GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · FEYENOORD 48%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT, 25 APR · 14:30 LOCAL
FEYENOORD
2ND · 62 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
GRONINGEN
W L D W W
· 9TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Jordan Bos ⚽ 22' A. Ueda (P) ⚽ 67' A. Ueda
GOALS
⚽ 86' Thom van Bergen
A. Ueda
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Ueda
Feyenoord · 92 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 14% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: Feyenoord vs Groningen
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.64
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.46
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jordan Bos · assist Luciano Valente
    FEY
  2. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Etienne Vaessen
    GRO
  3. 22'
    Goal · Penalty
    A. Ueda
    FEY
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dies Janse
    GRO
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gernot Trauner · assist Jeremiah St Juste
    FEY
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jordan Bos · assist Givairo Read
    FEY
  7. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Ueda · assist Oussama Targhalline
    FEY
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Younes Taha · assist Ryan Metu
    GRO
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    David van der Werff · assist Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
    GRO
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tobias van den Elshout · assist Jordan Lotomba
    FEY
  11. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tsuyoshi Watanabe · assist Raheem Sterling
    FEY
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tika de Jonge · assist Travis Hernes
    GRO
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Thijs Kraaijeveld · assist Ilai Grootfaam 
    FEY
  14. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thom van Bergen · assist Dies Janse
    GRO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FEYENOORD AVG 7.7
GRONINGEN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.5
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
415.0
PASSES
446.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
15.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FEYENOORD 4 shots
A. Ueda
3/3
Jordan Bos
1/1
GRONINGEN 3 shots
Thom van Bergen
1/2
Dies Janse
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.64 – 1.46
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 11' 22' 67' 86' H 1.64 A 1.46 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
22
TIMON WEL
 8.2
15
JORDAN BO
4
TSUYOSHI
 7.3
18
GERNOT TR
20
MATS DEIJ
24
THIJS KRA
 7.2
28
OUSSAMA T
44
TOBIAS VA
10
LUCIANO V
23
ANIS HADJ
 8.3
9
A. UEDA
1
ETIENNE V
 6.6
43
MARVIN PE
 7.5
4
DIES JANS
3
THIJMEN B
5
MARCO REN
 7.3
18
TYGO LAND
8
TIKA DE J
14
JORG SCHR
17
DAVID VAN
10
YOUNES TA
 7.7
26
THOM VAN
SUBSTITUTES · FEYENOORD
79
Ilai Grootfa...
M
32
Aymen Sliti
F
17
Casper Tengs...
F
19
Raheem Sterl...
F
27
Gaoussou Dia...
F
8
Jeremiah St...
D
26
Givairo Read
D
30
Jordan Lotom...
D
13
Steven Benda
G
39
Liam Bossin
G
11
Gonçalo Borg...
F
COACH: Robin van Persie
SUBSTITUTES · GRONINGEN
20
Mats Seuntje...
M
7
Travis Herne...
M
34
Ryan Metu
F
9
Brynjólfur D...
F
44
Jismerai Dil...
M
15
Elvis Van de...
D
22
Sven Bouland
D
16
Tyrique Merc...
D
2
Wouter Prins
D
21
Hidde Jurjus
G
13
Lovro Štublj...
G
27
Rui Mendes
F
COACH: Dick Lukkien
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FEY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. Makkelie
—
FEY MANAGER
Robin van Persie
head coach
GRO MANAGER
Dick Lukkien
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
FEY WINS
4
DRAWS
0
GRO WINS
60%
40%
17 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 2025
Groningen
0 – 1
Feyenoord
W
02 Apr 2025
Feyenoord
4 – 1
Groningen
W
14 Sep 2024
Groningen
2 – 2
Feyenoord
D
04 Mar 2023
Feyenoord
1 – 0
Groningen
W
15 Jan 2023
Groningen
0 – 3
Feyenoord
W
FEYENOORD LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
GRONINGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
FEYENOORD #2
Won · already at 62 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
GRONINGEN #9
Lost · already at 45 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 3 4 +52 81
W D W W W
2 Feyenoord 33 18 8 7 +24 62
D W W D D
3 Twente 33 15 13 5 +23 58
W D D W W
4 NEC Nijmegen 33 15 11 7 +23 56
L D D D W
5 Ajax 33 14 13 6 +21 55
L D W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 33 14 9 10 +7 51
D D D W W
7 Utrecht 33 14 8 11 +11 50
W W L W L
8 Heerenveen 33 14 8 11 +4 50
L W W L W
9 Groningen 33 13 6 14 +3 45
W L L D W
10 Sparta Rotterdam 33 12 7 14 -21 43
L D L L D
11 Fortuna Sittard 33 11 6 16 -12 39
W L L D L
12 GO Ahead Eagles 33 8 14 11 +2 38
L D D D W
13 PEC Zwolle 33 9 10 14 -25 37
L W L D L
14 Excelsior 33 9 8 16 -14 35
D W W D L
15 Telstar 33 8 10 15 -7 34
W D W L L
16 FC Volendam 33 8 8 17 -19 32
D L W L D
17 NAC Breda 33 6 10 17 -23 28
W L L D D
18 Heracles 33 5 4 24 -49 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thom van Bergen
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Thijs Kraaijeveld
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tika de Jonge
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tsuyoshi Watanabe
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tobias van den Elshout
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · David van der Werff
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Younes Taha
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Ueda
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jordan Bos
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gernot Trauner
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dies Janse
    Tripping
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 22'
    Goal · Penalty · A. Ueda
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Etienne Vaessen
    Tripping
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jordan Bos
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FEYENOORD WIN
1.65
60.6% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
4.23
23.6% implied
↑ best 4.50
GRONINGEN WIN
4.56
21.9% implied
↑ best 4.80

Market favors Feyenoord. AI projects FEYENOORD 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FEYENOORD 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 4.10 4.60 +3.6%
1xBet 1.68 4.37 4.62 +5.1%
888Sport 1.62 4.00 4.40 +3.0%
Bet365 1.65 4.33 4.33 +4.9%
Betano 1.70 4.50 4.75 +5.8%
Betfair 1.62 4.20 4.60 +4.2%
BetVictor 1.65 4.10 4.60 +3.6%
Dafabet 1.68 4.40 4.60 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.63 4.25 4.50 +4.5%
Pinnacle 1.68 4.46 4.63 +5.6%
SBO 1.63 4.02 4.44 +3.1%
Unibet 1.61 4.30 4.80 +4.7%
William Hill 1.62 4.00 4.40 +3.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.01
2.5 O 1.52 U 2.42
3.5 O 2.32 U 1.59
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.55 10 bks
NO
2.30 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.62
Away -0.5 2.24
Away -0.75 1.99
Away -1 1.74
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.47
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.