GOALSENSE
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Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 14:30 LOCAL
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MARITIMO
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
CASA PIA
⚽ 61' Raphael Guzzo
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MAR
1 – 0
CAS
most likely scoreline · 16.3% probability
AI PICKS MARITIMO TO WIN 45%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
MAR WIN 45%
DRAW 32%
CAS WIN 23%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 77% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 77% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless at 30' with minimal data; slight home lean but treat as weak signal only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MARITIMO FAVORED
45%
Maritimo home advantage baseline only — 0-0 scoreline at 30' offers no momentum signal
+15.0%
WHY CASA PIA CHALLENGED
23%
Casa Pia away form poor (DWLLL) supports home edge
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • No season stats, no pre-match odds, no H2H context — data severely limited
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 61' RAPHAEL GU
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.1
4.9
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.3
13.2
5.4
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
8.9
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.3%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.1%
2 — 0 8.9%
Top 5 = 65.5% · rest 34.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.19
32.0%
3.13
+2.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
77.0%
1.30
+1.3%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
45.0%
2.22
-1.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
68.0%
1.47
-10.4%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
55.0%
1.82
-10.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
38.0%
2.63
-16.1%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.36
23.0%
4.35
-22.7%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.90
28.0%
3.57
-46.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.