GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · LEEDS 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · FRI, 01 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
LEEDS
14TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D D W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
BURNLEY
D L D L L
· 19TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Anton Stach ⚽ 52' Noah Okafor ⚽ 56' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
GOALS
⚽ 71' Loum Tchaouna
Anton Stach
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Anton Stach
Leeds · 72 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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Huge win in battle for survival! | Leeds United 3-1 Burnley | Premier League highlights
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Premier League: Leeds vs Burnley
Premier League: Leeds vs Burnley
Premier League: Leeds vs Burnley
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

115%
BALL POSSESSION %
80%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
9
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
356%
PASS ACCURACY %
416%
5
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-0
    Anton Stach · assist Jaka Bijol
    LEE
  2. 27'
    Card · Foul
    Pascal Struijk
    LEE
  3. 35'
    Card · Foul
    Bashir Humphreys
    BUR
  4. 37'
    Card · Argument
    Loum Tchaouna
    BUR
  5. 40'
    Card · Foul
    Joe Rodon
    LEE
  6. 48'
    Card · Foul
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    LEE
  7. 52'
    Goal · 2-0
    Noah Okafor · assist Jayden Bogle
    LEE
  8. 54'
    Subst
    Hannibal · assist Josh Laurent
    BUR
  9. 56'
    Goal · 3-0
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin · assist Ao Tanaka
    LEE
  10. 65'
    Subst
    Florentino · assist James Ward-Prowse
    BUR
  11. 65'
    Subst
    Lukas Nmecha · assist Noah Okafor
    LEE
  12. 65'
    Subst
    Lucas Pires · assist Quilindschy Hartman
    BUR
  13. 69'
    Var
    Lucas Pires
    BUR
  14. 71'
    Goal · 3-1
    Loum Tchaouna · assist Jaidon Anthony
    BUR
  15. 72'
    Subst
    Brenden Aaronson · assist Anton Stach
    LEE
  16. 72'
    Subst
    Sean Longstaff · assist Ao Tanaka
    LEE
  17. 75'
    Card · Foul
    Ethan Ampadu
    LEE
  18. 76'
    Subst
    Zeki Amdouni · assist Bashir Humphreys
    BUR
  19. 76'
    Subst
    Armando Broja · assist Zian Flemming
    BUR
  20. 88'
    Card · Foul
    Hannibal
    BUR
  21. 90'+4
    Subst
    Daniel James · assist Jayden Bogle
    LEE
  22. 90'+4
    Subst
    Wilfried Gnonto · assist Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    LEE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LEEDS AVG 7.5
BURNLEY AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
8.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
115.0%
POSSESSION %
80.0%
448.0
PASSES
503.0
356.0%
PASS ACCURACY
416.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
0.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LEEDS 5 shots
Anton Stach
1/3
Noah Okafor
1/1
James Justin
1/1
BURNLEY 2 shots
Loum Tchaouna
1/1
James Ward-Prowse
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 5-4-1
3-5-2
5-4-1
26
KARL DARL
5
PASCAL ST
 7.3
15
JAKA BIJO
6
JOE RODON
 7.2
24
JAMES JUS
22
AO TANAKA
4
ETHAN AMP
 8.0
18
ANTON STA
 7.5
2
JAYDEN BO
 7.3
19
NOAH OKAF
9
DOMINIC C
1
MARTIN Dú
3
QUILINDSC
12
BASHIR HU
5
MAXIME ES
18
HJALMAR E
2
KYLE WALK
 6.7
11
JAIDON AN
 6.7
20
JAMES WAR
29
JOSH LAUR
 7.2
17
LOUM TCHA
19
ZIAN FLEM
SUBSTITUTES · LEEDS
10
Joël Piroe
F
7
Daniel James
M
23
Sebastiaan B...
D
25
Sam Byram
D
1
Lucas Perri
G
8
Sean Longsta...
M
11
Brenden Aaro...
M
14
Lukas Nmecha
F
29
Wilfried Gno...
F
COACH: Daniel Farke
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
8
Lesley Ugoch...
M
4
Joe Worrall
D
13
Max Weiss
G
27
Armando Broj...
F
25
Zeki Amdouni
F
16
Florentino L...
M
23
Lucas Pires
D
28
Hannibal Mej...
M
10
Marcus Edwar...
F
COACH: Scott Parker
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
T. Bramall
—
LEE MANAGER
Daniel Farke
head coach
BUR MANAGER
Scott Parker
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
LEE WINS
3
DRAWS
3
BUR WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Burnley
2 – 0
Leeds
L
27 Jan 2025
Burnley
0 – 0
Leeds
D
14 Sep 2024
Leeds
0 – 1
Burnley
L
02 Jan 2022
Leeds
3 – 1
Burnley
W
29 Aug 2021
Burnley
1 – 1
Leeds
D
LEEDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D D W
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
LEEDS #14
Won · already at 47 pts
BURNLEY #19
Lost · already at 22 pts
Relegation - Championship
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Wilfried Gnonto
    9th Substitution
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Daniel James
    10th Substitution
  • 88'
    Card · Foul · Hannibal
    7th Yellowcard
  • 76'
    Subst · Armando Broja
    8th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Zeki Amdouni
    7th Substitution
  • 75'
    Card · Foul · Ethan Ampadu
    6th Yellowcard
  • 72'
    Subst · Sean Longstaff
    6th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Brenden Aaronson
    5th Substitution
  • 71'
    Goal · 3-1 · Loum Tchaouna
    4th Goal
  • 69'
    Var · Lucas Pires
    Var
  • 65'
    Subst · Lucas Pires
    4th Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Lukas Nmecha
    3rd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Florentino
    2nd Substitution
  • 56'
    Goal · 3-0 · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    3rd Goal
  • 54'
    Subst · Hannibal
    1st Substitution
  • 52'
    Goal · 2-0 · Noah Okafor
    2nd Goal
  • 48'
    Card · Foul · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    5th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Foul · Joe Rodon
    4th Yellowcard
  • 37'
    Card · Argument · Loum Tchaouna
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 35'
    Card · Foul · Bashir Humphreys
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 27'
    Card · Foul · Pascal Struijk
    1st Yellowcard
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-0 · Anton Stach
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LEEDS WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.43
DRAW
4.98
20.1% implied
↑ best 5.25
BURNLEY WIN
8.61
11.6% implied
↑ best 9.50

Market favors Leeds. AI projects LEEDS 64%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LEEDS 64% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.34 4.85 8.40 +4.1%
1xBet 1.40 5.18 9.10 +5.0%
888Sport 1.36 4.60 8.00 +3.5%
Bet365 1.36 5.00 8.50 +4.2%
Betano 1.39 5.10 9.25 +5.2%
Betfair 1.36 5.00 9.00 +4.9%
BetVictor 1.33 5.25 9.00 +4.9%
Dafabet 1.43 5.00 7.20 +2.1%
Marathonbet 1.38 5.10 9.00 +4.9%
Pinnacle 1.38 5.05 9.11 +5.0%
SBO 1.36 4.83 7.91 +3.4%
Unibet 1.32 5.20 9.50 +5.5%
William Hill 1.36 4.60 8.00 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.38
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.26
3.5 O 2.57 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 10 bks
NO
1.83 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.05
Away -0.5 3.09
Away -0.75 2.82
Away -1 2.48
Away -1.25 2.06
Away -1.5 1.80
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.