GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · LIVERPOOL 93% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT 25 APR · 14:00 LOCAL
LIVERPOOL
4TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W L L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
CRYSTAL PALACE
D L W W W
· 13TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' Alexander Isak ⚽ 40' Andy Robertson ⚽ 90+6' Florian Wirtz
GOALS
⚽ 71' Daniel Muñoz
Freddie Woodman
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Freddie Woodman
Liverpool · 90 mins
· 20% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Watch on Youtube ↗
Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.91
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.32
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  2. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dean Henderson
    CRY
  3. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alexander Isak · assist Alexis Mac Allister
    LIV
  4. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andy Robertson · assist Curtis Jones
    LIV
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tyrick Mitchell · assist Borna Sosa
    CRY
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mohamed Salah · assist Jeremie Frimpong
    LIV
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brennan Johnson · assist Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jean-Philippe Mateta · assist Jørgen Strand Larsen
    CRY
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexander Isak · assist Ryan Gravenberch
    LIV
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Curtis Jones · assist Joe Gomez
    LIV
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andy Robertson · assist Miloš Kerkez
    LIV
  13. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dominik Szoboszlai
    LIV
  14. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Borna Sosa
    CRY
  15. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Florian Wirtz · assist Alexis Mac Allister
    LIV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LIVERPOOL AVG 7.8
CRYSTAL PALACE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
2.3
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
7.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
459.0
PASSES
400.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LIVERPOOL 3 shots
Andy Robertson
1/1
Alexis Mac Allister
0/1
Florian Wirtz
1/1
CRYSTAL PALACE 5 shots
Ismaïla Sarr
2/2
Daniel Muñoz
1/2
Brennan Johnson
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.91 – 2.32
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 35' 40' 90' 71' H 0.91 A 2.32 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
8.2
28
FREDDIE W
 8.2
26
ANDY ROBE
4
VIRGIL VA
 7.9
5
IBRAHIMA
17
CURTIS JO
 7.3
10
ALEXIS MA
8
DOMINIK S
18
CODY GAKP
 7.3
7
FLORIAN W
11
MOHAMED S
9
ALEXANDER
1
DEAN HEND
23
JAYDEE CA
5
MAXENCE L
26
CHRIS RIC
3
TYRICK MI
 6.9
20
ADAM WHAR
 7.3
18
DAICHI KA
 6.9
2
DANIEL MU
 7.3
11
BRENNAN J
 6.9
7
ISMAïLA S
14
JEAN-PHIL
SUBSTITUTES · LIVERPOOL
14
Federico Chi...
F
73
Rio Ngumoha
F
38
Ryan Gravenb...
M
42
T. Nyoni
M
30
Jeremie Frim...
D
2
Joe Gomez
D
6
Miloš Kerkez
D
41
Ármin Pécsi
G
79
W. Wright
F
COACH: Arne Slot
SUBSTITUTES · CRYSTAL PALACE
22
Jørgen Stran...
F
19
Will Hughes
M
55
Justin Deven...
M
24
Borna Sosa
D
8
Jefferson Le...
M
17
Nathaniel Cl...
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
44
Walter Benit...
G
10
Yéremy Pino
M
COACH: Oliver Glasner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andy Madley, England
—
LIV MANAGER
Arne Slot
head coach
CRY MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LIV WINS
4
DRAWS
3
CRY WINS
30%
40%
30%
11 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 25
Crystal Palace
2 – 1
Liverpool
L
25 May 25
Liverpool
1 – 1
Crystal Palace
D
05 Oct 24
Crystal Palace
0 – 1
Liverpool
W
14 Apr 24
Liverpool
0 – 1
Crystal Palace
L
09 Dec 23
Crystal Palace
1 – 2
Liverpool
W
LIVERPOOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L L
CRYSTAL PALACE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
LIVERPOOL #4
Won · already at 58 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
CRYSTAL PALACE #13
Lost · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 +38 73
W L L W W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 +13 58
W L D W L
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 +13 58
W W W L D
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 +9 50
W D W W W
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 0 49
D W W D D
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
9 Brentford 33 13 9 11 +4 48
D D D D D
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 -2 48
W D L W D
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 -9 46
L L W W L
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 -3 43
L D W D W
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 -4 42
L L L L W
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 -7 40
D W W D D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 -16 36
W D W L D
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 -34 20
L L L L D
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 -38 17
L L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Florian Wirtz
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Borna Sosa
    Tripping
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dominik Szoboszlai
    Delay of game
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andy Robertson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Curtis Jones
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexander Isak
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Muñoz
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jean-Philippe Mateta
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brennan Johnson
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mohamed Salah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tyrick Mitchell
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andy Robertson
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alexander Isak
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dean Henderson
    Delay of game
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Muñoz
    Roughing
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LIVERPOOL WIN
1.55
64.5% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.67
CRYSTAL PALACE WIN
5.44
18.4% implied
↑ best 5.80

Market favors Liverpool. AI projects LIVERPOOL 93% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LIVERPOOL 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.56 4.40 5.00 +28.9%
1xBet 1.60 4.67 5.74 +30.5%
888Sport 1.53 4.33 5.00 +27.6%
Bet365 1.55 4.50 5.25 +28.5%
Betano 1.60 4.55 5.70 +30.5%
Betfair 1.55 4.50 5.50 +28.5%
BetVictor 1.53 4.50 5.50 +27.6%
Dafabet 1.56 4.60 5.60 +28.9%
Marathonbet 1.57 4.60 5.65 +29.3%
Pinnacle 1.57 4.50 5.67 +29.3%
SBO 1.53 4.33 5.32 +27.6%
Unibet 1.50 4.60 5.80 +26.3%
William Hill 1.53 4.33 5.00 +27.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.14
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.48
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.61
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.21 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.02
Away -0.5 2.47
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.93
Away -1.25 1.71
Away -1.5 1.57
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.