AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SPARTA PRAHA 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 04 AUG · 18:00 LOCAL
SPARTA PRAHA
LAST 5:
L L L L
FT
2 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LYON
L L W W W
· LAST 5
⚽ 63' Matěj Ryneš ⚽ 69' John Mercado
GOALS
⚽ 45' Martin Suchomel (OG) ⚽ 67' Corentin Tolisso (P)
Asger Sørensen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Asger Sørensen
Sparta Praha · Captain · 91 mins
· 90% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
6
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 20'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Jonatan Braut Brunes
    SPA
  2. 45'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Martin Suchomel
    LYO
  3. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Matěj Ryneš · assist Andy Irving
    SPA
  4. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adam Karabec
    SPA
  5. 67'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Corentin Tolisso · assist Corentin Tolisso
    LYO
  6. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    John Mercado · assist Matěj Ryneš
    SPA
  7. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Andy Irving · assist Santiago Eneme
    SPA
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mohamed Ouédraogo · assist Ernest Nuamah
    LYO
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mathys de Carvalho · assist Malick Fofana
    LYO
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Josimar Alcócer · assist Lukáš Haraslín
    SPA
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Adam Karabec · assist Hugo Sochurek
    SPA
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jonatan Braut Brunes · assist Ebrima Singhateh
    SPA
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    John Mercado · assist Garang Kuol
    SPA
  14. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matěj Ryneš
    SPA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPARTA PRAHA AVG 7.4
LYON AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
442.0
PASSES
403.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
9.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPARTA PRAHA 5 shots
John Mercado
1/3
Asger Sørensen
1/1
Matěj Ryneš
1/1
LYON 3 shots
Ernest Nuamah
1/2
Loïs Openda
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 71%
29% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
4
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
SUBSTITUTES · SPARTA PRAHA
22
Lukáš Harasl...
M
24
Dominik Holl...
M
27
Ebrima Singh...
M
29
Matyáš Vojta
F
38
Hugo Sochure...
M
21
Joao Grimald...
F
5
Santiago Ene...
M
3
Pavel Kadeřá...
D
30
Jaroslav Zel...
D
15
Viktor Vitál...
D
47
Krisztián He...
G
36
Garang Kuol
M
COACH: Brian Priske
SUBSTITUTES · LYON
99
Noah Nartey
M
7
Ernest Nuama...
F
24
Julien Duran...
F
26
Kaïl Boudach...
F
11
Malick Fofan...
F
5
Orel Mangala
M
85
Noham Kamara
D
37
Steeve Kango
D
40
Rémy Descamp...
G
30
Yvann Konan
G
45
Rémi Himbert
F
COACH: Paulo Fonseca
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LYO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
SPA MANAGER
Brian Priske
head coach
LYO MANAGER
Paulo Fonseca
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SPA WINS
0
DRAWS
2
LYO WINS
100%
3 7
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
5.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
SPARTA PRAHA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L
LYON LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Matěj Ryneš
    Roughing
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · John Mercado
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jonatan Braut Brunes
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Adam Karabec
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Josimar Alcócer
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mathys de Carvalho
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mohamed Ouédraogo
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Andy Irving
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · John Mercado
  • 67'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Corentin Tolisso
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adam Karabec
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Matěj Ryneš
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Goal · Own Goal · Martin Suchomel
  • 20'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Jonatan Braut Brunes
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SPARTA PRAHA WIN
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.70
DRAW
3.55
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.70
LYON WIN
2.02
49.5% implied
↑ best 2.19

Market favors Lyon. AI projects SPARTA PRAHA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPARTA PRAHA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.40 3.70 1.97 +8.6%
1xBet 3.62 3.60 2.05 +10.4%
888Sport 3.25 3.50 2.00 +7.2%
Bet365 3.20 3.50 2.00 +6.8%
Betano 3.70 3.55 2.00 +11.0%
Betfair 3.25 3.40 1.95 +7.2%
BetVictor 3.40 3.70 2.05 +8.6%
Dafabet 3.25 3.60 2.19 +7.2%
Marathonbet 3.65 3.64 2.07 +10.6%
Pinnacle 3.32 3.56 2.07 +7.9%
SBO 3.25 3.28 1.93 +7.2%
Superbet 3.45 3.65 2.05 +9.0%
Unibet 3.45 3.65 1.98 +9.0%
William Hill 3.25 3.40 2.00 +7.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.08
2.5 O 1.70 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.72 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 11 bks
NO
2.22 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.38
Away -0.5 1.32
Away -0.75 1.20
Away -1 1.09
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.