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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MARITIMO 45%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 14:30 LOCAL
MARITIMO
86'
1 – 0
HT · 0-0
CASA PIA
⚽ 61' Raphael Guzzo
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Maritimo · 82'

LIVE
CASA PIA MARITIMO

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

MARITIMO CASA PIA
⚽ 61' MARITIMO CASA PIA 56' 71' 86'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 86'

1.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.61
41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
8
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 8 events
  1. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    David Sousa
    CAS
  2. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Raphael Guzzo · assist Martín Tejón
    MAR
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Abdu Conté · assist Pedro Rosas
    CAS
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oluwakorede Osundina · assist Kevin Prieto
    CAS
  5. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gabi Pereira · assist Alassana Jatta
    CAS
  6. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sebastián Pérez · assist Selvi Clúa
    CAS
  7. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    João Goulart · assist Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
    CAS
  8. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Simo Bouzaidi · assist Samuel Bamba
    MAR
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
0.6
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
289.0
PASSES
417.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MARITIMO 7 shots
Martín Tejón
2/4
Raphael Guzzo
2/2
Adrián Butzke
0/1
CASA PIA 4 shots
Rochinha
2/2
David Sousa
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.25 – 0.61
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 61' H 1.25 A 0.61 KO 30' 60' 86'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 25%
75% A
2
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
7.0
13
ALFONSO P
23
PAULO HEN
44
ROMAIN CO
4
RAFAEL FE
2
IGOR JULI
18
VLADAN DA
 7.2
6
RODRIGO A
 8.2
14
RAPHAEL G
 7.2
10
MARTíN TE
 7.2
17
ADRIáN BU
11
SIMO BOUZ
 7.9
31
ANDRé GOM
 7.3
5
ABDU CONT
 6.9
43
DAVID SOU
 6.9
4
JOãO GOUL
18
ANDRé GER
8
GABI PERE
80
LAWRENCE
24
SEBASTIáN
 6.9
10
ROCHINHA
9
HENRIQUE
13
OLUWAKORE
SUBSTITUTES · MARITIMO
90
Maurice Boak...
F
25
Yellu Santia...
M
15
Tomás Tavare...
D
66
Israel Ayuma
M
68
Nelio Batist...
M
22
Gábor Szalai
D
1
Gonçalo Tabu...
G
77
Pedro Teixei...
G
27
Samuel Bamba
F
COACH: Mitchell van der Gaag
SUBSTITUTES · CASA PIA
16
Selvi Clúa
M
59
Abdu Dafe
M
11
Raúl Blanco
M
20
Alassana Jat...
F
19
Kevin Prieto
F
27
Kaique Rocha
D
75
Pedro Rosas
D
3
Domingos Jos...
D
22
Daniel Azeve...
G
95
Ivan Mandić
G
99
Claudio Mend...
F
COACH: Filipe Coelho
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sergio Guelho, Portugal
—
MAR MANAGER
Mitchell van der Gaag
head coach
CAS MANAGER
Filipe Coelho
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
MAR WINS
1
DRAWS
2
CAS WINS
33.3%
66.7%
1 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
1.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 3
19 Mar 2023
Casa Pia
2 – 0
Maritimo
L
03 Oct 2022
Maritimo
1 – 2
Casa Pia
L
MARITIMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L
CASA PIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Simo Bouzaidi
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · João Goulart
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sebastián Pérez
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gabi Pereira
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oluwakorede Osundina
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Abdu Conté
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Raphael Guzzo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · David Sousa
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MARITIMO WIN
2.19
45.7% implied
↑ best 2.26
DRAW
3.19
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.30
CASA PIA WIN
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.64

Market favors Maritimo. AI projects MARITIMO 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MARITIMO 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.15 3.30 3.30 +1.7%
1xBet 2.22 3.26 3.64 +1.3%
888Sport 2.20 3.00 3.30 -0.5%
Bet365 2.15 3.30 3.30 +1.7%
Betano 2.22 3.30 3.35 +1.7%
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.40 +0.8%
BetVictor 2.10 3.10 3.40 -0.3%
Dafabet 2.25 3.30 3.45 +1.7%
Marathonbet 2.14 3.14 3.50 +0.2%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.21 3.53 +0.8%
SBO 2.26 3.07 2.77 +0.8%
Superbet 2.22 3.25 3.40 +1.2%
Unibet 2.17 3.20 3.30 +0.8%
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40 -1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.85
2.5 O 2.21 U 1.65
3.5 O 4.08 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 11 bks
NO
1.82 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.92
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.29
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.