GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SAT, 21 FEB · 15:00 LOCAL
WATFORD
16TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
DERBY
L W L W L
· 8TH · 69 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Luca Kjerrumgaard ⚽ 90' Mamadou Doumbia
GOALS
Jeremy Ngakia
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jeremy Ngakia
Watford · 90 mins
· 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.54
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
5
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
77%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Kjerrumgaard
    WAT
  2. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Clarke
    DER
  3. 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Othmane Maamma · assist Giorgi Chakvetadze
    WAT
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Giorgi Chakvetadze
    WAT
  5. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Callum Elder
    DER
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Callum Elder · assist Derry Murkin
    DER
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rhian Brewster · assist Carlton Morris
    DER
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    David Ozoh · assist Bobby Clark
    DER
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luca Kjerrumgaard · assist Mamadou Doumbia
    WAT
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nestory Irankunda · assist Kwadwo Baah
    WAT
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ben Brereton Díaz · assist Oscar Fraulo
    DER
  12. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mamadou Doumbia
    WAT
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    WAT
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Saba Goglichidze · assist Matthew Pollock
    WAT
  15. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mamadou Doumbia · assist Marc Bola
    WAT
  16. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lewis Travis · assist C. Allen
    DER
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
WATFORD AVG 7.7
DERBY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
0.5
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
8.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
359.0
PASSES
424.0
77.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
WATFORD 4 shots
Nestory Irankunda
2/2
Jeremy Ngakia
1/1
Luca Kjerrumgaard
1/1
DERBY 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.30 – 0.54
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 5' 90' H 1.30 A 0.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
EGIL SELV
 7.7
21
STEPHEN M
3
SABA GOGL
25
JAMES ABA
 7.9
2
JEREMY NG
23
NAMPALYS
10
IMRâN LOU
42
OTHMANE M
39
EDO KAYEM
 7.7
66
NESTORY I
 7.7
9
LUCA KJER
 7.7
31
JOSH VICK
20
CALLUM EL
 6.9
5
MATTHEW C
28
DION SAND
23
JOE WARD
 6.7
27
LEWIS TRA
18
DAVID OZO
10
RHIAN BRE
19
SAMMIE SZ
25
BEN BRERE
 6.7
7
PATRICK A
SUBSTITUTES · WATFORD
20
Mamadou Doum...
F
17
Pierre Ekwah
M
16
Marc Bola
D
15
Edoardo Bove
M
8
Giorgi Chakv...
M
7
Thomas Ince
M
6
Matthew Poll...
D
12
Nathan Baxte...
G
34
Kwadwo Baah
F
COACH: Edward Still
SUBSTITUTES · DERBY
44
Isaac Gordon
D
42
Bobby Clark
M
37
Owen Eames
M
29
Oscar Fraulo
M
9
Carlton Morr...
F
3
Craig Forsyt...
D
2
Derry Murkin
D
12
Richard O'Do...
G
54
C. Allen
COACH: John Eustace
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
WAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
David Webb, England
—
WAT MANAGER
Edward Still
head coach
DER MANAGER
John Eustace
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
WAT WINS
1
DRAWS
3
DER WINS
60%
10%
30%
19 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Nov 2025
Derby
2 – 3
Watford
W
18 Jan 2025
Derby
0 – 2
Watford
W
24 Aug 2024
Watford
2 – 1
Derby
W
19 Feb 2021
Watford
2 – 1
Derby
W
16 Oct 2020
Derby
0 – 1
Watford
W
WATFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
DERBY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
WATFORD #16
Won · already at 57 pts
DERBY #8
Lost · already at 69 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lewis Travis
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mamadou Doumbia
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Saba Goglichidze
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mamadou Doumbia
    Foul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ben Brereton Díaz
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nestory Irankunda
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luca Kjerrumgaard
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · David Ozoh
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rhian Brewster
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Callum Elder
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Callum Elder
    Foul
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Giorgi Chakvetadze
    Time wasting
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Othmane Maamma
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Clarke
    Foul
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Kjerrumgaard
MATCH WINNER ODDS
Bookmaker odds not yet published. Check back closer to kickoff.