Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 22 AUG · 11:30 LOCAL
LINCOLN
FT
1 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
PORTSMOUTH
⚽ 32' Reeco Hackett-Fairchild (P)
GOALS
⚽ 7' Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ⚽ 16' Adrian Segečić ⚽ 69' Ebou Adams
Adrian Segečić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adrian Segečić
Portsmouth · 69 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.09
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.71
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
62%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryan Kavuma-McQueen · assist Abu Kamara
    POR
  2. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adrian Segečić
    POR
  3. 32'
    Goal · Penalty
    Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
    LIN
  4. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Freddie Draper
    LIN
  5. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tendayi Darikwa · assist Andrei Coubiș
    LIN
  6. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rocco Robert Shein
    POR
  7. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ryan Kavuma-McQueen · assist Josh Murphy
    POR
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rocco Robert Shein · assist Ebou Adams
    POR
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ivan Varfolomeev · assist Tom Bayliss
    LIN
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dom Jefferies · assist Robert Street
    LIN
  11. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tom Bayliss
    LIN
  12. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ebou Adams
    POR
  13. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tom Hamer
    LIN
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ben House · assist Mason Melia
    LIN
  15. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Freddie Draper · assist Tanto Olaofe
    LIN
  16. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Josh Murphy · assist Marko Milovanović
    POR
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Abu Kamara · assist Luke Brooke-Smith
    POR
  18. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Marlon Pack · assist Josh Knight
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LINCOLN AVG 6.7
PORTSMOUTH AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.7
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
154.0
PASSES
249.0
62.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
7.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LINCOLN 6 shots
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
1/3
Ben House
2/3
PORTSMOUTH 5 shots
Abu Kamara
0/2
Adrian Segečić
1/1
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
1/1
Ebou Adams
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.090.71
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 32' 7' 16' 69' H 2.09 A 0.71 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · LINCOLN
17
Robert Stree...
F
10
Mason Melia
F
20
Callum Elder
D
8
Tom Bayliss
M
26
Yunus Konak
M
4
Andrei Coubi...
D
6
Ryley Towler
D
46
Joe Gauci
G
19
Tanto Olaofe
F
COACH: Tom Shaw
SUBSTITUTES · PORTSMOUTH
29
Marko Milova...
F
23
Josh Murphy
M
8
John Swift
M
27
Odin Bailey
M
38
Ebou Adams
M
4
Josh Knight
D
55
Madiodio Dia
D
31
Daniel Bieli...
G
28
Luke Brooke-...
F
COACH: John Mousinho
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tony Harrington, England
LIN MANAGER
Tom Shaw
head coach
POR MANAGER
John Mousinho
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
LIN WINS
2
DRAWS
7
POR WINS
10%
20%
70%
5 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LINCOLN LAST 5 OVERALL
L
PORTSMOUTH LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Marlon Pack
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Abu Kamara
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Josh Murphy
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Freddie Draper
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ben House
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tom Hamer
    Foul
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ebou Adams
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tom Bayliss
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dom Jefferies
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ivan Varfolomeev
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rocco Robert Shein
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rocco Robert Shein
    Foul
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tendayi Darikwa
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Freddie Draper
    Foul
  • 32'
    Goal · Penalty · Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adrian Segečić
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LINCOLN WIN
2.32
43.1% implied
↑ best 2.43
DRAW
3.28
30.5% implied
↑ best 3.42
PORTSMOUTH WIN
3.03
33% implied
↑ best 3.17
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 2.31 3.26 3.05
Bet365 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betano 2.35 3.35 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 2.30 3.30 3.10
Dafabet 2.36 3.40 3.10
Marathonbet 2.29 3.26 3.04
Pinnacle 2.35 3.42 3.17
SBO 2.26 3.02 2.80
Superbet 2.35 3.35 3.05
Unibet 2.43 3.20 2.88
William Hill 2.30 3.25 3.00

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.26
2.5 O 2.00 U 1.79
3.5 O 3.44 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 9 bks
NO
1.98 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.82
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.26
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.