GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · LORIENT 48%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN, 26 APR · 13:00 LOCAL
LORIENT
9TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W L
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
STRASBOURG
W W D L L
· 8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 26' Noah Cadiou ⚽ 54' Pablo Pagis (P)
GOALS
⚽ 62' Sebastian Nanasi ⚽ 90+2' Nathaniel Adjei (OG) ⚽ 90+9' A. Omobamidele
Panos Katseris
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Panos Katseris
Lorient · 85 mins
🅰 1 assist · 12% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Lorient vs Strasbourg
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.59
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
89%
9
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Høgsberg
    STR
  2. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Noah Cadiou · assist Panos Katseris
    LOR
  3. 54'
    Goal · Penalty
    Pablo Pagis
    LOR
  4. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sebastian Nanasi · assist Rafael Luís
    STR
  5. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. O'Neil
    STR
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ismael Doukouré · assist A. Omobamidele
    STR
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Samir El Mourabet · assist Abdoul Ouattara
    STR
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Enciso · assist M. Godo
    STR
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ahmadou Bamba Dieng · assist Aiyegun Tosin
    LOR
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Laurent Abergel · assist Arthur Avom Ebong
    LOR
  11. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Panos Katseris
    LOR
  12. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Maxi Oyedele
    STR
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Junior Mwanga · assist Diego Moreira
    STR
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jean Victor Makengo · assist Sambou Soumano
    LOR
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pablo Pagis · assist Karim Dermane
    LOR
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gessime Yassine · assist Emmanuel Emegha
    STR
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Panos Katseris · assist Igor Silva
    LOR
  18. 90'+2
    Goal · Own Goal
    Nathaniel Adjei
    STR
  19. 90'+9
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Omobamidele
    STR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LORIENT AVG 7.6
STRASBOURG AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
1.6
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
335.0
PASSES
531.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
89.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
7.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LORIENT 5 shots
Pablo Pagis
1/3
Noah Cadiou
1/2
STRASBOURG 2 shots
A. Omobamidele
1/1
Sebastian Nanasi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.17 – 1.59
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 26' 54' 62' 90' 90' H 2.17 A 1.59 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-4-1-1
3-4-2-1
4-4-1-1
38
YVON MVOG
25
ABDOULAYE
32
NATHANIEL
5
BAMO MEïT
 7.2
43
ARSèNE KO
6
LAURENT A
 7.9
8
NOAH CADI
 8.2
77
PANOS KAT
 7.9
10
PABLO PAG
 7.0
17
JEAN VICT
12
AHMADOU B
 6.9
39
MIKE PEND
8
MAXI OYED
6
ISMAEL DO
 7.5
24
LUCAS HøG
18
JUNIOR MW
80
GESSIME Y
 6.7
29
SAMIR EL
83
RAFAEL LU
27
SAMUEL AM
 6.9
11
SEBASTIAN
19
J. ENCISO
SUBSTITUTES · LORIENT
97
S. Siba
D
44
Darlin Yongw...
D
21
Bingourou Ka...
G
2
Igor Silva
D
28
Sambou Souma...
F
29
Karim Derman...
M
62
Arthur Avom...
M
15
Aiyegun Tosi...
F
9
Mohamed Bamb...
F
COACH: Olivier Pantaloni
SUBSTITUTES · STRASBOURG
28
Tyrese Noubi...
M
3
Ben Chilwell
D
1
K. Johnsson
G
10
Emmanuel Eme...
F
7
Diego Moreir...
F
20
M. Godo
F
42
Abdoul Ouatt...
M
2
A. Omobamide...
D
15
D. Fofana
F
COACH: Gary O'Neil
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Millot
—
LOR MANAGER
Olivier Pantaloni
head coach
STR MANAGER
Gary O'Neil
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LOR WINS
4
DRAWS
3
STR WINS
30%
40%
30%
13 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 2025
Strasbourg
0 – 0
Lorient
D
18 Feb 2024
Strasbourg
1 – 3
Lorient
W
17 Dec 2023
Lorient
1 – 2
Strasbourg
L
03 Jun 2023
Lorient
2 – 1
Strasbourg
W
13 Nov 2022
Strasbourg
1 – 1
Lorient
D
LORIENT LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W L
STRASBOURG LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
LORIENT #9
Lost · already at 45 pts
STRASBOURG #8
Won · already at 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D D L D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+9
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Omobamidele
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Own Goal · Nathaniel Adjei
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Panos Katseris
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gessime Yassine
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pablo Pagis
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jean Victor Makengo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Junior Mwanga
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Maxi Oyedele
    Roughing
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Panos Katseris
    Diving
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Laurent Abergel
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Enciso
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Samir El Mourabet
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ismael Doukouré
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. O'Neil
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sebastian Nanasi
  • 54'
    Goal · Penalty · Pablo Pagis
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Noah Cadiou
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Høgsberg
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LORIENT WIN
2.06
48.5% implied
↑ best 2.16
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.80
STRASBOURG WIN
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.80

Market favors Lorient. AI projects LORIENT 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LORIENT 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.60 3.10 +0.8%
1xBet 2.12 3.80 3.58 +1.7%
888Sport 2.10 3.50 3.10 +0.4%
Bet365 2.05 3.60 3.25 +0.2%
Betano 2.12 3.40 3.50 +0.8%
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.40 +0.4%
BetVictor 1.91 3.70 3.75 +1.0%
Dafabet 1.95 3.75 3.80 +1.3%
Marathonbet 2.08 3.80 3.48 +1.7%
Pinnacle 2.15 3.48 3.56 +1.5%
SBO 2.16 3.30 3.08 +1.7%
Unibet 2.10 3.50 3.30 +0.4%
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.60 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.04
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.79 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.21 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.07
Away -0.5 1.78
Away -0.75 1.60
Away -1 1.39
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.