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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · LYON 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 11 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
LYON
LAST 5:
L L L W W
2'
0 – 0
SPARTA PRAHA
W L L L L
· LAST 5
⚽ 20' Ernest Nuamah ⚽ 66' Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⚽ 73' Tyler Morton
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Sparta Praha · 89'

LIVE
SPARTA P LYON

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

LYON SPARTA P
LYON SPARTA PRA 0' 1' 2'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 2'

56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
6
11
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
7
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ernest Nuamah
    LYO
  2. 34'
    Card · Red Card
    Adam Ševinský
    SPA
  3. 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Andy Irving · assist Jaroslav Zelený
    SPA
  4. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ainsley Maitland-Niles
    LYO
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jonatan Braut Brunes · assist Ebrima Singhateh
    SPA
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Roman Macek · assist Santiago Eneme
    SPA
  7. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ainsley Maitland-Niles · assist Corentin Tolisso
    LYO
  8. 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tyler Morton
    LYO
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    John Mercado · assist V. Vitalyos
    SPA
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Adam Karabec · assist Hugo Sochurek
    SPA
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ernest Nuamah · assist Kaïl Boudache
    LYO
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ainsley Maitland-Niles · assist Clinton Mata
    LYO
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Abner Vinícius · assist Mohamed Ouédraogo
    LYO
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Malick Fofana · assist Julien Duranville
    LYO
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Corentin Tolisso · assist Noah Nartey
    LYO
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matěj Ryneš
    SPA
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
11.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
506.0
PASSES
395.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
20.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LYON 9 shots
Tyler Morton
2/3
Corentin Tolisso
1/3
Ernest Nuamah
1/2
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
1/1
SPARTA PRAHA 1 shots
John Mercado
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
DOMINIK G
 7.3
16
ABNER VIN
19
MOUSSA NI
21
RUBEN KLU
 7.3
98
AINSLEY M
 8.7
23
TYLER MOR
6
TANNER TE
11
MALICK FO
 8.2
8
CORENTIN
 7.5
7
ERNEST NU
17
LOïS OPEN
 7.3
44
JAKUB SUR
11
MATěJ RYN
25
ASGER SøR
19
ADAM ŠEVI
2
MARTIN SU
18
ANDY IRVI
 6.9
28
ROMAN MAC
 6.7
7
JOSIMAR A
10
ADAM KARA
 6.9
17
JOHN MERC
14
JONATAN B
SUBSTITUTES · LYON
76
Mohamed Ouéd...
D
99
Noah Nartey
M
24
Julien Duran...
F
26
Kaïl Boudach...
F
39
Mathys de Ca...
M
85
Noham Kamara
D
37
Steeve Kango
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
25
Justin Bengu...
G
40
Rémy Descamp...
G
45
Rémi Himbert
F
COACH: Paulo Fonseca
SUBSTITUTES · SPARTA PRAHA
3
Pavel Kadeřá...
D
21
Joao Grimald...
F
24
Dominik Holl...
M
29
Matyáš Vojta
F
54
Lukas Franc
G
47
Krisztián He...
G
15
Viktor Vitál...
D
38
Hugo Sochure...
M
27
Ebrima Singh...
M
5
Santiago Ene...
M
30
Jaroslav Zel...
D
36
Garang Kuol
M
COACH: Brian Priske
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LYO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Szymon Marciniak, Poland
—
LYO MANAGER
Paulo Fonseca
head coach
SPA MANAGER
Brian Priske
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
LYO WINS
1
DRAWS
1
SPA WINS
50%
25%
25%
8 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
04 Aug 2026
Sparta Praha
2 – 1
Lyon
L
04 Nov 2021
Lyon
3 – 0
Sparta Praha
W
21 Oct 2021
Sparta Praha
3 – 4
Lyon
W
LYON LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
SPARTA PRAHA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matěj Ryneš
    Roughing
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Corentin Tolisso
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Malick Fofana
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Abner Vinícius
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ainsley Maitland-Niles
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ernest Nuamah
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Adam Karabec
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · John Mercado
  • 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tyler Morton
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ainsley Maitland-Niles
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Roman Macek
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jonatan Braut Brunes
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ainsley Maitland-Niles
    Tripping
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Andy Irving
  • 34'
    Card · Red Card · Adam Ševinský
    Roughing
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ernest Nuamah
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LYON WIN
1.33
75.2% implied
↑ best 1.37
DRAW
5.40
18.5% implied
↑ best 5.78
SPARTA PRAHA WIN
7.68
13% implied
↑ best 8.70

Market favors Lyon. AI projects LYON 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LYON 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.32 5.10 8.70 +12.4%
1xBet 1.36 5.78 8.55 +14.7%
888Sport 1.33 5.00 7.00 +12.0%
Bet365 1.30 5.75 8.00 +14.6%
Betano 1.37 5.70 8.25 +14.5%
Betfair 1.30 5.00 7.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.33 5.75 8.00 +14.6%
Dafabet 1.36 5.60 7.80 +14.1%
Marathonbet 1.35 5.75 8.50 +14.6%
Pinnacle 1.33 5.73 7.60 +14.5%
SBO 1.34 4.77 6.09 +11.0%
Superbet 1.34 5.60 7.50 +14.1%
Unibet 1.34 5.20 7.50 +12.8%
William Hill 1.30 4.80 7.00 +11.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.58
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.65
3.5 O 2.17 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 11 bks
NO
2.04 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.95
Away -0.5 3.22
Away -0.75 2.95
Away -1 2.54
Away -1.25 2.15
Away -1.5 1.86
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.