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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MANCHESTER CITY 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SAT, 09 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
MANCHESTER CITY
2ND · 77 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
BRENTFORD
W L D D D
· 8TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 60' Jérémy Doku ⚽ 75' Erling Haaland ⚽ 90+2' Omar Marmoush
GOALS
J. Doku
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
J. Doku
Manchester City · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 44% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Manchester City vs Brentford
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HIGHLIGHTS! City keep up pressure in title race a…
Premier League: Manchester City vs Brentford
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

110%
BALL POSSESSION %
63%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
4
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
397%
PASS ACCURACY %
244%
10
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 36'
    Card · Argument
    Bernardo Silva  
    MAN
  2. 60'
    Subst
    Phil Foden · assist Tijjani Reijnders
    MAN
  3. 60'
    Subst
    Omar Marmoush · assist Rayan Cherki
    MAN
  4. 60'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jérémy Doku
    MAN
  5. 61'
    Subst
    Vitaly Janelt · assist Aaron Hickey
    BRE
  6. 68'
    Subst
    Dango Ouattara · assist Mikkel Damsgaard
    BRE
  7. 74'
    Card · Foul
    Nico O'Reilly
    MAN
  8. 75'
    Goal · 2-0
    Erling Haaland
    MAN
  9. 79'
    Subst
    Jordan Henderson · assist Yegor Yarmolyuk
    BRE
  10. 80'
    Card · Foul
    Kristoffer Ajer
    BRE
  11. 88'
    Card · Argument
    Jordan Henderson
    BRE
  12. 88'
    Card · Argument
    Matheus Nunes
    MAN
  13. 90'
    Subst
    Savinho · assist Jérémy Doku
    MAN
  14. 90'+2
    Goal · 3-0
    Omar Marmoush · assist Erling Haaland
    MAN
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting
    Omar Marmoush
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 8.0
BRENTFORD AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
10.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
110.0%
POSSESSION %
63.0%
463.0
PASSES
320.0
397.0%
PASS ACCURACY
244.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
2.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
14.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER CITY 5 shots
J. Doku
2/2
Bernardo Silva
0/2
Antoine Semenyo
0/1
BRENTFORD 1 shots
Aaron Hickey
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 67%
33% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
25
GIANLUIGI
33
NICO O'RE
6
NATHAN AK
 7.5
15
MARC GUéH
 7.3
27
MATHEUS N
 7.2
20
BERNARDO
4
TIJJANI R
 10.0
11
J. DOKU
10
RAYAN CHE
 8.0
42
ANTOINE S
9
ERLING HA
 8.9
1
CAOIMHIN
23
KEANE LEW
22
NATHAN CO
 6.7
20
KRISTOFFE
33
MICHAEL K
24
MIKKEL DA
 7.0
2
AARON HIC
8
MATHIAS J
 6.9
18
YEHOR YAR
9
IGOR THIA
7
KEVIN SCH
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
47
Phil Foden
M
26
Savinho
F
14
Nico Gonzále...
M
8
Mateo Kovači...
M
21
Rayan Aït-No...
D
5
John Stones
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
1
James Traffo...
G
7
Omar Marmous...
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
SUBSTITUTES · BRENTFORD
27
Vitaly Janel...
M
19
Dango Ouatta...
F
11
Reiss Nelson
F
10
Josh Dasilva
M
6
Jordan Hende...
M
5
Ethan Pinnoc...
D
4
Sepp van den...
D
12
Hákon Rafn V...
G
47
Kaye Furo
F
COACH: Keith Andrews
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Michael Salisbury, England
—
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
BRE MANAGER
Keith Andrews
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
MAN WINS
1
DRAWS
2
BRE WINS
70%
10%
20%
15 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Brentford
0 – 1
Manchester City
W
14 Jan 2025
Brentford
2 – 2
Manchester City
D
14 Sep 2024
Manchester City
2 – 1
Brentford
W
20 Feb 2024
Manchester City
1 – 0
Brentford
W
05 Feb 2024
Brentford
1 – 3
Manchester City
W
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
BRENTFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Won · already at 77 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
BRENTFORD #8
Lost · already at 51 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 +15 65
D W W W L
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 59
D L W W W
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 +4 59
D L L W D
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 53
W L W D W
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 51
L W L D D
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
10 Everton 36 13 10 13 0 49
D D L L D
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 48
L L W D L
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 48
D D L L W
13 Newcastle 36 13 7 16 -2 46
D W L L L
14 Leeds 36 10 14 12 -5 44
D W D W W
15 Crystal Palace 36 11 11 14 -9 44
L D L L D
16 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 -2 43
D W W W D
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 36 9 9 18 -20 36
L L W D W
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 18
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting · Omar Marmoush
    6th Yellowcard
  • 90'+2
    Goal · 3-0 · Omar Marmoush
    3rd Goal
  • 90'
    Subst · Savinho
    6th Substitution
  • 88'
    Card · Argument · Matheus Nunes
    5th Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Card · Argument · Jordan Henderson
    4th Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Card · Foul · Kristoffer Ajer
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 79'
    Subst · Jordan Henderson
    5th Substitution
  • 75'
    Goal · 2-0 · Erling Haaland
    2nd Goal
  • 74'
    Card · Foul · Nico O'Reilly
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 68'
    Subst · Dango Ouattara
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Vitaly Janelt
    3rd Substitution
  • 60'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jérémy Doku
    1st Goal
  • 60'
    Subst · Omar Marmoush
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Phil Foden
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 36'
    Card · Argument · Bernardo Silva  
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.38
72.5% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
5.42
18.5% implied
↑ best 5.75
BRENTFORD WIN
7.23
13.8% implied
↑ best 8.00

Market favors Manchester City. AI projects MANCHESTER CITY 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER CITY 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.36 5.25 7.00 -0.3%
1xBet 1.41 5.63 7.24 +0.2%
888Sport 1.36 5.00 7.00 -0.3%
Bet365 1.36 5.50 7.00 -0.2%
Betano 1.42 5.30 7.80 +1.2%
Betfair 1.36 5.50 7.50 +0.7%
BetVictor 1.36 5.50 7.00 -0.2%
Dafabet 1.40 5.60 6.80 +0.1%
Marathonbet 1.40 5.60 7.20 +0.1%
Pinnacle 1.39 5.60 7.75 +1.1%
SBO 1.36 5.22 6.66 -1.0%
Unibet 1.34 5.75 8.00 +1.5%
William Hill 1.36 5.00 7.00 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.80
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.12
3.5 O 1.92 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 10 bks
NO
2.42 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.74
Away -0.5 3.02
Away -0.75 2.71
Away -1 2.42
Away -1.25 2.05
Away -1.5 1.82
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.