 9.2
8
JAVIER GU
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SOCIEDAD
11
Gonçalo Gued...
F
46
Ibai Aguirre
M
22
Wesley
F
12
Yangel Herre...
M
14
Takefusa Kub...
F
38
Luken Beitia
D
2
Jon Aramburu
D
13
Unai Marrero
G
10
Mikel Oyarza...
F
24
Luka Sučić
M
17
Sergio Gómez
F
42
Gorka Carrer...
F
COACH: Pellegrino Matarazzo
SUBSTITUTES · VALENCIA
22
Baptiste San...
M
10
André Almeid...
M
19
Dani Raba
F
27
David Otorbi
F
18
Pepelu
M
26
Rubén Iranzo
D
36
Marcos Navar...
D
25
Julen Agirre...
G
17
Largie Ramaz...
F
6
Umar Sadiq
F
12
Thierry Corr...
D
7
Arnaut Danju...
F
COACH: Carlos Corberan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Iosu Galech Apezteguia, Spain
—
REA MANAGER
Pellegrino Matarazzo
head coach
VAL MANAGER
Carlos Corberan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
5
DRAWS
2
VAL WINS
30%
50%
20%
9 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 Aug 2025
Valencia
1 – 1
Real Sociedad
D
19 Jan 2025
Valencia
1 – 0
Real Sociedad
L
28 Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
3 – 0
Valencia
W
16 May 2024
Real Sociedad
1 – 0
Valencia
W
27 Sep 2023
Valencia
0 – 1
Real Sociedad
W
REAL SOCIEDAD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D L
VALENCIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–4 · result locked
REAL SOCIEDAD #10
Lost · already at 45 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
VALENCIA #9
Won · already at 46 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 37 31 1 5 +61 94
W L W W W
2 Real Madrid 37 26 5 6 +40 83
W W L W D
3 Villarreal 37 21 6 10 +22 69
L L D W W
4 Atletico Madrid 37 21 6 10 +22 69
W W L W W
5 Real Betis 37 14 15 8 +10 57
L W D W D
6 Celta Vigo 37 13 12 12 +4 51
D L W W L
7 Getafe 37 14 6 17 -7 48
L W D L L
8 Rayo Vallecano 37 11 14 12 -4 47
W D D W D
9 Valencia 37 12 10 15 -11 46
W D W L W
10 Real Sociedad 37 11 12 14 -2 45
L D D L D
11 Espanyol 37 12 9 16 -12 45
W W L L D
12 Athletic Club 37 13 6 18 -13 45
D L L W L
13 Sevilla 37 12 7 18 -13 43
L W W W L
14 Alaves 37 11 10 16 -11 43
W W D L W
15 Levante 37 11 9 17 -13 42
W W W L D
16 Osasuna 37 11 9 17 -5 42
L L L L W
17 Elche 37 10 12 15 -8 42
W L D L W
18 Girona 37 9 13 15 -16 40
L D D L L
19 Mallorca 37 10 9 18 -13 39
L L D W L
20 Oviedo 37 6 11 20 -31 29
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · 3-4 · Javi Guerra
    6th Goal
  • 89'
    Goal · 3-3 · Guido Rodríguez
    5th Goal
  • 83'
    Subst · André Almeida
    9th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Umar Sadiq
    7th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Largie Ramazani
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Pepelu
    5th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Thierry Correia
    4th Substitution
  • 70'
    Card · Professional foul last man · Eray Cömert
    1st Redcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 22'
    Goal · 1-2 · Hugo Duro
    3rd Goal
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-1 · Javi Guerra
    2nd Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SOCIEDAD WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.50
DRAW
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.33
VALENCIA WIN
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.18

Market favors Real Sociedad. AI projects VALENCIA 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VALENCIA 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.38 3.20 2.98 +40.4%
1xBet 2.50 3.33 3.18 +42.6%
888Sport 2.38 3.20 2.90 +39.5%
Bet365 2.40 3.10 3.10 +41.7%
Betano 2.45 3.20 3.05 +41.2%
Betfair 2.38 3.10 3.10 +41.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.25 3.10 +41.7%
Dafabet 2.43 3.30 3.05 +41.2%
Marathonbet 2.47 3.28 3.10 +41.7%
Pinnacle 2.46 3.32 3.13 +42.1%
SBO 2.43 3.06 2.93 +39.9%
Unibet 2.48 3.20 2.95 +40.1%
William Hill 2.38 3.20 3.00 +40.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.52
2.5 O 1.92 U 1.89
3.5 O 3.18 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 10 bks
NO
2.12 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.79
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.