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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PARMA 48%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · FRI, 14 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
PARMA
LAST 5:
W L L L W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
CATANIA
D D W D D
· LAST 5
⚽ 19' Simone Lontani ⚽ 35' Simone Lontani
GOALS
Simone Lontani
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Simone Lontani
Parma · 77 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 14% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
6
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
3
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simone Lontani
    PAR
  2. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alessandro Quaini
    CAT
  3. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simone Lontani · assist El Bilal Touré
    PAR
  4. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Simone Leonardi
    CAT
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Andrea Corbari · assist Michael Liguori
    CAT
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Daniele Donnarumma · assist Alessandro Raimo
    CAT
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alessandro Quaini · assist Francesco Di Tacchio
    CAT
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Simone Leonardi · assist Salvatore Caturano
    CAT
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Abdou-Salam Konate · assist Mandela Keita
    PAR
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Adrián Bernabé · assist Oliver Sørensen
    PAR
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    El Bilal Touré · assist Matija Frigan
    PAR
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Simone Lontani · assist O. Diallo
    PAR
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Andrea Allegretto · assist Marco Perrotta
    CAT
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sascha Britschgi · assist Franco Carboni
    PAR
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Franco Carboni
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARMA AVG 7.6
CATANIA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
339.0
PASSES
626.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARMA 4 shots
Simone Lontani
3/3
Enrico Delprato
1/1
CATANIA 2 shots
Mario Ierardi
0/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
40
EDOARDO C
 7.5
14
EMANUELE
39
ALESSANDR
37
MARIANO T
 7.0
15
ENRICO DE
 7.3
47
ABDOU-SAL
32
CHRISTIAN
10
ADRIáN BE
 8.5
76
SIMONE LO
 7.6
19
EL BILAL
27
SASCHA BR
 7.2
22
FILIPPO R
20
DANIELE D
6
ANDREA AL
 6.7
68
MARIO IER
2
GABRIELE
8
KALEB JIM
 7.5
16
ALESSANDR
30
ANDREA CO
 7.0
10
EMANUELE
77
SIMONE LE
7
GIOVANNI
SUBSTITUTES · PARMA
5
Lautaro Vale...
D
80
Rachid Kouda
M
29
Franco Carbo...
D
11
Pontus Almqv...
F
21
Aymen Zouin
F
3
Abdoulaye Nd...
D
72
Dominik Drob...
D
30
Giovanni Daf...
G
75
Alessandro M...
G
20
Matija Friga...
F
24
Oliver Søren...
M
16
Mandela Keit...
M
7
Ousmane Dial...
F
COACH: Carlos Cuesta
SUBSTITUTES · CATANIA
70
Nicolò Catan...
F
23
Gabriel Lune...
M
5
Marco Perrot...
D
57
Andrea Dini
G
9
Salvatore Ca...
F
14
Francesco Di...
M
21
Michael Ligu...
F
19
Alessandro R...
D
11
Alex Rolfini
F
COACH: Domenico Toscano
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before kick-off
PAR MANAGER
Carlos Cuesta
head coach
CAT MANAGER
Domenico Toscano
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
PAR WINS
4
DRAWS
3
CAT WINS
12.5%
50%
37.5%
8 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
09 Feb 2014
Parma
0 – 0
Catania
D
22 Sep 2013
Catania
0 – 0
Parma
D
24 Feb 2013
Parma
1 – 2
Catania
L
07 Oct 2012
Catania
2 – 0
Parma
L
28 Jan 2012
Catania
1 – 1
Parma
D
PARMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
CATANIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W D D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Franco Carboni
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sascha Britschgi
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Andrea Allegretto
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Simone Lontani
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · El Bilal Touré
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Adrián Bernabé
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Abdou-Salam Konate
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Simone Leonardi
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alessandro Quaini
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Daniele Donnarumma
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Andrea Corbari
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Simone Leonardi
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simone Lontani
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alessandro Quaini
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simone Lontani
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARMA WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.43
DRAW
4.60
21.7% implied
↑ best 5.35
CATANIA WIN
7.88
12.7% implied
↑ best 8.52

Market favors Parma. AI projects PARMA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARMA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.38 4.35 8.50 +12.2%
1xBet 1.38 4.45 8.00 +11.5%
Bet365 1.42 4.33 7.50 +10.7%
Betano 1.40 4.35 7.80 +11.2%
Betfair 1.36 4.60 8.50 +12.2%
BetVictor 1.36 4.40 7.50 +10.7%
Dafabet 1.43 4.70 7.80 +11.2%
Marathonbet 1.37 4.45 8.00 +11.5%
Pinnacle 1.35 5.35 8.52 +12.3%
SBO 1.27 4.57 7.24 +10.2%
Superbet 1.30 5.15 8.10 +11.7%
Unibet 1.38 4.80 7.50 +10.7%
William Hill 1.36 4.33 7.50 +10.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.78
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.01
3.5 O 2.90 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.02 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.65
Away -0.5 3.11
Away -0.75 2.60
Away -1 2.25
Away -1.25 1.94
Away -1.5 1.72
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.