GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · FAMALICAO 42%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SUN, 16 AUG · 19:30 LOCAL
FAMALICAO
5TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
MARITIMO
W L L D L
· LAST 5
⚽ 8' Finn van Breemen
GOALS
⚽ 21' Simo Bouzaidi ⚽ 90+4' Maurice Boakye
Finn van Breemen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Finn van Breemen
Famalicao · 92 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 97% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.54
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.61
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Finn van Breemen · assist Óscar Aranda
    FAM
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simo Bouzaidi
    MAR
  3. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adrián Butzke
    MAR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paulo Moreira · assist Pedro Santos
    FAM
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Óscar Aranda · assist Gil Dias
    FAM
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pedro Bondo · assist Leny Meyer
    FAM
  7. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Finn van Breemen
    FAM
  8. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Igor Julião
    MAR
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Adrián Butzke · assist Samuel Bamba
    MAR
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Martín Tejón · assist Maurice Boakye
    MAR
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Georgios Koutsias · assist Umar Abubakar
    FAM
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Simo Bouzaidi · assist Tomás Tavares
    MAR
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sorriso · assist Romeo Beney
    FAM
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Vladan Danilović · assist Gábor Szalai
    MAR
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rodrigo Andrade · assist Israel Ayuma
    MAR
  16. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maurice Boakye
    MAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FAMALICAO AVG 7.3
MARITIMO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.6
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
608.0
PASSES
299.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FAMALICAO 2 shots
Finn van Breemen
1/1
Tom Van De Looi
0/1
MARITIMO 5 shots
Martín Tejón
1/2
Adrián Butzke
0/2
Simo Bouzaidi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.54 – 1.61
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 8' 21' 90' H 0.54 A 1.61 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
25
LAZAR CAR
28
PEDRO BON
 8.2
4
FINN VAN
 7.3
3
LéO REALP
17
RODRIGO P
 7.3
14
MATHIAS D
 6.9
6
TOM VAN D
11
ÓSCAR ARA
19
PAULO MOR
7
SORRISO
70
GEORGIOS
13
ALFONSO P
23
PAULO HEN
 6.9
44
ROMAIN CO
4
RAFAEL FE
2
IGOR JULI
14
RAPHAEL G
6
RODRIGO A
 6.7
18
VLADAN DA
 7.0
10
MARTíN TE
 6.9
17
ADRIáN BU
 7.2
11
SIMO BOUZ
SUBSTITUTES · FAMALICAO
8
Marcos Peña
M
21
Tamás Szűcs
M
91
Rudi Almeida
F
9
Umar Abubaka...
F
10
Pedro Santos
F
23
Gil Dias
F
2
Gustavo Garc...
D
30
Vojin Serafi...
D
36
Matheus Matt...
D
5
Leny Meyer
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
18
Romeo Beney
F
COACH: Carlos Carvalhal
SUBSTITUTES · MARITIMO
90
Maurice Boak...
F
15
Tomás Tavare...
D
35
Bryan Limbom...
F
66
Israel Ayuma
M
68
Nelio Batist...
M
16
Francisco Si...
M
22
Gábor Szalai
D
30
Francisco Vi...
G
1
Gonçalo Tabu...
G
27
Samuel Bamba
F
COACH: Mitchell van der Gaag
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
—
FAM MANAGER
Carlos Carvalhal
head coach
MAR MANAGER
Mitchell van der Gaag
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
FAM WINS
4
DRAWS
0
MAR WINS
50%
50%
14 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.63
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
22 Apr 2023
Famalicao
3 – 2
Maritimo
W
06 Nov 2022
Maritimo
0 – 0
Famalicao
D
20 Feb 2022
Maritimo
0 – 1
Famalicao
W
18 Sep 2021
Famalicao
0 – 0
Maritimo
D
21 Mar 2021
Maritimo
0 – 4
Famalicao
W
FAMALICAO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D W
MARITIMO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maurice Boakye
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rodrigo Andrade
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Vladan Danilović
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sorriso
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Simo Bouzaidi
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Georgios Koutsias
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Martín Tejón
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Adrián Butzke
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Igor Julião
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Finn van Breemen
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pedro Bondo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Óscar Aranda
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paulo Moreira
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adrián Butzke
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simo Bouzaidi
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Finn van Breemen
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FAMALICAO WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.82
DRAW
3.50
28.6% implied
↑ best 3.64
MARITIMO WIN
4.85
20.6% implied
↑ best 5.25

Market favors Famalicao. AI projects FAMALICAO 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAMALICAO 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.74 3.50 4.80 +5.2%
1xBet 1.79 3.64 5.03 +6.1%
888Sport 1.75 3.40 4.75 +4.9%
Bet365 1.73 3.50 5.00 +6.0%
Betano 1.78 3.55 4.90 +5.6%
Betfair 1.73 3.50 5.00 +6.0%
BetVictor 1.70 3.40 4.75 +4.9%
Dafabet 1.77 3.60 5.00 +6.0%
Marathonbet 1.73 3.50 4.85 +5.4%
Pinnacle 1.77 3.58 5.25 +7.0%
SBO 1.72 3.48 4.61 +4.3%
Unibet 1.82 3.50 4.30 +3.4%
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.75 +4.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 2.98
2.5 O 2.12 U 1.70
3.5 O 3.76 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.97 10 bks
NO
1.76 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.51
Away -0.5 2.08
Away -0.75 1.83
Away -1 1.57
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.