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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · HNK RIJEKA 42%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 06 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
HNK RIJEKA
16TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L W
86'
1 – 0
HT · 1-0
ILVES
W L W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 16' Niko Janković
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Ilves · 75'

LIVE
ILVES HNK RIJE

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

HNK RIJE ILVES
HNK RIJEKA ILVES 56' 71' 86'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 86'

68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
8
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Branko Pavić
    HNK
  2. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Niko Janković · assist Tiago Dantas
    HNK
  3. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jesse Kilo
    ILV
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Toni Fruk · assist Samuele Vignato
    HNK
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alfonso Barco
    HNK
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Teemu Hytönen · assist Roope Riski
    ILV
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lauri Ala-Myllymäki · assist Oskari Multala
    ILV
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Daniel Adu-Adjei · assist Jakov Puljić
    HNK
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tiago Dantas · assist Justas Lasickas
    HNK
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sauli Väisänen · assist Tatu Miettunen
    ILV
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Anton Popovitch · assist Y. Sacko
    ILV
  12. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jardell Kanga
    ILV
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
ON TARGET
1.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
99
ALEKSA TO
34
MLADEN DE
5
ALFONSO B
45
ANTE MAJS
22
ANTE OREč
6
BRANKO PA
26
TIAGO DAN
4
NIKO JANK
10
TONI FRUK
14
AMER GOJA
18
DANIEL AD
12
FARIS KRK
3
MATIAS RA
5
SAULI VäI
24
VILLE KUM
19
ABDOUL GO
15
LAURI ALA
14
ANTON POP
28
JESSE KIL
13
KALLE WAL
9
TEEMU HYT
30
JARDELL K
SUBSTITUTES · HNK RIJEKA
11
Gabriel Ruka...
M
19
Samuele Vign...
M
15
Goran Grulov...
F
21
Jakov Puljić
F
8
Ivan Ćubelić
M
91
Noel Bodetić
D
51
Anel Husić
D
23
Justas Lasic...
D
3
Moreno Živko...
D
1
Vito Kovač
G
13
Igor Vekič
G
37
Cherno Saho
F
COACH: Matjaz Kek
SUBSTITUTES · ILVES
10
Roope Riski
F
33
Yacouba Sack...
M
22
Oskari Multa...
M
17
Stanislav Ba...
M
36
Roope Aho
D
25
Sebastian Su...
D
16
Tatu Miettun...
D
31
Rasmus Leisl...
G
1
Otso Virtane...
G
45
Elias Tammin...
F
COACH: Joni Lehtonen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HNK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ILV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ishmael Barbara, Malta
—
HNK MANAGER
Matjaz Kek
head coach
ILV MANAGER
Joni Lehtonen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
HNK WINS
1
DRAWS
0
ILV WINS
100%
HNK RIJEKA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
ILVES LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jardell Kanga
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Anton Popovitch
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sauli Väisänen
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tiago Dantas
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Daniel Adu-Adjei
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Teemu Hytönen
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alfonso Barco
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Toni Fruk
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jesse Kilo
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Niko Janković
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Branko Pavić
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
HNK RIJEKA WIN
1.23
81.3% implied
↑ best 1.27
DRAW
5.42
18.5% implied
↑ best 6.29
ILVES WIN
11.21
8.9% implied
↑ best 12.80

Market favors HNK Rijeka. AI projects HNK RIJEKA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HNK RIJEKA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.25 5.10 10.25 +16.4%
1xBet 1.24 6.29 12.80 +20.1%
888Sport 1.22 5.00 12.00 +16.0%
Bet365 1.22 4.75 11.00 +14.9%
Betano 1.27 5.20 10.75 +16.8%
Betfair 1.17 5.50 11.00 +17.8%
BetVictor 1.22 5.50 12.00 +17.8%
Dafabet 1.25 5.60 11.00 +18.1%
Marathonbet 1.22 5.75 11.75 +18.6%
Pinnacle 1.23 5.90 11.07 +19.1%
SBO 1.20 5.03 9.06 +16.1%
Superbet 1.26 5.50 9.80 +17.8%
Unibet 1.22 5.75 12.50 +18.6%
William Hill 1.22 5.00 12.00 +16.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.84
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.02
3.5 O 2.80 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.40 11 bks
NO
1.51 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 5.00
Away -0.5 3.36
Away -0.75 3.23
Away -1 2.91
Away -1.25 2.28
Away -1.5 2.00
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.