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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ARGENTINA 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 100%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · QUARTER-FINALS · SUN, 12 JUL · 01:00 LOCAL
ARGENTINA
1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
AET
3 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 1-0
SWITZERLAND
D W W W D
· 1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' A. Mac Allister ⚽ 112' J. Álvarez ⚽ 120+1' Lautaro Martínez
GOALS
⚽ 67' Dan Ndoye
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Argentina · Captain · 124 mins
🅰 1 assist · 59% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.96
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.53
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
11
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Mac Allister · assist L. Messi
    ARG
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Breel Embolo
    SWI
  3. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dan Ndoye · assist Ricardo Rodríguez
    SWI
  4. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Breel Embolo
    SWI
  5. 72'
    Card · Red Card
    Breel Embolo
    SWI
  6. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicolás Tagliafico · assist N. González
    ARG
  7. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. De Paul · assist Lautaro Martínez
    ARG
  8. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    N. Molina · assist Gonzalo Montiel
    ARG
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Djibril Sow · assist S. Widmer
    SWI
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dan Ndoye · assist Z. Amdouni
    SWI
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fabian Rieder · assist M. Muheim
    SWI
  12. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ricardo Rodríguez · assist Eray Cömert
    SWI
  13. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Fernández · assist T. Almada
    ARG
  14. 96'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Denis Zakaria · assist Ardon Jashari
    SWI
  15. 97'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Almada
    ARG
  16. 98'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lautaro Martínez
    ARG
  17. 106'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    C. Romero · assist Nicolás Otamendi
    ARG
  18. 110'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    L. Paredes · assist J. López
    ARG
  19. 112'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Álvarez · assist J. López
    ARG
  20. 114'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. López
    ARG
  21. 115'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Remo Freuler · assist Rubén Vargas
    SWI
  22. 120'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lautaro Martínez
    ARG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARGENTINA AVG 7.8
SWITZERLAND AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
0.5
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
7.0
ON TARGET
5.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
7.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
680.0
PASSES
474.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
18.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARGENTINA 10 shots
A. Mac Allister
1/3
T. Almada
2/3
L. Messi
1/2
J. Álvarez
1/2
SWITZERLAND 5 shots
Granit Xhaka
1/3
Dan Ndoye
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.96 – 0.53
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 10' 112' 120' 67' H 1.96 A 0.53 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-3-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-3-2
4-2-3-1
23
E. MARTíN
3
NICOLáS T
6
LISANDRO
13
C. ROMERO
26
N. MOLINA
 7.3
5
L. PAREDE
 7.7
20
A. MAC AL
24
E. FERNáN
7
R. DE PAU
 7.7
9
J. ÁLVARE
 8.9
10
L. MESSI
 6.6
1
GREGOR KO
 7.3
13
RICARDO R
5
MANUEL AK
4
NICO ELVE
6
DENIS ZAK
 7.5
10
GRANIT XH
 6.6
8
REMO FREU
 7.2
11
DAN NDOYE
22
FABIAN RI
15
DJIBRIL S
7
BREEL EMB
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINA
14
E. Palacios
M
15
N. González
F
16
T. Almada
M
17
G. Simeone
F
18
N. Paz
F
21
J. López
F
11
Giovani Lo C...
M
8
V. Barco
M
25
F. Medina
D
19
Nicolás Otam...
D
4
Gonzalo Mont...
D
2
M. Senesi
D
12
G. Rulli
G
1
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Mart...
F
COACH: Lionel Scaloni
SUBSTITUTES · SWITZERLAND
20
Michel Aebis...
M
16
Christian Fa...
M
17
Rubén Vargas
M
19
Noah Okafor
F
23
Z. Amdouni
F
14
Ardon Jashar...
M
3
S. Widmer
D
2
M. Muheim
D
25
Luca Jaquez
D
24
Aurèle Amend...
D
18
Eray Cömert
D
21
M. Keller
G
12
Yvon Mvogo
G
26
C. Itten
F
COACH: Murat Yakin
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SWI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
—
ARG MANAGER
Lionel Scaloni
head coach
SWI MANAGER
Murat Yakin
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
ARG WINS
0
DRAWS
0
SWI WINS
100%
1 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
01 Jul 2014
Argentina
1 – 0
Switzerland
W
ARGENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
SWITZERLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
ARGENTINA #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
SWITZERLAND #1
Lost · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lautaro Martínez
  • 115'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Remo Freuler
  • 114'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. López
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 112'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Álvarez
  • 110'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · L. Paredes
  • 106'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · C. Romero
  • 98'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lautaro Martínez
    Tripping
  • 97'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Almada
    Holding
  • 96'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Denis Zakaria
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Fernández
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ricardo Rodríguez
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fabian Rieder
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dan Ndoye
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Djibril Sow
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · N. Molina
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. De Paul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicolás Tagliafico
  • 72'
    Card · Red Card · Breel Embolo
    Diving
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Breel Embolo
    Diving
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dan Ndoye
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Breel Embolo
    Roughing
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Mac Allister
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ARGENTINA WIN
1.71
58.5% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.48
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.65
SWITZERLAND WIN
5.66
17.7% implied
↑ best 6.08

Market favors Argentina. AI projects ARGENTINA 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.70 3.40 5.40 +10.6%
1xBet 1.76 3.57 6.04 +12.0%
888Sport 1.67 3.30 5.00 +9.7%
Bet365 1.67 3.50 6.00 +11.4%
Betano 1.78 3.55 5.50 +11.8%
Betfair 1.70 3.40 6.00 +10.6%
BetVictor 1.67 3.40 5.75 +10.6%
Dafabet 1.73 3.60 5.40 +12.2%
Marathonbet 1.69 3.48 5.95 +11.3%
Pinnacle 1.72 3.57 6.08 +12.0%
SBO 1.71 3.53 5.40 +11.7%
Superbet 1.72 3.65 5.40 +12.6%
Unibet 1.71 3.40 5.80 +10.6%
William Hill 1.70 3.30 5.50 +9.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.87
2.5 O 2.25 U 1.65
3.5 O 4.09 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.09 11 bks
NO
1.69 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.69
Away -0.5 2.16
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.61
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.