GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 41% · Value: Over 2.5 66%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 29 · WED, 13 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
LENS
2ND · 70 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D D
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
L W D D W
· 1ST · 76 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 29' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 90+3' Ibrahim Mbaye
Ilya Zabarnyi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ilya Zabarnyi
Paris Saint Germain · 92 mins
· 85% pass acc
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

102%
BALL POSSESSION %
113%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
10
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
337%
PASS ACCURACY %
633%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · 0-1
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    PAR
  2. 45'
    Card · Foul
    Ilya Zabarnyi
    PAR
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Vitinha · assist Bradley Barcola
    PAR
  4. 60'
    Subst
    Florian Thauvin · assist Wesley Saïd 
    LEN
  5. 60'
    Subst
    Kyllian Antonio · assist Samson Baidoo 
    LEN
  6. 61'
    Subst
    Allan Saint-Maximin · assist Odsonne Édouard
    LEN
  7. 61'
    Subst
    Fabián Ruiz · assist Lucas Hernández
    PAR
  8. 72'
    Subst
    Gonçalo Ramos · assist Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    PAR
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Dimitri Lucea · assist João Neves
    PAR
  10. 76'
    Subst
    Ibrahim Mbaye
    PAR
  11. 85'
    Subst
    Florian Sotoca · assist Abdallah Sima
    LEN
  12. 85'
    Subst
    Andrija Bulatovic · assist Ruben Aguilar
    LEN
  13. 90'+3
    Goal · 0-2
    Ibrahim Mbaye · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LENS AVG 7.3
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN AVG 8.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
102.0%
POSSESSION %
113.0%
423.0
PASSES
716.0
337.0%
PASS ACCURACY
633.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
23.0
OFFSIDES
20.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
3.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LENS 8 shots
Wesley Saïd
2/3
Mamadou Sangare
2/2
Adrien Thomasson
1/2
Allan Saint-Maximin
0/1
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 2 shots
Ousmane Dembélé
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
40
ROBIN RIS
20
MALANG SA
6
SAMSON BA
25
ISMAELO G
14
MATTHIEU
 7.2
28
ADRIEN TH
 7.7
8
MAMADOU S
 7.5
2
RUBEN AGU
 7.0
22
WESLEY SA
19
ABDALLAH
11
ODSONNE É
 9.2
39
M. SAFONO
21
LUCAS HER
4
LUCAS BER
 9.2
6
ILYA ZABA
24
SENNY MAY
27
DRO FERNA
87
JOãO NEVE
14
DéSIRé DO
7
KHVICHA K
 7.5
10
OUSMANE D
29
BRADLEY B
SUBSTITUTES · LENS
10
Florian Thau...
F
9
Allan Saint-...
F
7
Florian Soto...
F
5
Andrija Bula...
M
21
Amadou Haida...
M
32
Kyllian Anto...
D
27
Arthur Masua...
D
16
Mathieu Gorg...
G
41
Mezian Meslo...
M
COACH: Pierre Sage
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
17
Vitinha
M
53
Thomas Cordi...
D
42
D. Boly
D
54
Dimitri Luce...
D
5
Marquinhos
D
89
Renato Marin
G
49
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Bastien
—
LEN MANAGER
Pierre Sage
head coach
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
LEN WINS
3
DRAWS
6
PAR WINS
10%
30%
60%
9 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Sep 2025
Paris Saint Germain
2 – 0
Lens
L
18 Jan 2025
Lens
1 – 2
Paris Saint Germain
L
22 Dec 2024
Lens
1 – 1
Paris Saint Germain
D
02 Nov 2024
Paris Saint Germain
1 – 0
Lens
L
14 Jan 2024
Lens
0 – 2
Paris Saint Germain
L
LENS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
LENS #2
Lost · already at 70 pts
Champions League
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN #1
Won · already at 76 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D D L D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · 0-2 · Ibrahim Mbaye
    2nd Goal
  • 85'
    Subst · Andrija Bulatovic
    9th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Florian Sotoca
    10th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Ibrahim Mbaye
    8th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Dimitri Lucea
    7th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Gonçalo Ramos
    6th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Fabián Ruiz
    5th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Allan Saint-Maximin
    4th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Kyllian Antonio
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Florian Thauvin
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Vitinha
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Foul · Ilya Zabarnyi
    1st Yellowcard
  • 29'
    Goal · 0-1 · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LENS WIN
3.01
33.2% implied
↑ best 3.45
DRAW
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 4.00
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
2.16
46.3% implied
↑ best 2.29

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 41% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 41% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.92 3.85 2.15 +0.8%
1xBet 3.07 3.96 2.29 +2.4%
888Sport 3.00 3.60 2.10 +1.7%
Bet365 2.90 3.80 2.20 +0.5%
Betano 2.95 3.95 2.18 +1.1%
Betfair 3.00 3.75 2.10 +1.7%
BetVictor 3.00 3.90 2.15 +1.7%
Dafabet 3.45 4.00 2.01 +6.0%
Marathonbet 3.04 3.90 2.24 +2.1%
Pinnacle 3.11 3.97 2.20 +2.8%
SBO 2.81 3.57 2.20 -0.6%
Unibet 3.00 3.90 2.10 +1.7%
William Hill 2.90 3.60 2.15 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.51
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.62
3.5 O 2.17 U 1.69
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.40 10 bks
NO
2.75 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.51
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.