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AFC Champions League Elite · SEMI-FINALS · TUE, 21 APR · 16:15 LOCAL
MACHIDA ZELVIA
1ST · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI
W W D
· 6TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' Yuki Soma
GOALS
Yuki Soma
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yuki Soma
Machida Zelvia · 68 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 8% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.67
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.49
30%
BALL POSSESSION %
70%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
17
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
68%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. -5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuki Soma
    MAC
  2. -5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Cartabia
    SHA
  3. -5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Ezatolahi
    SHA
  4. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yuki Soma
    MAC
  5. 42'
    Var · Penalty cancelled
    Yuki Soma
    MAC
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Erik · assist Sang-Ho Na
    MAC
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bogdan Planić · assist Mateus Henrique
    SHA
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    SHA
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sultan Adil · assist Mateusão
    SHA
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    F. Cartabia · assist Mohammad Juma
    SHA
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Neta Lavi · assist Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  12. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuki Soma · assist Keiya Sento
    MAC
  13. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tete Yengi · assist Shota Fujio
    MAC
  14. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Shota Fujio
    MAC
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Ezatolahi · assist João Marcelo
    SHA
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Hotaka Nakamura · assist Henry Heroki Mochizuki
    MAC
  17. 90'+6
    Var · Goal cancelled
    Igor Gomes
    SHA
  18. 90'+14
    Card · Yellow Card
    H. Al Meqebaali
    SHA
  19. 90'+14
    Card · Red Card
    H. Al Meqebaali
    SHA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MACHIDA ZELVIA AVG 7.3
SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.5
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
30.0%
POSSESSION %
70.0%
211.0
PASSES
510.0
68.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MACHIDA ZELVIA 2 shots
Yuki Soma
1/1
Erik
1/1
SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI 2 shots
Breno Cascardo
0/1
F. Cartabia
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.67 – 1.49
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 12' H 0.67 A 1.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
KOSEI TAN
 7.3
19
YUTA NAKA
50
DAIHACHI
3
GEN SHOJI
26
KOTARO HA
16
HIROYUKI
31
NETA LAVI
88
HOTAKA NA
 7.9
7
YUKI SOMA
 7.5
27
ERIK
 7.0
99
TETE YENG
 6.9
22
H. AL MEQ
25
IGOR GOME
 6.9
13
RENAN
4
BOGDAN PL
31
KAUAN SAN
6
S. EZATOL
 6.9
80
BRENO CAS
77
GUILHERME
57
YURI CéSA
 6.9
10
F. CARTAB
21
SULTAN AD
SUBSTITUTES · MACHIDA ZELVIA
34
Futa Tokumur...
F
49
Kanji Kuwaya...
F
5
Ibrahim Dreš...
D
9
Shota Fujio
F
10
Sang-Ho Na
F
8
Keiya Sento
M
11
Asahi Masuya...
M
18
Hokuto Shimo...
M
23
Ryohei Shira...
M
44
Y. Arai
G
13
Tatsuya Mori...
G
6
Henry Heroki...
D
COACH: Go Kuroda
SUBSTITUTES · SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI
75
Mateus Henri...
D
58
E. Irala
M
70
Thiago
F
79
João Marcelo
F
28
Sebastían Go...
M
19
Mateusão
F
23
M. Seifi
D
14
D. García
M
26
Eid Khamis
M
5
Walid Abbas
D
1
Rakaan Walee...
G
18
Mohammad Jum...
M
COACH: Paulo Sousa
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Evans
—
MAC MANAGER
Go Kuroda
head coach
SHA MANAGER
Paulo Sousa
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MAC WINS
0
DRAWS
0
SHA WINS
100%
1 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
MACHIDA ZELVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D W
SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
MACHIDA ZELVIA #1
Won · already at 17 pts
Playoffs
SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI #6
Lost · already at 11 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 8 7 1 0 +11 22
L W D W W
1 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 +8 17
L W W W D
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah 8 5 2 1 +12 17
W W W W W
2 Vissel Kobe 8 5 1 2 +7 16
L W W W L
3 Tractor Sazi 8 5 2 1 +8 17
L W L W W
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 4 3 1 +4 15
W L D W W
4 Buriram United 8 4 2 2 +2 14
L W D W W
4 Al-Ittihad FC 8 5 0 3 +13 15
L W W W W
5 Al Wahda FC 8 4 2 2 +4 14
L L D L W
5 Melbourne City 8 4 2 2 +2 14
L D D W D
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 8 3 2 3 0 11
L W W L D
6 Johor Darul Takzim FC 8 3 2 3 +1 11
L L W W L
7 FC Seoul 8 2 4 2 +1 10
L L D L D
7 Al-Duhail SC 8 2 2 4 0 8
L L D L W
8 Al Sadd 8 2 2 4 -4 8
L W L W W
8 Gangwon FC 8 2 3 3 -2 9
L D D D D
9 Sharjah FC 8 2 2 4 -8 8
L D L W L
9 Ulsan Hyundai FC 8 2 3 3 -2 9
D L L D L
10 Chengdu Better City 8 1 3 4 -4 6
L L D D D
10 Al-Gharafa 8 2 0 6 -14 6
L L W L L
11 Al Shorta 8 1 2 5 -14 5
W D L L L
11 Shanghai Shenhua 8 1 1 6 -8 4
L L L L L
12 Nasaf 8 1 1 6 -8 4
W D L L L
12 SHANGHAI SIPG 8 0 4 4 -9 4
D D D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+14
    Card · Red Card · H. Al Meqebaali
    Argument
  • 90'+14
    Card · Yellow Card · H. Al Meqebaali
    Argument
  • 90'+6
    Var · Goal cancelled · Igor Gomes
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Hotaka Nakamura
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Ezatolahi
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Shota Fujio
    Time wasting
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tete Yengi
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuki Soma
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Neta Lavi
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · F. Cartabia
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sultan Adil
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bogdan Planić
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Erik
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 42'
    Var · Penalty cancelled · Yuki Soma
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yuki Soma
  • -5'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Ezatolahi
    Argument
  • -5'
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Cartabia
    Argument
  • -5'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuki Soma
    Argument
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
MACHIDA ZELVIA WIN
2.53
39.5% implied
↑ best 2.68
DRAW
2.97
33.7% implied
↑ best 3.20
SHABAB AL AHLI D WIN
2.82
35.5% implied
↑ best 2.97
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 2.48 3.10 2.76
1xBet 2.67 2.97 2.97
888Sport 2.60 2.80 2.90
Bet365 2.40 3.20 2.62
Betano 2.47 3.20 2.77
Betfair 2.50 2.80 2.80
BetVictor 2.55 3.00 2.80
Marathonbet 2.62 2.89 2.90
Pinnacle 2.68 2.96 2.96
SBO 2.45 2.75 2.64
Unibet 2.38 3.15 2.85
William Hill 2.60 2.80 2.90

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.45 U 2.56
2.5 O 2.44 U 1.51
3.5 O 4.62 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.00 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.66
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.