Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round · PROMOTION ROUND - 1 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LEçA
FT
4 2
FULL TIME
VIANENSE
⚽ 48' D. Muale Nzanza ⚽ 50' Nuno Pereira ⚽ 81' — ⚽ 90+3' Nuno Pereira
GOALS
⚽ 3' — ⚽ 12' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LE�
2 2
VIA
most likely scoreline · 7.6% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 44%
FT 4 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LE� WIN 38%
DRAW 44%
VIA WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 95% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 95% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied 2-2 at 67'; draw most likely given 23 min remaining and current balance.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LEçA CHALLENGED
38%
Level scoreline at 2-2 with 23 minutes remaining — draw is base case
CONTEXT
Both teams have scored twice — BTTS nearly certain; attacking momentum present
CONTEXT
No season data or H2H history available; limited confidence
CONTEXT
WHY VIANENSE CHALLENGED
18%
Level scoreline at 2-2 with 23 minutes remaining — draw is base case
CONTEXT
Both teams have scored twice — BTTS nearly certain; attacking momentum present
CONTEXT
No season data or H2H history available; limited confidence
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Level scoreline at 2-2 with 23 minutes remaining — draw is base case
  • Both teams have scored twice — BTTS nearly certain; attacking momentum present
  • No season data or H2H history available; limited confidence
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 3' 12' 48' D. MUALE N 50' NUNO PEREI 81' 93' NUNO PEREI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.5
3.4
2.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
1
3.8
7.3
7.0
4.5
2.2
0.8
0.3
2
4.0
7.6
7.3
4.7
2.2
0.9
0.3
3
2.8
5.3
5.1
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.4
2.7
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 1 7.6%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.3%
1 — 2 7.0%
3 — 1 5.3%
Top 5 = 34.5% · rest 65.5%