GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Liga MX · APERTURA - 3 · SUN, 02 AUG · 01:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LEON
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
PACHUCA
⚽ 41' Daniel Arcila
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LEO
1 – 1
PAC
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS LEON TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LEO WIN 38%
DRAW 32%
PAC WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early kickoff, scoreless at 1'; form data sparse and conflicting — treat as weak baseline until clear momentum emerges.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LEON FAVORED
38%
Leon poor recent form (LLLLW) vs Pachuca slightly better (LWLWW) but match just started
+25.0%
Home form split shows Leon struggling at home (LLWWL), Pachuca mixed away (WLWLW) — negligible edge
+20.0%
No season stats (xG, clean sheets) or lineups available — high uncertainty at 1' with no significant events yet
+15.0%
WHY PACHUCA CHALLENGED
30%
Leon poor recent form (LLLLW) vs Pachuca slightly better (LWLWW) but match just started
+25.0%
Home form split shows Leon struggling at home (LLWWL), Pachuca mixed away (WLWLW) — negligible edge
+20.0%
No season stats (xG, clean sheets) or lineups available — high uncertainty at 1' with no significant events yet
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Leon poor recent form (LLLLW) vs Pachuca slightly better (LWLWW) but match just started
  • Home form split shows Leon struggling at home (LLWWL), Pachuca mixed away (WLWLW) — negligible edge
  • No season stats (xG, clean sheets) or lineups available — high uncertainty at 1' with no significant events yet
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 41' DANIEL ARC
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.9
13.5
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.1%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 61.3% · rest 38.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.84
38.0%
2.63
+8.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
70.0%
1.43
+7.4%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.26
32.0%
3.13
+4.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
68.0%
1.47
-11.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.61
54.0%
1.85
-12.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.80
48.0%
2.08
-13.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
62.0%
1.61
-14.5%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.39
30.0%
3.33
-28.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.