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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · GROUP 5 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LLEIDA ESPORTIU
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
VILASSAR MAR
⚽ 82' M. Garcia
GOALS
⚽ 29' P. Rivera
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LLE
1 – 1
VIL
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LLE WIN 28%
DRAW 38%
VIL WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 62% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 62% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Vilassar Mar scored at 30'; Lleida chasing. Data extremely thin — treat as weak heuristic only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LLEIDA ESPORTIU CHALLENGED
28%
Vilassar Mar lead 1-0 at 30' (live) — strong immediate momentum
CONTEXT
H2H: Vilassar won 3-0 in January; dominance pattern vs this opponent
CONTEXT
Tercera División data unavailable — low confidence inherent to league tier
CONTEXT
WHY VILASSAR MAR CHALLENGED
34%
Vilassar Mar lead 1-0 at 30' (live) — strong immediate momentum
CONTEXT
H2H: Vilassar won 3-0 in January; dominance pattern vs this opponent
CONTEXT
Tercera División data unavailable — low confidence inherent to league tier
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Vilassar Mar lead 1-0 at 30' (live) — strong immediate momentum
  • H2H: Vilassar won 3-0 in January; dominance pattern vs this opponent
  • Tercera División data unavailable — low confidence inherent to league tier
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 29' P. RIVERA ⚽ 82' M. GARCIA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.8
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.3
13.5
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.5
6.6
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.1
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.3%
0 — 2 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%