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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · HIBERNIAN 72%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premiership · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 34 · SUN 26 APR · 15:30 LOCAL
HIBERNIAN
LAST 5:
L W L W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
W L W L L
· LAST 5
⚽ 7' Martin Boyle
GOALS
⚽ 65' Warren O'Hora (OG) ⚽ 86' Blair Spittal
Marc Leonard
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marc Leonard
Heart Of Midlothian · 90 mins
· 67% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.52
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.84
24%
BALL POSSESSION %
76%
4
TOTAL SHOTS
23
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
45%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
0
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 23 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Martin Boyle · assist Jamie McGrath
    HIB
  2. 14'
    Card · Red Card
    Raphael Sallinger
    HIB
  3. 15'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicky Cadden · assist Jordan Smith
    HIB
  4. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Warren O'Hora
    HIB
  5. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stephen Kingsley
    HEA
  6. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felix Passlack
    HIB
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jordi Altena · assist Sabah Kerjota
    HEA
  8. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felix Passlack
    HIB
  9. 48'
    Card · Red Card
    Felix Passlack
    HIB
  10. 49'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Owen Elding · assist Kanayochukwu Megwa
    HIB
  11. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pierre Landry Kaboré · assist Alexandros Kyziridis
    HEA
  12. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Michael Steinwender · assist Blair Spittal
    HEA
  13. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Martin Boyle · assist Ante Šuto
    HIB
  14. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Barlaser · assist Joe Newell
    HIB
  15. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jamie McGrath · assist Josh Campbell
    HIB
  16. 65'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Warren O'Hora
    HEA
  17. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Blair Spittal · assist Sabah Kerjota
    HEA
  18. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Stephen Kingsley · assist Jamie McCart
    HEA
  19. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marc Leonard
    HEA
  20. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joe Newell
    HIB
  21. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lawrence Shankland
    HEA
  22. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
    HIB
  23. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Cláudio Braga · assist Islam Chesnokov
    HEA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HIBERNIAN AVG 7.2
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.8
4.0
TOTAL SHOTS
23.0
1.0
ON TARGET
6.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
0.0
BLOCKED
9.0
POSSESSION
24.0%
POSSESSION %
76.0%
168.0
PASSES
494.0
45.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
10.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
15.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
RED CARDS
0.0
5.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HIBERNIAN 4 shots
Martin Boyle
1/3
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
0/1
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 7 shots
Marc Leonard
0/3
Blair Spittal
1/1
Michael Steinwender
1/1
Craig Halkett
1/1
Sabah Kerjota
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.52 – 1.84
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 7' 65' 86' H 0.52 A 1.84 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-1-2
3-4-1-2
3-4-1-2
1
RAPHAEL S
21
JORDAN OB
33
ROCKY BUS
5
WARREN O'
19
NICKY CAD
 6.9
22
DANIEL BA
 6.9
14
MIGUEL CH
25
FELIX PAS
 7.2
17
JAMIE MCG
47
OWEN ELDI
 7.3
10
MARTIN BO
25
ALEXANDER
19
STUART FI
 7.3
4
CRAIG HAL
 7.3
15
MICHAEL S
3
STEPHEN K
6
BENI BANI
 7.7
49
MARC LEON
23
JORDI ALT
10
CLáUDIO B
11
PIERRE LA
9
LAWRENCE
SUBSTITUTES · HIBERNIAN
28
Kai Andrews
M
12
Chris Cadden
D
15
Jack Iredale
D
77
Ante Šuto
F
11
Joe Newell
M
32
Josh Campbel...
M
27
Kanayochukwu...
D
13
Jordan Smith
G
44
Dane Scarlet...
F
COACH: David Gray
SUBSTITUTES · HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
17
Alan Forrest
F
99
Islam Chesno...
M
2
Frankie Kent
D
30
Ryan Fulton
G
5
Jamie McCart
D
16
Blair Spitta...
M
89
Alexandros K...
F
29
Sabah Kerjot...
F
74
Rogers Mato
F
COACH: Derek McInnes
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HIB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. Robertson
—
HIB MANAGER
David Gray
head coach
HEA MANAGER
Derek McInnes
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
HIB WINS
3
DRAWS
4
HEA WINS
30%
30%
40%
12 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Feb 26
Heart Of Midlothian
1 – 0
Hibernian
L
27 Dec 25
Hibernian
3 – 2
Heart Of Midlothian
W
04 Oct 25
Heart Of Midlothian
1 – 0
Hibernian
L
02 Mar 25
Hibernian
2 – 1
Heart Of Midlothian
W
26 Dec 24
Heart Of Midlothian
1 – 2
Hibernian
W
HIBERNIAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Cláudio Braga
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Lawrence Shankland
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Joe Newell
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Marc Leonard
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Stephen Kingsley
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Blair Spittal
  • 65'
    Goal · Own Goal · Warren O'Hora
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jamie McGrath
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Barlaser
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Martin Boyle
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Michael Steinwender
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pierre Landry Kaboré
  • 49'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Owen Elding
  • 48'
    Card · Red Card · Felix Passlack
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Felix Passlack
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jordi Altena
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Felix Passlack
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Stephen Kingsley
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Warren O'Hora
  • 15'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicky Cadden
  • 14'
    Card · Red Card · Raphael Sallinger
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Martin Boyle
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
HIBERNIAN WIN
2.69
37.2% implied
↑ best 2.80
DRAW
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 3.35
HEART OF MIDLOTH WIN
2.58
38.8% implied
↑ best 2.71

Market favors Heart Of Midlothian. AI projects HIBERNIAN 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HIBERNIAN 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 3.30 2.60 +33.8%
1xBet 2.68 3.15 2.62 +34.7%
888Sport 2.80 3.10 2.45 +36.3%
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.62 +35.0%
Betano 2.75 3.25 2.65 +35.6%
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.63 +35.0%
BetVictor 2.63 3.30 2.60 +34.0%
Dafabet 2.70 3.35 2.65 +35.0%
Marathonbet 2.68 3.15 2.62 +34.7%
Pinnacle 2.76 3.32 2.71 +35.8%
SBO 2.56 3.13 2.49 +32.9%
Unibet 2.75 3.25 2.45 +35.6%
William Hill 2.70 3.10 2.50 +35.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.39
2.5 O 1.96 U 1.82
3.5 O 3.39 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.71 10 bks
NO
2.03 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.17
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.