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Europa League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
EGNATIA RROGOZHINë
FT
5 – 1
FULL TIME
SHAMROCK ROVERS
⚽ 4' D. Adjessa ⚽ 11' A. Albanese ⚽ 20' I. Gruda ⚽ 38' D. Adjessa ⚽ 58' A. Albanese
GOALS
⚽ 74' G. Burke
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
EGN
1 – 1
SHA
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS EGNATIA RROGOZHINë TO WIN 38%
FT 5 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
EGN WIN 38%
DRAW 32%
SHA WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 1' with 0-0; Egnatia home form weak (DW) vs Rovers' poor away record (LL) — expect tight, low-data early prediction.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY EGNATIA RROGOZHINë FAVORED
38%
Only 1 minute played — live state minimally informative; rely on form/history
+25.0%
Egnatia home form inconsistent (DW); Rovers away form poor (LL) but recent overall form stronger (WWLWL)
+20.0%
H2H shows recent Rovers 3-1 win (away) but today 0-0 after 1' — early scoreline volatile
+15.0%
WHY SHAMROCK ROVERS CHALLENGED
30%
Only 1 minute played — live state minimally informative; rely on form/history
+25.0%
Egnatia home form inconsistent (DW); Rovers away form poor (LL) but recent overall form stronger (WWLWL)
+20.0%
H2H shows recent Rovers 3-1 win (away) but today 0-0 after 1' — early scoreline volatile
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 1 minute played — live state minimally informative; rely on form/history
  • Egnatia home form inconsistent (DW); Rovers away form poor (LL) but recent overall form stronger (WWLWL)
  • H2H shows recent Rovers 3-1 win (away) but today 0-0 after 1' — early scoreline volatile
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 4' D. ADJESSA ⚽ 11' A. ALBANES ⚽ 20' I. GRUDA ⚽ 38' D. ADJESSA ⚽ 58' A. ALBANES ⚽ 74' G. BURKE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.9
13.5
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.1%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 61.3% · rest 38.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.47
32.0%
3.13
+11.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.69
62.0%
1.61
+4.7%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.16
30.0%
3.33
-5.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
70.0%
1.43
-7.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
54.0%
1.85
-12.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
68.0%
1.47
-13.6%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
48.0%
2.08
-16.1%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
38.0%
2.63
-19.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.