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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MACHIDA ZELVIA 48%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 12 · WED, 13 MAY · 10:00 LOCAL
MACHIDA ZELVIA
3RD · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D D L
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
TOKYO VERDY
L L W W W
· 5TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 120+1' Sang-Ho Na (P) ⚽ 120+2' Yuta Nakayama (P) ⚽ 120+3' Ibrahim Drešević (P) ⚽ 120+4' Hokuto Shimoda (P)
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Itsuki Someno (P) ⚽ 120+2' Yuya Fukuda (P) ⚽ 120+3' Yuta Arai (P) ⚽ 120+4' Tetsuyuki Inami (P)
Yuta Nakayama
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yuta Nakayama
Machida Zelvia · 8 mins
· 8% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
5
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Issei Kumatoriya · assist Yuya Fukuda
    TOK
  2. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yosuke Uchida
    TOK
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuan Matsuhashi · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  4. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tete Yengi · assist Shota Fujio
    MAC
  5. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Erik · assist Keiya Sento
    MAC
  6. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yosuke Uchida · assist Inoue Ryota
    TOK
  7. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryohei Shirasaki · assist Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  8. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Futa Tokumura · assist Yuta Nakayama
    MAC
  9. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Koki Morita · assist Rei Hirakawa
    TOK
  10. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kosuke Saito · assist Tetsuyuki Inami
    TOK
  11. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Sang-Ho Na
    MAC
  12. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Itsuki Someno
    TOK
  13. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Yuta Nakayama
    MAC
  14. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Yuya Fukuda
    TOK
  15. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Ibrahim Drešević
    MAC
  16. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Yuta Arai
    TOK
  17. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  18. 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Tetsuyuki Inami
    TOK
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MACHIDA ZELVIA AVG 7.2
TOKYO VERDY AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
3.0
ON TARGET
0.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
588.0
PASSES
360.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MACHIDA ZELVIA 2 shots
Futa Tokumura
2/2
TOKYO VERDY 1 shots
Kaito Suzuki
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
1
KOSEI TAN
5
IBRAHIM D
50
DAIHACHI
 7.3
3
GEN SHOJI
 7.0
34
FUTA TOKU
16
HIROYUKI
 7.0
23
RYOHEI SH
88
HOTAKA NA
 7.0
10
SANG-HO N
27
ERIK
99
TETE YENG
 6.9
1
MATHEUS V
6
KAZUYA MI
 7.5
4
NAOKI HAY
 7.3
15
KAITO SUZ
23
DAIKI FUK
10
KOKI MORI
 7.2
8
KOSUKE SA
22
YOSUKE UC
25
ISSEI KUM
7
YUAN MATS
 6.9
9
ITSUKI SO
SUBSTITUTES · MACHIDA ZELVIA
11
Asahi Masuya...
M
26
Kotaro Hayas...
D
24
Kim Min-Tae
D
13
Tatsuya Mori...
G
19
Yuta Nakayam...
D
18
Hokuto Shimo...
M
9
Shota Fujio
F
8
Keiya Sento
M
49
Kanji Kuwaya...
F
COACH: Go Kuroda
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
24
Shion Nakaya...
M
29
Maaya Sako
D
21
Yuya Nagasaw...
G
17
Tetsuyuki In...
M
16
Rei Hirakawa
M
5
Inoue Ryota
D
40
Yuta Arai
M
14
Yuya Fukuda
M
45
Shimon Teran...
F
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Hayato Shimizu, Japan
—
MAC MANAGER
Go Kuroda
head coach
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
MAC WINS
4
DRAWS
2
TOK WINS
40%
40%
20%
15 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Feb 2026
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 2
Machida Zelvia
D
20 Jul 2025
Tokyo Verdy
0 – 1
Machida Zelvia
W
26 Feb 2025
Machida Zelvia
0 – 1
Tokyo Verdy
L
14 Jul 2024
Tokyo Verdy
0 – 1
Machida Zelvia
W
19 May 2024
Machida Zelvia
5 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
W
MACHIDA ZELVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D L
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
MACHIDA ZELVIA #3
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
TOKYO VERDY #4
Lost · already at 25 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
2 Vissel Kobe 15 9 0 6 +3 28
L W L L W
2 FC Tokyo 16 12 0 4 +14 35
W L W W W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 16 12 0 4 +14 35
W L W W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 15 11 0 4 +5 31
W W L W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 16 9 0 7 +1 25
L L L W W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
4 Urawa 16 7 0 9 +5 24
W W W W L
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Tokyo Verdy 15 9 0 6 +2 24
L L W W W
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 16 7 0 9 +5 24
W W W W L
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
7 Mito Hollyhock 16 6 0 10 -13 18
L L W L L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
7 Mito Hollyhock 16 6 0 10 -13 18
L L W L L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 11 -8 17
L L L W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 11 -8 17
L L L W W
9 Kyoto Sanga 15 7 0 8 -2 20
L L L W L
9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 5 0 11 -5 14
W L L L L
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 5 0 11 -5 14
W L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Tetsuyuki Inami
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Hokuto Shimoda
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Yuta Arai
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Ibrahim Drešević
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Yuya Fukuda
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Yuta Nakayama
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Itsuki Someno
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Sang-Ho Na
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kosuke Saito
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Koki Morita
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Futa Tokumura
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryohei Shirasaki
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yosuke Uchida
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Erik
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tete Yengi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yosuke Uchida
    misses next match
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Issei Kumatoriya
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MACHIDA ZELVIA WIN
1.91
52.4% implied
↑ best 1.96
DRAW
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.30
TOKYO VERDY WIN
4.57
21.9% implied
↑ best 4.90

Market favors Machida Zelvia. AI projects MACHIDA ZELVIA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MACHIDA ZELVIA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.10 4.50 +5.7%
1xBet 1.90 3.04 4.73 +5.1%
888Sport 1.85 3.00 4.40 +4.7%
Bet365 1.90 3.10 4.75 +5.7%
Betano 1.90 3.10 4.55 +5.7%
Betfair 1.87 2.90 4.20 +3.5%
BetVictor 1.91 3.20 4.60 +6.8%
Dafabet 1.90 3.30 4.60 +7.7%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.04 4.75 +5.1%
Pinnacle 1.95 3.14 4.90 +6.2%
SBO 1.94 2.96 4.24 +4.2%
Unibet 1.96 2.85 4.70 +2.9%
William Hill 1.91 2.90 4.50 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.56 U 2.35
2.5 O 2.68 U 1.42
3.5 O 5.46 U 1.12
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.29 10 bks
NO
1.55 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.26
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.63
Away -1 1.40
Away -1.25 1.31
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.