GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BOLOGNA 42%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT 25 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
BOLOGNA
9TH · 48 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
AS ROMA
D W L W L
· 6TH · 61 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 7' Donyell Malen ⚽ 45+1' Neil El Aynaoui
Donyell Malen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Donyell Malen
AS Roma · 77 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 15% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.47
60%
BALL POSSESSION %
40%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
7
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
7
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Donyell Malen · assist Neil El Aynaoui
    AS
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Neil El Aynaoui · assist Donyell Malen
    AS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Juan Miranda · assist Nadir Zortea
    BOL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Santiago Castro · assist Jens Odgaard
    BOL
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Zeki Çelik · assist Devyne Rensch
    AS
  6. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mario Hermoso
    AS
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mario Hermoso · assist Daniele Ghilardi
    AS
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matías Soulé · assist Robinio Vaz
    AS
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Mário · assist Lorenzo De Silvestri
    BOL
  10. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Devyne Rensch
    AS
  11. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Neil El Aynaoui
    AS
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Donyell Malen · assist Paulo Dybala
    AS
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Riccardo Orsolini · assist Nicolò Cambiaghi
    BOL
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Eivind Helland · assist Martin Vitík
    BOL
  15. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Niccolò Pisilli · assist Jan Ziółkowski
    AS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BOLOGNA AVG 6.8
AS ROMA AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.5
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
60.0%
POSSESSION %
40.0%
519.0
PASSES
341.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
7.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOLOGNA 4 shots
Riccardo Orsolini
1/4
AS ROMA 3 shots
Donyell Malen
1/2
Neil El Aynaoui
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.71 – 1.47
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 7' 45' H 0.71 A 1.47 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
13
FEDERICO
14
TORBJøRN
26
JHON LUCU
5
EIVIND HE
33
JUAN MIRA
19
LEWIS FER
8
REMO FREU
17
JOãO MáRI
11
JONATHAN
 6.7
7
RICCARDO
9
SANTIAGO
 7.0
99
MILE SVIL
22
MARIO HER
5
EVAN NDIC
 7.2
23
GIANLUCA
43
WESLEY
61
NICCOLò P
4
BRYAN CRI
19
ZEKI ÇELI
 7.2
8
NEIL EL A
18
MATíAS SO
 9.0
14
DONYELL M
SUBSTITUTES · BOLOGNA
4
Tommaso Pobe...
M
21
Jens Odgaard
F
30
Benjamín Dom...
F
6
Nikola Moro
M
28
Nicolò Cambi...
F
23
Simon Sohm
M
29
Lorenzo De S...
D
22
Charalampos...
D
41
Martin Vitík
D
20
Nadir Zortea
D
82
Matteo Franc...
G
25
Massimo Pess...
G
73
Francesco Ca...
F
COACH: Vincenzo Italiano
SUBSTITUTES · AS ROMA
21
Paulo Dybala
F
97
Bryan Zarago...
F
20
Lorenzo Vent...
F
92
Stephan El S...
F
3
Angeliño
D
12
Konstantinos...
D
87
Daniele Ghil...
D
24
Jan Ziółkows...
D
2
Devyne Rensc...
D
70
Giorgio De M...
G
95
Pierluigi Go...
G
78
Robinio Vaz
F
COACH: Piero Gasperini Gian
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marco Di Bello, Italy
—
BOL MANAGER
Vincenzo Italiano
head coach
AS MANAGER
Piero Gasperini Gian
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
BOL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
AS WINS
40%
30%
30%
15 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Mar 26
AS Roma
3 – 4
Bologna
W
12 Mar 26
Bologna
1 – 1
AS Roma
D
23 Aug 25
AS Roma
1 – 0
Bologna
L
12 Jan 25
Bologna
2 – 2
AS Roma
D
10 Nov 24
AS Roma
2 – 3
Bologna
W
BOLOGNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L W
AS ROMA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
BOLOGNA #9
Lost · already at 48 pts
AS ROMA #6
Won · already at 61 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 +49 79
D W W W D
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 +19 69
W L D W W
3 AC Milan 34 19 10 5 +21 67
D W L L W
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 +28 64
D W W W D
5 Como 34 17 10 7 +31 61
W L L D W
6 AS Roma 34 19 4 11 +19 61
W D W L W
7 Atalanta 34 14 12 8 +15 54
L D L W W
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 +4 48
D W L D W
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 +1 48
L L W W L
10 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 -3 46
D W L W D
11 Udinese 34 12 8 14 -5 44
D L W D W
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 -15 42
W W D D L
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 -17 41
D D W W L
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 -8 39
L W W L L
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 -7 37
D D W W D
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 -13 36
W L W L L
17 Lecce 34 7 8 19 -24 29
D D L L L
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 -25 28
L D L L W
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 -33 19
D L L L L
20 Pisa 34 2 12 20 -37 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Niccolò Pisilli
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Eivind Helland
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Riccardo Orsolini
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Donyell Malen
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Neil El Aynaoui
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Devyne Rensch
    Tripping
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Mário
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matías Soulé
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mario Hermoso
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mario Hermoso
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Zeki Çelik
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Santiago Castro
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Juan Miranda
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Neil El Aynaoui
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Donyell Malen
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BOLOGNA WIN
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.56
DRAW
3.19
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.35
AS ROMA WIN
2.23
44.8% implied
↑ best 2.32

Market favors AS Roma. AI projects BOLOGNA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOLOGNA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.20 3.25 2.20 +10.8%
1xBet 3.56 3.31 2.32 +13.9%
888Sport 3.10 3.00 2.25 +9.7%
Bet365 3.50 3.10 2.20 +13.4%
Betano 3.35 3.35 2.20 +12.1%
Betfair 3.40 3.10 2.20 +12.6%
BetVictor 3.30 3.30 2.20 +11.7%
Dafabet 3.45 3.25 2.26 +13.0%
Marathonbet 3.50 3.26 2.28 +13.4%
Pinnacle 3.51 3.32 2.26 +13.5%
SBO 3.26 3.10 2.23 +11.3%
Unibet 3.40 3.15 2.18 +12.6%
William Hill 3.10 3.00 2.25 +9.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.34 U 3.15
2.5 O 2.10 U 1.74
3.5 O 3.73 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.81 10 bks
NO
1.93 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.44
Away -0.5 1.34
Away -0.75 1.22
Away -1 1.11
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.