GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · FRI, 21 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
MARSEILLE
5TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L D L
84'
2 – 0
HT · 0-0
STRASBOURG
W W D L L
· 8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 46' A. Gouiri ⚽ 66' A. Gouiri (P)
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Strasbourg · 79'

LIVE
STRASBOU MARSEILL

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

MARSEILL STRASBOU
⚽ 66' MARSEILLE STRASBOURG 54' 69' 84'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 84'

0.98
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.15
65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
4
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Gouiri · assist A. Gomes
    MAR
  2. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Amo-Ameyaw
    STR
  3. 59'
    Card · Red Card
    S. El Mourabet
    STR
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Mara
    STR
  5. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    A. Gouiri
    MAR
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Amo-Ameyaw · assist G. Reyna
    STR
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Sousa · assist P. Demba
    STR
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    S. Mara · assist J. Ortega
    STR
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    C. Egan-Riley · assist N. Aguerd
    MAR
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    G. Antwi · assist M. Del Blanco
    STR
  11. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Aguerd
    MAR
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Nanasi · assist F. Balde
    STR
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
0.2
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
442.0
PASSES
239.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MARSEILLE 5 shots
A. Gouiri
2/3
A. Gomes
1/2
STRASBOURG 1 shots
Guéla Doué
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.98 – 0.15
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 46' 66' H 0.98 A 0.15 KO 30' 60' 84'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
12
JEFFREY D
33
EMERSON
 7.2
19
GEOFFREY
 7.2
4
C. EGAN-R
22
TIMOTHY W
 7.7
7
A. GOMES
23
PIERRE-EM
 7.5
8
HIMAD ABD
14
IGOR PAIX
 7.5
9
A. GOUIRI
77
AMINE HAR
 7.5
1
FILIP JøR
16
G. ANTWI
 6.6
24
LUCAS HøG
 7.3
2
ANDREW OM
 6.6
22
GUéLA DOU
29
S. EL MOU
23
D. SOUSA
80
GESSIME Y
 6.7
11
S. NANASI
7
S. AMO-AM
14
S. MARA
SUBSTITUTES · MARSEILLE
43
Tadjidine Mm...
F
48
Keyliane Abd...
F
6
Tochukwu Nna...
M
74
Kelyann Beza...
D
25
Ulisses Garc...
D
21
N. Aguerd
D
13
Derek Cornel...
D
92
Théo Vermot
G
11
Neal Maupay
F
COACH: Bruno Genesio
SUBSTITUTES · STRASBOURG
19
F. Balde
F
37
Ghianny Kodi...
F
21
P. Demba
M
17
Mathis Amoug...
M
10
G. Reyna
M
4
Jeyland Mitc...
D
15
M. Del Blanc...
D
12
Miłosz Pieku...
G
30
J. Ortega
F
COACH: Hugo Oliveira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ruddy Buquet, France
—
MAR MANAGER
Bruno Genesio
head coach
STR MANAGER
Hugo Oliveira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
MAR WINS
6
DRAWS
1
STR WINS
30%
60%
10%
17 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Feb 2026
Marseille
2 – 2
Strasbourg
D
26 Sep 2025
Strasbourg
1 – 2
Marseille
W
19 Jan 2025
Marseille
1 – 1
Strasbourg
D
29 Sep 2024
Strasbourg
1 – 0
Marseille
L
12 Jan 2024
Marseille
1 – 1
Strasbourg
D
MARSEILLE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D L
STRASBOURG LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 2–0 · scenario projection
MARSEILLE #5
If win holds: 62 pts
UEFA Europa League
STRASBOURG #8
If loss holds: 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
W D D L D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Nanasi
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Aguerd
    Foul
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · G. Antwi
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · C. Egan-Riley
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · S. Mara
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Sousa
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Amo-Ameyaw
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · A. Gouiri
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Mara
    Foul
  • 59'
    Card · Red Card · S. El Mourabet
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Amo-Ameyaw
    Foul
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Gouiri
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MARSEILLE WIN
1.73
57.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
4.07
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.39
STRASBOURG WIN
4.32
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.61
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.67 4.20 4.35
1xBet 1.77 4.39 4.51
888Sport 1.70 4.00 4.20
Bet365 1.73 4.10 4.33
Betano 1.80 4.10 4.35
Betfair 1.70 4.00 4.33
BetVictor 1.70 4.10 4.40
Dafabet 1.76 4.10 4.40
Marathonbet 1.74 4.33 4.45
Pinnacle 1.74 4.12 4.61
SBO 1.73 3.57 3.73
Superbet 1.78 4.10 4.20
Unibet 1.72 3.85 4.35
William Hill 1.70 4.00 4.20

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.08
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.44
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.60
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 11 bks
NO
2.40 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.52
Away -0.5 2.12
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.52
Away -1.5 1.42
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.