GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 58% · Value: BTTS Yes 100%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 02:30 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
12TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
HOUSTON DYNAMO
L W W W W
· 2ND · 38 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 28' J. Paintsil
GOALS
⚽ 41' Guilherme
Guilherme
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo · 85 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 54% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.32
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.91
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
10
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Bogusz
    HOU
  2. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Paintsil · assist Miki Yamane
    LOS
  3. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Paintsil
    LOS
  4. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Resch
    HOU
  5. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Thommy · assist Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Elijah Wynder · assist Matheus Nascimento
    LOS
  8. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felipe Andrade
    HOU
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ondrej Lingr · assist Ezequiel Ponce
    HOU
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Miki Yamane · assist M. Cuevas
    LOS
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    H. Herrera · assist A. Bouzat
    HOU
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Artur · assist D. Samassékou
    HOU
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Paintsil · assist Harbor Miller
    LOS
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme · assist A. Ibrahim
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.9
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
622.0
PASSES
502.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 3 shots
J. Paintsil
2/2
E. Cerrillo
1/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 3 shots
Guilherme
1/2
Jack McGlynn
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.32 – 0.91
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 28' 41' H 2.32 A 0.91 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
12
J. MARCIN
14
J. NELSON
 7.3
15
JUSTIN HA
 7.6
5
JAKOB GLE
 7.7
2
MIKI YAMA
 7.9
6
E. CERRIL
22
ELIJAH WY
 7.6
28
J. PAINTS
27
E. THOMMY
11
GABRIEL P
18
MARCO REU
 6.9
31
J. BOND
11
L. ENNALI
34
A. RESCH
 7.3
3
ANTôNIO C
36
FELIPE AN
6
ARTUR
 8.2
20
GUILHERME
16
H. HERRER
 7.5
8
JACK MCGL
19
M. BOGUSZ
9
ONDREJ LI
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
24
R. Ramos
F
8
Lucas Sanabr...
M
26
Harbor Mille...
D
19
M. Cuevas
D
4
M. Yoshida
D
3
J. Aude
D
1
N. Micovic
G
9
Matheus Nasc...
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
17
N. Markanich
F
24
A. Ibrahim
F
14
D. Holmes
M
18
D. Samasséko...
M
30
A. Bouzat
M
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
21
F. Negri
D
26
B. Gillingha...
G
10
Ezequiel Pon...
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Hernandez
—
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LOS WINS
4
DRAWS
3
HOU WINS
30%
40%
30%
12 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 Aug 2026
Houston Dynamo
1 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
07 Sep 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
13 Apr 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 1
Houston Dynamo
D
20 Oct 2024
Houston Dynamo
2 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
26 May 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 1
Houston Dynamo
W
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D D
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #12
Lost · already at 26 pts
HOUSTON DYNAMO #2
Lost · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Paintsil
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Artur
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · H. Herrera
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Miki Yamane
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ondrej Lingr
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Felipe Andrade
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Elijah Wynder
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Thommy
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Resch
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Paintsil
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Paintsil
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Bogusz
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
2.17
46.1% implied
↑ best 2.25
DRAW
3.61
27.7% implied
↑ best 3.75
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.20

Market favors Los Angeles Galaxy. AI projects DRAW 58% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.75 3.00 +31.3%
888Sport 2.15 3.40 2.90 +28.6%
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.10 +30.2%
Betano 2.18 3.70 3.15 +31.0%
Betfair 2.20 3.60 3.00 +30.2%
BetVictor 2.15 3.70 3.00 +31.0%
Dafabet 2.22 3.75 3.10 +31.3%
Marathonbet 2.16 3.52 3.08 +29.6%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.68 3.14 +30.8%
SBO 2.16 3.52 2.90 +29.6%
Superbet 2.22 3.55 3.15 +29.8%
Unibet 2.08 3.70 3.20 +31.0%
William Hill 2.15 3.40 2.90 +28.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.96
2.5 O 1.56 U 2.38
3.5 O 2.36 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.47 10 bks
NO
2.52 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.89
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.52
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.29
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.