GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · LIVERPOOL 61% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 25 APR · 14:00 LOCAL
LIVERPOOL
5TH · 60 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
CRYSTAL PALACE
L D L D W
· 15TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' Alexander Isak ⚽ 40' Andy Robertson ⚽ 90+6' F. Wirtz
GOALS
⚽ 71' Daniel Muñoz
Andy Robertson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Andy Robertson
Liverpool · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 37% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
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Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Premier League: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.91
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.32
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  2. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dean Henderson
    CRY
  3. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alexander Isak · assist Alexis Mac Allister
    LIV
  4. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andy Robertson · assist Curtis Jones
    LIV
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tyrick Mitchell · assist Borna Sosa
    CRY
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mohamed Salah · assist Jeremie Frimpong
    LIV
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Johnson · assist Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jean Philippe Mateta · assist Jørgen Strand Larsen
    CRY
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexander Isak · assist Ryan Gravenberch
    LIV
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Curtis Jones · assist Joe Gomez
    LIV
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andy Robertson · assist Miloš Kerkez
    LIV
  13. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dominik Szoboszlai
    LIV
  14. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Borna Sosa
    CRY
  15. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    F. Wirtz · assist Alexis Mac Allister
    LIV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LIVERPOOL AVG 7.8
CRYSTAL PALACE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
2.3
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
7.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
459.0
PASSES
400.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LIVERPOOL 3 shots
Andy Robertson
1/1
F. Wirtz
1/1
Alexis Mac Allister
0/1
CRYSTAL PALACE 5 shots
Ismaïla Sarr
2/2
Daniel Muñoz
1/2
B. Johnson
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.91 – 2.32
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 35' 40' 90' 71' H 0.91 A 2.32 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
8.2
28
F. WOODMA
 8.2
26
ANDY ROBE
4
VIRGIL VA
 7.9
5
I. KONATé
17
CURTIS JO
 7.3
10
ALEXIS MA
8
DOMINIK S
18
CODY GAKP
 7.3
7
F. WIRTZ
11
MOHAMED S
9
ALEXANDER
1
DEAN HEND
23
JAYDEE CA
5
MAXENCE L
26
CHRIS RIC
3
TYRICK MI
 6.9
20
ADAM WHAR
 7.3
18
D. KAMADA
 6.9
2
DANIEL MU
 7.3
11
B. JOHNSO
 6.9
7
ISMAïLA S
14
JEAN PHIL
SUBSTITUTES · LIVERPOOL
14
Federico Chi...
F
73
Rio Ngumoha
F
38
Ryan Gravenb...
M
42
Trey Nyoni
M
30
Jeremie Frim...
D
2
Joe Gomez
D
6
Miloš Kerkez
D
41
Ármin Pécsi
G
79
Will Wright
F
COACH: Arne Slot
SUBSTITUTES · CRYSTAL PALACE
22
Jørgen Stran...
F
19
Will Hughes
M
55
J. Devenny
M
24
Borna Sosa
D
8
Jefferson Le...
M
17
Nathaniel Cl...
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
44
Walter Benít...
G
10
Yéremy Pino
M
COACH: Oliver Glasner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Madley
—
LIV MANAGER
Arne Slot
head coach
CRY MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LIV WINS
4
DRAWS
3
CRY WINS
30%
40%
30%
11 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Crystal Palace
2 – 1
Liverpool
L
25 May 2025
Liverpool
1 – 1
Crystal Palace
D
05 Oct 2024
Crystal Palace
0 – 1
Liverpool
W
14 Apr 2024
Liverpool
0 – 1
Crystal Palace
L
09 Dec 2023
Crystal Palace
1 – 2
Liverpool
W
LIVERPOOL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L W
CRYSTAL PALACE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
LIVERPOOL #5
Won · already at 60 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
CRYSTAL PALACE #15
Lost · already at 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · F. Wirtz
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Borna Sosa
    Tripping
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dominik Szoboszlai
    Delay of game
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andy Robertson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Curtis Jones
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexander Isak
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Muñoz
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jean Philippe Mateta
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Johnson
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mohamed Salah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tyrick Mitchell
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andy Robertson
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alexander Isak
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dean Henderson
    Delay of game
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Muñoz
    Roughing
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LIVERPOOL WIN
1.55
64.5% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.67
CRYSTAL PALACE WIN
5.44
18.4% implied
↑ best 5.80

Market favors Liverpool. AI projects LIVERPOOL 61% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LIVERPOOL 61% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.56 4.40 5.00 -0.7%
1xBet 1.60 4.67 5.74 +0.6%
888Sport 1.53 4.33 5.00 -1.1%
Bet365 1.55 4.50 5.25 -0.2%
Betano 1.60 4.55 5.70 +0.0%
Betfair 1.55 4.50 5.50 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.53 4.50 5.50 -0.2%
Dafabet 1.56 4.60 5.60 +0.3%
Marathonbet 1.57 4.60 5.65 +0.3%
Pinnacle 1.57 4.50 5.67 -0.2%
SBO 1.53 4.33 5.32 -1.1%
Unibet 1.50 4.60 5.80 +0.3%
William Hill 1.53 4.33 5.00 -1.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.14
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.48
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.61
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.21 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.02
Away -0.5 2.47
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.93
Away -1.25 1.71
Away -1.5 1.57
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.