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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN, 26 APR · 23:00 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
11TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L L D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
REAL SALT LAKE
L L D W W
· 4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Marco Reus ⚽ 85' Marco Reus (P)
GOALS
⚽ 45+4' JT Marcinkowski (OG)
Marco Reus
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marco Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy · Captain · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 38% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.02
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.08
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
14
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
7
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marco Reus
    LOS
  2. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justin Haak
    LOS
  3. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  4. 45'+4
    Goal · Own Goal
    JT Marcinkowski
    REA
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jakob Glesnes · assist Edwin Cerrillo
    LOS
  6. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noel Caliskan
    REA
  7. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justen Glad
    REA
  8. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aiden Hezarkhani · assist Morgan Guilavogui
    REA
  9. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Victor Olatunji · assist Sergi Solans
    REA
  10. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Cuevas
    LOS
  11. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Luna
    REA
  12. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Edwin Cerrillo · assist Elijah Wynder
    LOS
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Harbor Miller · assist Miki Yamane
    LOS
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philip Quinton · assist DeAndre Yedlin
    REA
  15. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Diego Luna · assist Dominik Marczuk
    REA
  16. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam Junqua
    REA
  17. 85'
    Goal · Penalty
    Marco Reus
    LOS
  18. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Stijn Spierings · assist Pablo Ruíz
    REA
  19. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    John Nelson · assist Chris Rindov
    LOS
  20. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Marco Reus · assist Isaiah Parente
    LOS
  21. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elijah Wynder
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.1
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
6.0
ON TARGET
8.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
389.0
PASSES
580.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
0.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
14.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
8.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 6 shots
Marco Reus
3/3
Lucas Sanabria
0/2
Harbor Miller
0/1
REAL SALT LAKE 1 shots
Justen Glad
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.02 – 1.08
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 9' 85' 45' H 2.02 A 1.08 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
8.0
12
JT MARCIN
14
JOHN NELS
25
CARLOS GA
5
JAKOB GLE
19
MAURICIO
 7.3
8
LUCAS SAN
15
JUSTIN HA
 8.3
18
MARCO REU
 7.3
26
HARBOR MI
28
JOSEPH PA
11
GABRIEL P
 7.3
1
RAFAEL CA
29
SAM JUNQU
 7.6
15
JUSTEN GL
26
PHILIP QU
 7.2
8
JUAN SANA
92
NOEL CALI
6
STIJN SPI
72
ZAVIER GO
10
DIEGO LUN
 7.0
39
AIDEN HE
17
VICTOR OL
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
24
Ruben Ramos
F
76
Troy Elgersm...
M
22
Elijah Wynde...
M
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
2
Miki Yamane
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
6
Edwin Cerril...
M
57
J. Placias
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
11
Dominik Marc...
F
27
Griffin Dill...
M
23
Zach Booth
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
98
Alexandros K...
D
31
Mason Stajdu...
G
9
Morgan Guila...
F
22
Sergi Solans
F
2
DeAndre Yedl...
D
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
—
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LOS WINS
4
DRAWS
3
REA WINS
30%
40%
30%
16 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Jun 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 0
Real Salt Lake
W
05 Apr 2025
Real Salt Lake
2 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
23 Jun 2024
Real Salt Lake
0 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
12 May 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 2
Real Salt Lake
D
15 Oct 2023
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 2
Real Salt Lake
D
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #11
Won · already at 21 pts
REAL SALT LAKE #4
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Elijah Wynder
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Marco Reus
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · John Nelson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Stijn Spierings
  • 85'
    Goal · Penalty · Marco Reus
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam Junqua
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Diego Luna
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philip Quinton
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Harbor Miller
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Edwin Cerrillo
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Luna
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Cuevas
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Victor Olatunji
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aiden Hezarkhani
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Justen Glad
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noel Caliskan
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jakob Glesnes
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Own Goal · JT Marcinkowski
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Sanabria
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Justin Haak
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marco Reus
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
2.53
39.5% implied
↑ best 2.68
DRAW
3.67
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.81
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
2.53
39.5% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors Los Angeles Galaxy. AI projects LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.75 2.42 +5.3%
888Sport 2.10 3.50 3.00 +3.4%
Bet365 2.60 3.70 2.50 +5.0%
Betano 2.62 3.75 2.50 +5.3%
Betfair 2.60 3.60 2.50 +4.2%
BetVictor 2.55 3.75 2.45 +5.3%
Dafabet 2.60 3.80 2.55 +5.7%
Marathonbet 2.55 3.65 2.46 +4.6%
Pinnacle 2.68 3.81 2.52 +5.8%
SBO 2.54 3.58 2.39 +4.1%
Unibet 2.48 3.60 2.60 +4.2%
William Hill 2.50 3.50 2.50 +3.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.22
2.5 O 1.51 U 2.47
3.5 O 2.27 U 1.61
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 9 bks
NO
2.62 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.64
Away -0.5 1.52
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.26
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.