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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · HOUSTON DYNAMO 98% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 00:30 LOCAL
HOUSTON DYNAMO
2ND · 38 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
AUSTIN
D W L L W
· 14TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' M. Bogusz ⚽ 29' M. Bogusz ⚽ 32' Guilherme
GOALS
Guilherme
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo · 84 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 37% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Houston Dynamo FC vs. Austin FC | Full Match Highlights | Battle for Texas!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.70
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.82
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
15
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
1
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Bogusz · assist Ezequiel Ponce
    HOU
  2. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ilie Sánchez
    AUS
  3. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Bogusz · assist Guilherme
    HOU
  4. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme · assist A. Bouzat
    HOU
  5. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felipe Andrade
    HOU
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ilie Sánchez · assist Besard Sabović
    AUS
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    P. Placheta · assist J. Rosales
    AUS
  8. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Besard Sabović
    AUS
  9. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter
    HOU
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    D. Samassékou · assist Artur
    HOU
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Bouzat · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist D. McGuire
    HOU
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    F. Torres · assist E. Torres
    AUS
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Oleksandr Svatok · assist Mateja Đorđević
    AUS
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jon Gallagher · assist Žan Kolmanič
    AUS
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lucas Halter · assist Erik Sviatchenko
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.8
AUSTIN AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
0.8
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
423.0
PASSES
476.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
6.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HOUSTON DYNAMO 7 shots
M. Bogusz
2/4
Guilherme
1/3
AUSTIN 2 shots
P. Placheta
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.70 – 0.82
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 12' 29' 32' H 1.70 A 0.82 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-4-2
3-4-3
4-4-2
7.5
31
J. BOND
5
LUCAS HAL
18
D. SAMASS
34
A. RESCH
11
L. ENNALI
 7.2
30
A. BOUZAT
 7.2
16
H. HERRER
36
FELIPE AN
 8.7
20
GUILHERME
10
EZEQUIEL
 8.5
19
M. BOGUSZ
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
4
BRENDAN H
5
OLEKSANDR
17
JON GALLA
 7.0
77
P. PLACHE
6
ILIE SáNC
33
OWEN WOLF
11
F. TORRES
9
B. VAZQUE
 6.9
10
MYRTO UZU
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
22
M. Arana
M
8
Jack McGlynn
M
6
Artur
M
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
14
D. Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
21
F. Negri
D
26
B. Gillingha...
G
23
D. McGuire
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
21
C. Ramirez
F
38
E. Torres
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
30
J. Rosales
M
14
Besard Sabov...
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
12
Damian Las
G
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
COACH: Davy Arnaud
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Davy Arnaud
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
HOU WINS
1
DRAWS
5
AUS WINS
40%
10%
50%
10 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Apr 2026
Austin
2 – 0
Houston Dynamo
L
10 Aug 2025
Austin
2 – 2
Houston Dynamo
D
27 Apr 2025
Houston Dynamo
2 – 0
Austin
W
22 Sep 2024
Austin
0 – 1
Houston Dynamo
W
16 May 2024
Austin
1 – 0
Houston Dynamo
L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
HOUSTON DYNAMO #2
Won · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lucas Halter
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jon Gallagher
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Oleksandr Svatok
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · F. Torres
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ezequiel Ponce
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Bouzat
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · D. Samassékou
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Halter
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Besard Sabović
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · P. Placheta
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ilie Sánchez
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Felipe Andrade
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Bogusz
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ilie Sánchez
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Bogusz
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
1.69
59.2% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.04
AUSTIN WIN
4.71
21.2% implied
↑ best 5.10

Market favors Houston Dynamo. AI projects HOUSTON DYNAMO 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HOUSTON DYNAMO 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.68 4.00 4.45 +38.5%
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.75 +39.2%
Betano 1.72 4.00 5.10 +39.9%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.60 +39.2%
BetVictor 1.67 3.90 4.75 +38.1%
Dafabet 1.71 4.00 4.80 +39.5%
Marathonbet 1.67 3.90 4.65 +38.1%
Pinnacle 1.71 4.04 4.91 +39.5%
SBO 1.66 3.77 4.57 +37.8%
Superbet 1.70 4.00 4.70 +39.2%
Unibet 1.70 3.85 4.70 +39.2%
William Hill 1.67 3.75 4.50 +38.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.11
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.77 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 9 bks
NO
2.06 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.61
Away -0.5 2.17
Away -0.75 1.94
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.51
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.