GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · MARSEILLE 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN, 26 APR · 18:45 LOCAL
MARSEILLE
5TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
NICE
W D L D L
· 16TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 66' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
GOALS
⚽ 88' Elye Wahi (P)
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Marseille · Captain · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 79% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Résumé : NICE accroche MARSEILLE grâce à une PANENKA d'Elye Wahi
Open in Youtube ↗
Ligue 1: Marseille vs Nice
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.76
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.37
68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
5
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Emerson
    MAR
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elye Wahi
    NIC
  3. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Medina
    MAR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Morgan Sanson · assist Sofiane Diop
    NIC
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Emerson · assist Tadjidine Mmadi
    MAR
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Vermeeren · assist Mason Greenwood
    MAR
  7. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg · assist Tochukwu Nnadi
    MAR
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mohamed Ali Cho · assist Kaïl Boudache
    NIC
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tochukwu Nnadi · assist Nouhoum Kamissoko
    MAR
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Q. Timber · assist H. Abdelli
    MAR
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Salis Abdul Samed · assist Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
    NIC
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Melvin Bard · assist Ali Abdi
    NIC
  13. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tim Weah
    MAR
  14. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gerónimo Rulli
    MAR
  15. 88'
    Goal · Penalty
    Elye Wahi
    NIC
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Elye Wahi · assist Charles Vanhoutte
    NIC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MARSEILLE AVG 7.5
NICE AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
1.4
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
625.0
PASSES
296.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
6.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MARSEILLE 10 shots
Leonardo Balerdi
1/6
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
1/2
Tim Weah
0/1
Tochukwu Nnadi
0/1
NICE 2 shots
Elye Wahi
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.76 – 1.37
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 66' 88' H 1.76 A 1.37 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-1-1 vs 5-4-1
3-5-1-1
5-4-1
1
GERóNIMO
 6.9
32
FACUNDO M
 7.3
5
LEONARDO
28
BENJAMIN
33
EMERSON
18
A. VERMEE
 8.2
23
PIERRE-EM
 7.0
6
TOCHUKWU
 7.9
22
TIM WEAH
27
Q. TIMBER
17
PIERRE-EM
80
YEHVANN D
 6.9
26
MELVIN BA
37
KOJO PEPR
 6.9
28
ABDULAY J
33
ANTOINE M
 6.9
92
JONATHAN
8
MORGAN SA
99
SALIS ABD
 7.2
6
HICHAM BO
25
MOHAMED A
 6.9
11
ELYE WAHI
SUBSTITUTES · MARSEILLE
78
Ange Lago
F
70
Ugo Lamare E...
F
8
H. Abdelli
M
11
Ethan Nwaner...
M
76
Tadjidine Mm...
M
71
Nouhoum Kami...
M
72
Hilan Hamzao...
D
12
Jeffrey De L...
G
10
Mason Greenw...
F
COACH: Habib Beye
SUBSTITUTES · NICE
90
Kevin Carlos...
F
20
Tom Louchet
M
10
Sofiane Diop
M
24
Charles Vanh...
M
39
Djibril Coul...
M
2
Ali Abdi
D
4
Dante
D
31
Maxime Dupé
G
32
Kaïl Boudach...
F
COACH: Claude Puel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NIC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
W. Delajod
—
MAR MANAGER
Habib Beye
head coach
NIC MANAGER
Claude Puel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
MAR WINS
2
DRAWS
4
NIC WINS
40%
20%
40%
17 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Nov 2025
Nice
1 – 5
Marseille
W
26 Jan 2025
Nice
2 – 0
Marseille
L
14 Sep 2024
Marseille
2 – 0
Nice
W
24 Apr 2024
Marseille
2 – 2
Nice
D
21 Oct 2023
Nice
1 – 0
Marseille
L
MARSEILLE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L W
NICE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
MARSEILLE #5
Lost · already at 59 pts
UEFA Europa League
NICE #16
Lost · already at 32 pts
Relegation Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D D L D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Elye Wahi
  • 88'
    Goal · Penalty · Elye Wahi
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gerónimo Rulli
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tim Weah
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Melvin Bard
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Salis Abdul Samed
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Q. Timber
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tochukwu Nnadi
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mohamed Ali Cho
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Vermeeren
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Emerson
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Morgan Sanson
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Medina
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Elye Wahi
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · Emerson
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MARSEILLE WIN
1.65
60.6% implied
↑ best 1.73
DRAW
4.08
24.5% implied
↑ best 4.40
NICE WIN
4.87
20.5% implied
↑ best 5.20

Market favors Marseille. AI projects MARSEILLE 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MARSEILLE 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.65 3.90 4.75 +7.4%
1xBet 1.73 4.36 4.82 +10.2%
888Sport 1.57 4.00 4.80 +4.3%
Bet365 1.70 3.80 4.75 +9.2%
Betano 1.70 4.05 5.20 +9.2%
Betfair 1.65 3.90 4.75 +7.4%
BetVictor 1.62 4.20 5.00 +6.3%
Dafabet 1.61 4.40 5.20 +5.9%
Marathonbet 1.70 4.30 4.75 +9.2%
Pinnacle 1.71 4.09 4.87 +9.5%
SBO 1.66 3.85 4.46 +7.8%
Unibet 1.58 4.25 5.10 +4.7%
William Hill 1.57 4.00 4.80 +4.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.66
2.5 O 1.60 U 2.31
3.5 O 2.48 U 1.53
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.22 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.73
Away -0.5 2.27
Away -0.75 2.00
Away -1 1.73
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.