GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ILVES 38%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
ILVES
LAST 5:
L W L W D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HNK RIJEKA
W W W D L
· 16TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 64' Stanislav Baranov
GOALS
⚽ 70' Justas Lasickas
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sebastian Suvanne · assist Stanislav Baranov
    ILV
  2. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Stanislav Baranov · assist Teemu Hytönen
    ILV
  3. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yiandro Raap · assist Y. Sacko
    ILV
  4. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Justas Lasickas · assist Ante Majstorović
    HNK
  5. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Justas Lasickas · assist Amer Gojak
    HNK
  6. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Anton Popovitch · assist Hamidou Coulibaly
    ILV
  7. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ville Kumpu · assist Abdoul Goudouss Bamba
    ILV
  8. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Teemu Hytönen · assist Roope Riski
    ILV
  9. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jakov Puljić · assist Ivan Ćubelić
    HNK
  10. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mladen Devetak
    HNK
  11. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Adu-Adjei · assist Ante Matej Jurić
    HNK
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
1.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
12
FARIS KRK
3
MATIAS RA
24
VILLE KUM
5
SAULI VäI
4
OLIVER PE
6
YIANDRO R
14
ANTON POP
22
OSKARI MU
25
SEBASTIAN
9
TEEMU HYT
30
JARDELL K
99
ALEKSA TO
34
MLADEN DE
5
ALFONSO B
45
ANTE MAJS
22
ANTE OREč
6
BRANKO PA
26
TIAGO DAN
4
NIKO JANK
21
JAKOV PUL
23
JUSTAS LA
18
DANIEL AD
SUBSTITUTES · ILVES
15
Lauri Ala-My...
M
28
Jesse Kilo
M
11
Hamidou Coul...
F
10
Roope Riski
F
13
Kalle Walliu...
M
8
Maksim Stjop...
M
19
Abdoul Goudo...
D
16
Tatu Miettun...
D
1
Otso Virtane...
G
33
Yacouba Sack...
M
17
Stanislav Ba...
M
45
Elias Tammin...
F
COACH: Joni Lehtonen
SUBSTITUTES · HNK RIJEKA
11
Gabriel Ruka...
M
14
Amer Gojak
M
15
Goran Grulov...
F
37
Cherno Saho
F
10
Toni Fruk
M
8
Ivan Ćubelić
M
91
Noel Bodetić
D
51
Anel Husić
D
3
Moreno Živko...
D
13
Igor Vekič
G
1
Vito Kovač
G
77
Ante Matej J...
F
COACH: Matjaz Kek
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ILV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HNK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Genc Nuza, Kosovo
—
ILV MANAGER
Joni Lehtonen
head coach
HNK MANAGER
Matjaz Kek
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ILV WINS
1
DRAWS
0
HNK WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
06 Aug 2026
HNK Rijeka
1 – 0
Ilves
L
ILVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
HNK RIJEKA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Adu-Adjei
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mladen Devetak
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jakov Puljić
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Teemu Hytönen
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ville Kumpu
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Anton Popovitch
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Justas Lasickas
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Justas Lasickas
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yiandro Raap
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Stanislav Baranov
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sebastian Suvanne
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ILVES WIN
4.32
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.87
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.55
HNK RIJEKA WIN
1.80
55.6% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors HNK Rijeka. AI projects ILVES 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ILVES 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.00 3.40 1.82 +13.0%
1xBet 4.87 3.54 1.80 +17.5%
Bet365 4.00 3.40 1.83 +13.0%
Betano 4.30 3.50 1.82 +14.7%
Betfair 4.60 3.30 1.73 +16.3%
BetVictor 4.20 3.40 1.83 +14.2%
Dafabet 4.30 3.40 1.84 +14.7%
Marathonbet 4.70 3.42 1.74 +16.7%
Pinnacle 4.32 3.49 1.79 +14.9%
SBO 3.62 3.01 1.85 +10.4%
Superbet 4.50 3.55 1.76 +15.8%
Unibet 4.60 3.55 1.72 +16.3%
William Hill 4.20 3.30 1.83 +14.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.34 U 3.03
2.5 O 2.08 U 1.70
3.5 O 3.67 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.91 10 bks
NO
1.79 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.22
Away -0.5 1.19
Away -0.75 1.08
Away -1 1.04
Away -1.5 1.03
Away +0 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.