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Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 18:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
FC SION
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
FC NOAH
⚽ 53' Winsley Boteli Mokango ⚽ 63' Baltazar
GOALS
⚽ 25' Hélder Ferreira
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 32/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 1
FC
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS FC SION TO WIN 38%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 38%
DRAW 38%
FC WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Very limited data at 1' with goalless start; home slight edge but highly uncertain — treat as weak baseline.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC SION FAVORED
38%
Match just begun (1'); no meaningful momentum or xG signals yet
+25.0%
Sion home form W vs Noah away form DL gives marginal home edge
+20.0%
Season stats unavailable; H2H shows 0-0 + 2-2 draw pattern (low-scoring tendency)
+15.0%
WHY FC NOAH CHALLENGED
24%
Match just begun (1'); no meaningful momentum or xG signals yet
+25.0%
Sion home form W vs Noah away form DL gives marginal home edge
+20.0%
Season stats unavailable; H2H shows 0-0 + 2-2 draw pattern (low-scoring tendency)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match just begun (1'); no meaningful momentum or xG signals yet
  • Sion home form W vs Noah away form DL gives marginal home edge
  • Season stats unavailable; H2H shows 0-0 + 2-2 draw pattern (low-scoring tendency)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 25' HéLDER FE ⚽ 53' WINSLEY BO ⚽ 63' BALTAZAR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.13
38.0%
2.63
+56.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.35
62.0%
1.61
+45.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.27
24.0%
4.17
+26.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.13
76.0%
1.32
-14.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
48.0%
2.08
-18.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.19
62.0%
1.61
-26.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
42.0%
2.38
-31.2%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
38.0%
2.63
-41.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.