GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MANCHESTER UNITED 52% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · MON, 27 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
MANCHESTER UNITED
3RD · 71 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
BRENTFORD
D D L W D
· 9TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Casemiro ⚽ 43' Benjamin Šeško
GOALS
⚽ 87' Mathias Jensen
Casemiro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Casemiro
Manchester United · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 41% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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Premier League: Manchester United vs Brentford
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Premier League: Manchester United vs Brentford
Premier League: Manchester United vs Brentford
Premier League: Manchester United vs Brentford
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.27
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.43
44%
BALL POSSESSION %
56%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 6'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luke Shaw
    MAN
  2. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Casemiro · assist Harry Maguire
    MAN
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sepp van den Berg
    BRE
  4. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Benjamin Šeško · assist Bruno Fernandes
    MAN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Amad Diallo · assist Noussair Mazraoui
    MAN
  6. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dango Ouattara
    BRE
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kevin Schade · assist Reiss Nelson
    BRE
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luke Shaw · assist Leny Yoro
    MAN
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bryan Mbeumo · assist Mason Mount
    MAN
  10. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Igor Thiago
    BRE
  11. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mathias Jensen · assist Reiss Nelson
    BRE
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Benjamin Šeško · assist Joshua Zirkzee
    MAN
  13. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joshua Zirkzee
    MAN
  14. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nathan Collins
    BRE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER UNITED AVG 8.1
BRENTFORD AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
1.4
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
44.0%
POSSESSION %
56.0%
397.0
PASSES
485.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER UNITED 6 shots
Casemiro
1/3
Harry Maguire
2/2
Benjamin Šeško
1/1
BRENTFORD 4 shots
Mathias Jensen
1/2
Mikkel Damsgaard
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.27 – 1.43
1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 11' 43' 87' H 1.27 A 1.43 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
31
SENNE LAM
23
LUKE SHAW
26
AYDEN HEA
 8.0
5
HARRY MAG
2
DIOGO DAL
 7.9
37
KOBBIE MA
 9.5
18
CASEMIRO
16
AMAD DIAL
 7.9
8
BRUNO FER
19
BRYAN MBE
 7.3
30
BENJAMIN
 6.9
1
CAOIMHIN
23
KEANE LEW
22
NATHAN CO
 6.9
4
SEPP VAN
33
MICHAEL K
 7.9
8
MATHIAS J
 7.0
18
YEHOR YAR
7
KEVIN SCH
 7.0
24
MIKKEL DA
19
DANGO OUA
9
IGOR THIA
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER UNITED
25
Manuel Ugart...
M
61
Shea Lacey
F
13
Patrick Dorg...
D
12
Tyrell Malac...
D
1
Altay Bayınd...
G
7
Mason Mount
M
15
Leny Yoro
D
3
Noussair Maz...
D
11
Joshua Zirkz...
F
COACH: Michael Carrick
SUBSTITUTES · BRENTFORD
49
O. Shield
D
45
Romelle Dono...
M
10
Josh Dasilva
M
20
Kristoffer A...
D
5
Ethan Pinnoc...
D
2
Aaron Hickey
D
12
Hákon Rafn V...
G
11
Reiss Nelson
F
47
Kaye Furo
F
COACH: Keith Andrews
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Kavanagh
—
MAN MANAGER
Michael Carrick
head coach
BRE MANAGER
Keith Andrews
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
MAN WINS
2
DRAWS
3
BRE WINS
50%
20%
30%
18 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Brentford
3 – 1
Manchester United
L
04 May 2025
Brentford
4 – 3
Manchester United
L
19 Oct 2024
Manchester United
2 – 1
Brentford
W
30 Mar 2024
Brentford
1 – 1
Manchester United
D
07 Oct 2023
Manchester United
2 – 1
Brentford
W
MANCHESTER UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
BRENTFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
MANCHESTER UNITED #3
Won · already at 71 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
BRENTFORD #9
Lost · already at 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Nathan Collins
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Joshua Zirkzee
    Delay of game
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Benjamin Šeško
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mathias Jensen
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Igor Thiago
    Holding
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bryan Mbeumo
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luke Shaw
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kevin Schade
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dango Ouattara
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Amad Diallo
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Benjamin Šeško
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sepp van den Berg
    Holding
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Casemiro
  • 6'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luke Shaw
    Holding
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER UNITE WIN
2.01
49.8% implied
↑ best 2.10
DRAW
3.74
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.95
BRENTFORD WIN
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.95

Market favors Manchester United. AI projects MANCHESTER UNITED 52% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER UNITED 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.93 3.70 3.55 +0.2%
1xBet 2.10 3.76 3.66 +4.4%
888Sport 2.05 3.70 3.20 +3.2%
Bet365 1.95 3.75 3.60 +0.7%
Betano 2.07 3.80 3.55 +3.7%
Betfair 1.95 3.70 3.75 +0.7%
BetVictor 2.00 3.70 3.50 +2.0%
Dafabet 1.87 3.95 3.95 -1.3%
Marathonbet 2.08 3.74 3.64 +3.9%
Pinnacle 2.03 3.78 3.76 +2.7%
SBO 2.03 3.55 3.28 +2.7%
Unibet 1.97 3.75 3.60 +1.2%
William Hill 2.05 3.75 3.20 +3.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.77
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.36
3.5 O 2.41 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.49 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.11
Away -0.5 1.83
Away -0.75 1.62
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.