GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · INTER MIAMI 96% · Value: Over 2.5 98%
CONF 89 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · WED, 22 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
INTER MIAMI
2ND · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CHICAGO FIRE
D W W W L
· 3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 27' Luis Suárez (P) ⚽ 51' Luis Suárez ⚽ 87' Preston Plambeck
GOALS
⚽ 18' Rocco Ríos Novo (OG) ⚽ 67' P. Dithejane
Luis Suárez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Suárez
Inter Miami · Captain · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 31% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.11
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.84
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
14
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Rocco Ríos Novo
    CHI
  2. 27'
    Goal · Penalty
    Luis Suárez
    INT
  3. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Suárez · assist Germán Berterame
    INT
  4. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Lewandowski · assist R. Lod
    CHI
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist P. Dithejane
    CHI
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  7. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Elliott
    CHI
  8. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Dithejane · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    David Ruíz · assist Preston Plambeck
    INT
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mateo Silvetti · assist Daniel Pinter
    INT
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ian Fray · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  12. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Plambeck
    INT
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maren Haile-Selassie · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Andrew Gutman · assist V. Radojevic
    CHI
  15. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Reguilon
    INT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INTER MIAMI AVG 7.6
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
505.0
PASSES
454.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INTER MIAMI 6 shots
Luis Suárez
3/4
Germán Berterame
1/1
Telasco Segovia
0/1
CHICAGO FIRE 4 shots
P. Dithejane
1/1
Philip Zinckernagel
0/1
Dje Tah D'Avilla
1/1
Maren Haile-Selassie
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.11 – 1.84
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 27' 51' 87' 18' 67' H 2.11 A 1.84 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
34
ROCCO RíO
3
S. REGUIL
 7.2
16
MICAEL
17
IAN FRAY
4
FACUNDO M
24
MATEO SIL
 7.3
8
TELASCO S
42
YANNICK B
 7.5
41
DAVID RUí
 8.6
9
LUIS SUáR
 7.3
19
GERMáN BE
 6.5
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
3
JACK ELLI
16
JOEL WATE
24
JONATHAN
19
JONATHAN
6
A. SALETR
 6.9
42
DJE TAH D
 7.3
11
PHILIP ZI
9
R. LEWAND
 6.9
7
MAREN HAI
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
52
Diego Rey
F
55
Ian Urkidi
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
32
Noah Allen
D
76
Ezequiel Aba...
D
70
Daniel Sumal...
D
97
Dayne St. Cl...
G
56
Daniel Pinte...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
17
R. Lod
M
12
P. Dithejane
F
35
Sergio Orege...
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
14
V. Radojevic
D
2
L. Barroso
D
5
Sam Rogers
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Vazquez
—
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
INT WINS
2
DRAWS
4
CHI WINS
40%
20%
40%
19 – 21
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Sep 2025
Inter Miami
3 – 5
Chicago Fire
L
13 Apr 2025
Chicago Fire
0 – 0
Inter Miami
D
01 Sep 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 4
Inter Miami
W
20 Jul 2024
Inter Miami
2 – 1
Chicago Fire
W
05 Oct 2023
Chicago Fire
4 – 1
Inter Miami
L
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
INTER MIAMI #2
Won · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Lost · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Reguilon
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Andrew Gutman
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maren Haile-Selassie
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Plambeck
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ian Fray
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mateo Silvetti
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · David Ruíz
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Dithejane
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Elliott
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Lewandowski
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Suárez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 27'
    Goal · Penalty · Luis Suárez
  • 18'
    Goal · Own Goal · Rocco Ríos Novo
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
INTER MIAMI WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.96
25.3% implied
↑ best 4.05
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
2.63
38% implied
↑ best 3.05

Market favors Inter Miami. AI projects INTER MIAMI 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INTER MIAMI 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.44 4.00 2.45 +55.0%
Bet365 2.45 4.00 2.55 +55.2%
Betano 2.40 4.05 2.60 +54.3%
Betfair 2.30 3.90 2.63 +52.5%
BetVictor 2.38 4.00 2.55 +54.0%
Dafabet 2.43 4.00 2.65 +54.8%
Marathonbet 2.33 4.00 2.54 +53.1%
Pinnacle 2.44 4.04 2.66 +55.0%
SBO 2.20 3.83 2.68 +50.5%
Superbet 2.12 4.00 3.05 +48.8%
Unibet 2.30 4.00 2.65 +52.5%
William Hill 2.30 3.75 2.50 +52.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.39
2.5 O 1.33 U 3.28
3.5 O 1.83 U 1.96
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.31 9 bks
NO
3.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.76
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.