GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–0 · LOS ANGELES FC 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 96 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES FC
3RD · 35 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D W
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L D L L W
· 15TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Son Heung-min ⚽ 37' Denis Bouanga ⚽ 45+4' David Martínez Morales ⚽ 85' Denis Bouanga
GOALS
Denis Bouanga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 30% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
LAFC vs. Sporting Kansas City | Full Match Highlights | Son & Bouanga BACK ON TARGET!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.38
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.24
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
92%
PASS ACCURACY %
93%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 2'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Manu García
    SPO
  2. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Son Heung-min
    LOS
  3. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Denis Bouanga · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
  4. 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Martínez Morales · assist Denis Bouanga
    LOS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Tillman · assist Eddie Segura
    LOS
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Manu García · assist Kwaku Agyabeng
    SPO
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mark Delgado · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Or Blorian · assist Moises Mosquera
    SPO
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Calvin Harris
    SPO
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    David Martínez Morales · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  13. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Denis Bouanga · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Son Heung-min · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 8.1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
0.2
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
593.0
PASSES
680.0
92.0%
PASS ACCURACY
93.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES FC 5 shots
Denis Bouanga
2/2
Son Heung-min
2/2
David Martínez Morales
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 1 shots
Dejan Joveljić
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.38 – 0.24
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 5' 37' 45' 85' H 1.38 A 0.24 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
HUGO LLOR
23
YEVHEN CH
33
AARON LON
 7.9
5
RYAN PORT
24
RYAN HOLL
8
MARK DELG
66
MATHIEU C
11
T. TILLMA
 9.5
99
DENIS BOU
 7.6
7
SON HEUNG
 8.2
30
DAVID MAR
30
STEFAN CL
18
EMIR KARI
28
WYATT MEY
5
OR BLORIA
8
JACOB DAV
 7.2
4
LASSE BER
22
ZORHAN BA
11
CALVIN HA
6
MANU GARC
17
STEPHEN A
 6.3
9
DEJAN JOV
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
19
Tyler Boyd
F
21
Ryan Raposo
M
22
Jude Terry
M
18
J. Shaffelbu...
F
45
Kenny Nielse...
D
4
Eddie Segura
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
20
Kwaku Agyabe...
M
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
3
Moises Mosqu...
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
2
Ian James
D
15
Jansen Mille...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Fierro
—
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
8
LOS WINS
2
DRAWS
0
SPO WINS
80%
20%
23 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Jun 2025
Los Angeles FC
3 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
23 Mar 2025
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
06 Oct 2024
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 3
Los Angeles FC
W
10 Mar 2024
Los Angeles FC
0 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
D
18 Jun 2023
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
LOS ANGELES FC #3
Won · already at 35 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Son Heung-min
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Denis Bouanga
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · David Martínez Morales
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryan Hollingshead
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Calvin Harris
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Or Blorian
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mark Delgado
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Stephen Afrifa
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Manu García
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Tillman
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Martínez Morales
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Denis Bouanga
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Son Heung-min
  • 2'
    Card · Yellow Card · Manu García
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
1.26
79.4% implied
↑ best 1.30
DRAW
6.34
15.8% implied
↑ best 7.08
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
9.12
11% implied
↑ best 10.00

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects LOS ANGELES FC 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES FC 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.28 6.20 8.10 +20.9%
Bet365 1.28 6.25 8.50 +20.9%
Betano 1.30 6.40 10.00 +22.1%
Betfair 1.25 6.50 9.00 +19.0%
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.0%
Dafabet 1.28 6.60 9.40 +20.9%
Marathonbet 1.23 6.50 9.50 +17.7%
Pinnacle 1.25 7.08 9.67 +19.0%
SBO 1.27 5.90 8.10 +20.3%
Superbet 1.28 6.40 8.70 +20.9%
Unibet 1.24 6.25 10.00 +18.4%
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.00 +19.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.20
2.5 O 1.32 U 3.27
3.5 O 1.85 U 1.93
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.15 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.68
Away -0.5 3.58
Away -0.75 3.48
Away -1 3.08
Away -1.25 2.44
Away -1.5 2.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.