GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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LORIENT
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
--
HOURS
:
--
MINS
:
--
SECS
Stade du Moustoir
LE HAVRE
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 54/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LOR
2 – 1
LE
most likely scoreline · 11.7% probability
AI PICKS LORIENT TO WIN 58%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
LOR WIN 58%
DRAW 26%
LE WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.4% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Lorient slight home favourite; Le Havre's away form (DDDLL) and league position (14th) heavily constrain upset probability.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LORIENT FAVORED
58%
Lorient 9th vs Le Havre 14th (13-pt gap) + GF/GA gap favours home (48/49 vs 30/44)
+25.0%
Le Havre on road is poor (DDDLL last 5) vs Lorient home mixed (LWDWD) — marginal home edge
+20.0%
Lorient recent form WDLWL (inconsistent) but Le Havre LDDDD (crisis) — relative strength home
+15.0%
WHY LE HAVRE CHALLENGED
16%
Lorient 9th vs Le Havre 14th (13-pt gap) + GF/GA gap favours home (48/49 vs 30/44)
+25.0%
Le Havre on road is poor (DDDLL last 5) vs Lorient home mixed (LWDWD) — marginal home edge
+20.0%
Lorient recent form WDLWL (inconsistent) but Le Havre LDDDD (crisis) — relative strength home
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Lorient 9th vs Le Havre 14th (13-pt gap) + GF/GA gap favours home (48/49 vs 30/44)
  • Le Havre on road is poor (DDDLL last 5) vs Lorient home mixed (LWDWD) — marginal home edge
  • Lorient recent form WDLWL (inconsistent) but Le Havre LDDDD (crisis) — relative strength home
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.8
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
·
·
2
11.7
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
·
·
3
8.5
7.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.6
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.7%
1 — 0 10.8%
2 — 1 9.7%
1 — 1 9.0%
3 — 0 8.5%
Top 5 = 49.7% · rest 50.3%