GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · FC TOKYO 93%
CONF 86 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 07:00 LOCAL
KASHIWA REYSOL
8TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
FC TOKYO
D L D W L
· 2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 72' Nobuteru Nakagawa
GOALS
⚽ 43' Keita Endo ⚽ 60' Ryunosuke Sato ⚽ 89' Ryunosuke Sato (P)
Ryunosuke Sato
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ryunosuke Sato
FC Tokyo · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 15% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC TOKYO - Game Highlights | MW13
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

57%
BALL POSSESSION %
43%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
18
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 13'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daiki Sugioka
    KAS
  2. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Keita Endo · assist Marcelo Ryan
    FC
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yudai Konishi · assist Riki Harakawa
    KAS
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mao Hosoya · assist Yuki Kakita
    KAS
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yota Komi · assist Tomoaki Okubo
    KAS
  6. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryunosuke Sato · assist Marcelo Ryan
    FC
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daiki Sugioka · assist Hinata Yamauchi
    KAS
  8. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nobuteru Nakagawa
    KAS
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Keita Endo · assist Leon Nozawa
    FC
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Divine Chinedu Otani
    FC
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nobuteru Nakagawa · assist Rei Shimano
    KAS
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kyota Tokiwa · assist Takahiro Ko
    FC
  13. 89'
    Goal · Penalty
    Ryunosuke Sato
    FC
  14. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kein Sato · assist Fuki Yamada
    FC
  15. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ryunosuke Sato · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KASHIWA REYSOL AVG 7.2
FC TOKYO AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
6.0
ON TARGET
9.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
43.0%
507.0
PASSES
382.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
6.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KASHIWA REYSOL 6 shots
Nobuteru Nakagawa
2/3
Yudai Konishi
0/1
Tomoaki Okubo
0/1
Koya Yuruki
1/1
FC TOKYO 8 shots
Ryunosuke Sato
3/4
Kento Hashimoto
1/2
Keita Endo
2/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-4-2
3-4-2-1
4-4-2
7.7
29
KENGO NAG
26
DAIKI SUG
4
TAIYO KOG
42
WATARU HA
15
YOTA KOMI
 7.6
39
NOBUTERU
 7.3
21
YUDAI KON
32
YOSEI YAM
 6.6
16
KOYA YURU
20
YUSUKE SE
9
MAO HOSOY
81
KIM SEUNG
 7.3
42
KENTO HAS
17
HAYATO IN
15
RIO OMORI
2
SEI MUROY
 7.3
22
KEITA END
27
KYOTA TOK
 7.2
18
KENTO HAS
16
KEIN SATO
 9.0
23
RYUNOSUKE
9
MARCELO R
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIWA REYSOL
88
Seiya Baba
D
2
Hiromu Mitsu...
D
46
K. Matsumoto
G
38
Rei Shimano
M
87
Hinata Yamau...
M
14
Tomoaki Okub...
M
18
Yuki Kakita
F
40
Riki Harakaw...
M
28
Sachiro Tosh...
M
COACH: Ricardo Rodriguez
SUBSTITUTES · FC TOKYO
44
Kaede Suzuki
D
3
Masato Moris...
D
1
Hayate Tanak...
G
39
Teruhito Nak...
F
71
Fuki Yamada
M
8
Takahiro Ko
M
55
Divine Chine...
F
28
Leon Nozawa
F
10
Keigo Higash...
M
COACH: Rikizo Matsuhashi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Nakamura
—
KAS MANAGER
Ricardo Rodriguez
head coach
FC MANAGER
Rikizo Matsuhashi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
KAS WINS
3
DRAWS
3
FC WINS
40%
30%
30%
15 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Feb 2026
FC Tokyo
0 – 2
Kashiwa Reysol
W
05 Jul 2025
Kashiwa Reysol
1 – 0
FC Tokyo
W
11 Apr 2025
FC Tokyo
1 – 1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
06 Jul 2024
Kashiwa Reysol
3 – 2
FC Tokyo
W
11 May 2024
FC Tokyo
3 – 3
Kashiwa Reysol
D
KASHIWA REYSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
FC TOKYO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
KASHIWA REYSOL #8
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
FC TOKYO #2
Won · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kein Sato
  • 89'
    Goal · Penalty · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kyota Tokiwa
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nobuteru Nakagawa
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marcelo Ryan
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Keita Endo
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nobuteru Nakagawa
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daiki Sugioka
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yota Komi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mao Hosoya
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yudai Konishi
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Keita Endo
  • 13'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daiki Sugioka
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
KASHIWA REYSOL WIN
2.55
39.2% implied
↑ best 2.64
DRAW
3.29
30.4% implied
↑ best 3.44
FC TOKYO WIN
2.66
37.6% implied
↑ best 2.76

Market favors Kashiwa Reysol. AI projects FC TOKYO 93%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC TOKYO 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.55 3.35 2.65 +55.3%
1xBet 2.55 3.30 2.66 +55.4%
Bet365 2.55 3.30 2.70 +56.0%
Betano 2.57 3.30 2.65 +55.3%
Betfair 2.45 3.25 2.60 +54.5%
BetVictor 2.60 3.30 2.70 +56.0%
Dafabet 2.60 3.40 2.70 +56.0%
Marathonbet 2.55 3.30 2.66 +55.4%
Pinnacle 2.64 3.44 2.76 +56.8%
SBO 2.52 3.10 2.56 +53.9%
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.62 +54.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.29
2.5 O 1.98 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.42 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.73 8 bks
NO
1.99 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.66
Away -0.5 1.52
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.