GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · HEERENVEEN 45%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT 25 APR · 16:45 LOCAL
HEERENVEEN
7TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
FORTUNA SITTARD
D L L W L
· 12TH · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 16' Ringo Meerveld ⚽ 74' Marcus Linday
GOALS
⚽ 12' Philip Brittijn
Marcus Linday
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marcus Linday
Heerenveen · 92 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 51% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.61
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.73
60%
BALL POSSESSION %
40%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
15
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
7
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Philip Brittijn · assist Dimitris Limnios
    FOR
  2. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ringo Meerveld · assist Jacob Trenskow
    HEE
  3. 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Maxence Rivera · assist Luca Oyen
    HEE
  4. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lasse Selvåg Nordås · assist Dylan Vente
    HEE
  5. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Philip Brittijn · assist Yassin Oukili
    FOR
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kaj Sierhuis · assist Paul Gladon
    FOR
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mohamed Ihattaren · assist Ivo Pinto
    FOR
  8. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marcus Linday · assist Joris Overeem
    HEE
  9. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jasper Dahlhaus · assist Kristoffer Peterson
    FOR
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ringo Meerveld · assist Luuk Brouwers
    HEE
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Iván Márquez · assist Owen Johnson
    FOR
  12. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Oliver Braude
    HEE
  13. 90'
    Card · Red Card
    Ivo Pinto
    FOR
  14. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bernt Klaverboer
    HEE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HEERENVEEN AVG 7.7
FORTUNA SITTARD AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.6
xG
0.7
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
5.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
60.0%
POSSESSION %
40.0%
545.0
PASSES
366.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
0.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HEERENVEEN 4 shots
Marcus Linday
1/2
Ringo Meerveld
1/2
FORTUNA SITTARD 3 shots
Philip Brittijn
2/2
Syb van Ottele
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.61 – 0.73
2.1 1.6 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 16' 74' 12' H 2.61 A 0.73 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
22
BERNT KLA
3
MAAS WILL
45
OLIVER BR
 7.2
19
VASILIOS
4
SAM KERST
 9.0
16
MARCUS LI
6
JORIS VAN
20
JACOB TRE
 7.3
10
RINGO MEE
7
MAXENCE R
18
LASSE NOR
1
LUUK KOOP
44
IVáN MáRQ
28
JUSTIN HU
 8.7
4
SHAWN ADE
 7.6
23
PHILIP BR
18
DIMITRIOS
8
JASPER DA
 6.9
6
SYB VAN O
52
MOHAMED I
70
LANCE DUI
9
KAJ SIERH
SUBSTITUTES · HEERENVEEN
38
Ingmar Mulde...
D
36
Nolhan Court...
M
31
Nordin Bakke...
G
30
T. Schreuder
G
28
Hristiyan Pe...
D
11
Luca Oyen
F
8
Luuk Brouwer...
M
9
Dylan Vente
F
17
Nikolai Hopl...
D
15
Mats Egbring
D
50
Eser Gürbüz
F
COACH: Robin Veldman
SUBSTITUTES · FORTUNA SITTARD
12
Ivo Pinto
D
48
Lars Van Par...
G
46
Moussa Gbemo...
M
45
Owen Johnson
F
5
Yassin Oukil...
M
38
Tristan Sche...
M
25
Niels Marten...
G
7
Kristoffer P...
F
19
Paul Gladon
F
22
Samuel Basti...
M
COACH: Danny Buijs
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Edwin Van de Graaf, Netherlands
—
HEE MANAGER
Robin Veldman
head coach
FOR MANAGER
Danny Buijs
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
HEE WINS
2
DRAWS
5
FOR WINS
30%
20%
50%
12 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Nov 25
Fortuna Sittard
2 – 0
Heerenveen
L
01 Feb 25
Heerenveen
2 – 2
Fortuna Sittard
D
02 Nov 24
Fortuna Sittard
3 – 0
Heerenveen
L
03 Feb 24
Fortuna Sittard
3 – 3
Heerenveen
D
25 Nov 23
Heerenveen
3 – 0
Fortuna Sittard
W
HEERENVEEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W W
FORTUNA SITTARD LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
HEERENVEEN #7
Won · already at 47 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
FORTUNA SITTARD #12
Lost · already at 36 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 25 2 4 +49 77
W W W L L
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 +23 58
W D D D W
3 NEC Nijmegen 31 15 10 6 +24 55
D D W D W
4 Ajax 31 14 12 5 +22 54
W W L D W
5 Twente 31 14 12 5 +19 54
D W W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 7 10 +7 49
D W W L W
7 Heerenveen 31 13 8 10 +4 47
W L W D W
8 Utrecht 31 12 8 11 +8 44
L W L W W
9 Groningen 31 12 6 13 +3 42
L D W W D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 -17 42
L L D W L
11 GO Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 +5 37
D D W L W
12 Fortuna Sittard 31 10 6 15 -12 36
L D L L W
13 PEC Zwolle 31 8 10 13 -25 34
L D L W D
14 Excelsior 31 8 7 16 -15 31
W D L D L
15 FC Volendam 31 8 7 16 -17 31
W L D L L
16 Telstar 31 7 9 15 -10 30
W L L W L
17 NAC Breda 31 5 10 16 -23 25
L D D L L
18 Heracles 31 5 4 22 -45 19
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Bernt Klaverboer
    Delay of game
  • 90'
    Card · Red Card · Ivo Pinto
    Serious foul
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Oliver Braude
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Iván Márquez
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ringo Meerveld
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jasper Dahlhaus
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marcus Linday
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mohamed Ihattaren
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kaj Sierhuis
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Philip Brittijn
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lasse Selvåg Nordås
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Maxence Rivera
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ringo Meerveld
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Philip Brittijn
22 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 22 BOOKMAKERS
HEERENVEEN WIN
1.47
68% implied
↑ best 1.53
DRAW
4.61
21.7% implied
↑ best 5.34
FORTUNA SITTARD WIN
5.73
17.5% implied
↑ best 6.35

Market favors Heerenveen. AI projects HEERENVEEN 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HEERENVEEN 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.44 4.85 5.90 +10.1%
10Bet 1.47 4.65 5.70 +9.5%
1xbet 1.47 5.34 6.11 +10.6%
1xBet 1.47 5.04 6.07 +10.5%
888Sport 1.44 4.75 5.50 +8.8%
888Sport 1.44 4.50 5.00 +7.0%
Bet365 1.48 5.00 5.75 +9.6%
Betano 1.52 5.10 5.90 +10.1%
Betfair 1.53 4.20 5.50 +8.8%
Betfair 1.44 4.75 5.50 +8.8%
Betsson 1.49 4.10 5.35 +8.3%
BetVictor 1.45 5.00 6.00 +10.3%
bwin 1.53 3.80 5.00 +7.0%
Cashpoint 1.47 4.03 5.59 +9.1%
CloudBet 1.50 4.00 6.35 +11.3%
Coral 1.48 5.00 5.75 +9.6%
Dafabet 1.46 5.20 6.00 +10.3%
Dafabet 1.51 5.00 5.60 +9.1%
HKJC 1.35 4.75 5.50 +8.8%
Interwetten 1.45 5.00 5.75 +9.6%
Ladbrokes 1.48 4.80 5.75 +9.6%
MansionBet 1.49 4.05 6.20 +10.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.58
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.04
3.5 O 1.94 U 1.84
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.47 16 bks
NO
2.50 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.20
Away -0.5 2.57
Away -0.75 2.39
Away -1 2.12
Away -1.25 1.88
Away -1.5 1.68
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.