GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 3 · SUN, 23 AUG · 14:30 LOCAL
GUIMARAES
9TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NACIONAL
W D W L L
· 14TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Gustavo Silva ⚽ 49' Samu (P)
GOALS
Gustavo Silva
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gustavo Silva
Guimaraes · 76 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.84
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.38
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
5
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gustavo Silva · assist Miguel Nogueira
    GUI
  2. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gonçalo Nogueira
    GUI
  3. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Miguel Nogueira
    GUI
  4. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    GUI
  5. 49'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Samu · assist Samu
    GUI
  6. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Wesley Gasolina · assist Daniel De la Cruz
    NAC
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miguel Baeza · assist Williams Kokolo
    NAC
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lohann Doucet · assist Beni Mukendi
    GUI
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miguel Nogueira · assist Oumar Camara
    GUI
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Liziero · assist Stavros Gavriel
    NAC
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gonçalo Nogueira · assist Matija Mitrović
    GUI
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gustavo Silva · assist Telmo Arcanjo
    GUI
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Markus Jensen · assist Allen Obando
    NAC
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matheus Dias · assist Matchoi Djaló
    NAC
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Júnior
    NAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GUIMARAES AVG 7.2
NACIONAL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.8
xG
0.4
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
5.0
ON TARGET
0.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
341.0
PASSES
343.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GUIMARAES 9 shots
Gustavo Silva
3/5
Miguel Nogueira
0/2
Tony Strata
1/2
NACIONAL 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.84 – 0.38
2.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.8 0.0 HT 4' 49' H 2.84 A 0.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
48
OLIWIER Z
13
JOãO MEND
28
THIAGO BA
 7.2
4
ÓSCAR RIV
 7.2
23
TONY STRA
 6.9
8
GONçALO N
44
LOHANN DO
 7.6
11
GUSTAVO S
20
SAMU
 7.2
17
MIGUEL NO
24
ALIOUNE N
 7.2
1
RENATO MA
 7.0
38
ZE VITOR
6
MATHEUS D
 7.2
34
LéO SANTO
7
MARKUS JE
22
FILIPE SO
28
LIZIERO
52
WESLEY GA
 7.3
10
DANIEL Jú
 7.0
8
MIGUEL BA
99
PABLO MES
SUBSTITUTES · GUIMARAES
18
Telmo Arcanj...
M
6
Matija Mitro...
M
16
Beni Mukendi
M
7
Oumar Camara
F
56
Santi Verdi
M
2
Miguel Maga
D
5
Franck Ahmed...
D
82
Francisco Di...
D
22
Juan Castill...
G
98
Lucas Furtad...
G
29
Patrick Ouot...
F
COACH: Tiago Margarido
SUBSTITUTES · NACIONAL
88
Deivison Sou...
M
23
Mateus Jose...
M
2
Daniel De la...
D
11
Stavros Gavr...
M
20
Matchoi Djal...
M
33
Francisco Go...
D
21
Williams Kok...
D
13
João Gonçalv...
G
9
Allen Obando
F
COACH: Giao Joao
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GUI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
—
GUI MANAGER
Tiago Margarido
head coach
NAC MANAGER
Giao Joao
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
GUI WINS
2
DRAWS
3
NAC WINS
50%
20%
30%
15 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 May 2026
Nacional
2 – 0
Guimaraes
L
02 Jan 2026
Guimaraes
2 – 1
Nacional
W
03 May 2025
Nacional
1 – 2
Guimaraes
W
23 Dec 2024
Guimaraes
2 – 2
Nacional
D
26 Apr 2021
Nacional
1 – 0
Guimaraes
L
GUIMARAES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
NACIONAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
GUIMARAES #9
Won · already at 42 pts
NACIONAL #14
Lost · already at 34 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Júnior
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matheus Dias
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Markus Jensen
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gustavo Silva
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gonçalo Nogueira
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Liziero
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miguel Nogueira
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lohann Doucet
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miguel Baeza
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Wesley Gasolina
  • 49'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Samu
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Miguel Nogueira
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gonçalo Nogueira
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gustavo Silva
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
GUIMARAES WIN
1.67
59.9% implied
↑ best 1.73
DRAW
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 3.95
NACIONAL WIN
5.04
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.50
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 1.73 3.95 4.99
888Sport 1.67 3.70 4.80
Bet365 1.67 3.60 5.25
Betano 1.70 3.90 5.50
Betfair 1.62 3.75 5.00
BetVictor 1.62 3.70 4.80
Dafabet 1.68 3.90 5.40
Marathonbet 1.67 3.80 4.80
Pinnacle 1.68 3.95 5.29
SBO 1.65 3.50 4.64
Superbet 1.67 3.80 5.15
Unibet 1.68 3.75 5.10
William Hill 1.67 3.70 4.80

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.51
2.5 O 1.90 U 1.88
3.5 O 3.22 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.87 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.64
Away -0.5 2.21
Away -0.75 1.94
Away -1 1.66
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.39
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.