GOALSENSE
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Champions League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 21 JUL · 19:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LARNE
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME
FK CRVENA ZVEZDA
GOALS
⚽ 26' Bruno Duarte ⚽ 55' Vasilije Kostov ⚽ 67' Bruno Duarte ⚽ 85' Muhammed-Cham Saračević
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LAR
0 – 1
FK
most likely scoreline · 15.7% probability
AI PICKS FK CRVENA ZVEZDA TO WIN 40%
FT 0 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LAR WIN 28%
DRAW 32%
FK WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 72% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 72% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early kickoff (1') with no data; Crvena Zvezda's superior away form and recent record favours visitors despite home advantage.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LARNE CHALLENGED
28%
Away team typically stronger in European competition; Serbian league higher tier than Larne's
+20.0%
WHY FK CRVENA ZVEZDA FAVORED
40%
FK Crvena Zvezda's strong away form (WWWWL) vs Larne's limited recent sample
+25.0%
0-0 at 1' offers no momentum signal yet — baseline form/quality dominates
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • FK Crvena Zvezda's strong away form (WWWWL) vs Larne's limited recent sample
  • 0-0 at 1' offers no momentum signal yet — baseline form/quality dominates
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 26' BRUNO DUAR ⚽ 55' VASILIJE K ⚽ 67' BRUNO DUAR ⚽ 85' MUHAMMED-C
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
15.7
8.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
1
12.7
13.4
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
·
2
5.4
5.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
·
3
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 15.7%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.4%
1 — 0 12.7%
0 — 2 8.2%
Top 5 = 65.0% · rest 35.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
14.86
28.0%
3.57
+316.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.92
60.0%
1.67
+195.2%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
7.14
32.0%
3.13
+128.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.03
72.0%
1.39
-26.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.07
68.0%
1.47
-27.0%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.34
28.0%
3.57
-34.6%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.49
35.0%
2.86
-47.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
40.0%
2.50
-53.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.