GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · SPORTING CP 76% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 19:30 LOCAL
ESTRELA
15TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L L L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SPORTING CP
W W W D D
· 2ND · 82 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 72' Leandro Antonetti ⚽ 84' Bénito
GOALS
⚽ 46' Rodrigo Zalazar ⚽ 59' Fotis Ioannidis
Rodrigo Zalazar
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Zalazar
Sporting CP · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 21% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.01
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.63
44%
BALL POSSESSION %
56%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
15
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rodrigo Zalazar · assist Geny Catamo
    SPO
  2. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eddy Doué
    EST
  3. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fotis Ioannidis · assist Rodrigo Zalazar
    SPO
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fotis Ioannidis · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Flávio Gonçalves · assist Silas Andersen
    SPO
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Santiago Serra · assist Robinho
    EST
  7. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  8. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leandro Antonetti · assist Ianis Stoica
    EST
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ianis Stoica · assist Bénito
    EST
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Max Scholze · assist Jefferson Encada
    EST
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Georgios Vagiannidis · assist Iván Fresneda
    SPO
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Geny Catamo · assist Luís Guilherme
    SPO
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Issa Doumbia · assist Jesse Derry
    SPO
  14. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bénito · assist Robinho
    EST
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leandro Antonetti · assist Sydney van Hooijdonk
    EST
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Abraham Marcus · assist Alisson Souza de Jesus
    EST
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bénito
    EST
  18. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jesse Derry
    SPO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTRELA AVG 7.4
SPORTING CP AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
2.6
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
4.0
ON TARGET
8.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
44.0%
POSSESSION %
56.0%
348.0
PASSES
444.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTRELA 2 shots
Leandro Antonetti
1/1
Bénito
1/1
SPORTING CP 5 shots
Flávio Gonçalves
2/3
Rodrigo Zalazar
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.01 – 2.63
2.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 72' 84' 46' 59' H 1.01 A 2.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.5
24
LéO LINCK
55
RAFA SOAR
4
BERNARDO
 7.0
30
LUAN PATR
21
MAX SCHOL
39
EDDY DOUé
78
SANTIAGO
10
IANIS STO
14
LOVRO ZVO
99
ABRAHAM M
 8.3
37
LEANDRO A
1
RUI SILVA
 6.9
50
RODRIGO D
25
GONçALO I
 8.5
72
EDUARDO Q
13
GEORGIOS
77
ISSA DOUM
 7.3
5
SERGI ALT
 7.2
58
FLáVIO GO
 9.2
17
RODRIGO Z
10
GENY CATA
7
FOTIS IOA
SUBSTITUTES · ESTRELA
71
Emerson Pedr...
M
93
Bénito
M
80
Alisson Souz...
F
9
Sydney van H...
F
28
Tom Moustier
M
8
Robinho
M
79
Atanas Chern...
D
3
Lucas Mincar...
D
17
Jefferson En...
D
51
Diogo Pinto
G
22
David Grilo
G
72
Henrique Pon...
F
COACH: Pepa
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
4
Silas Anders...
M
21
Pedro Lima
M
28
Jesse Derry
F
9
Rafael Nel
F
31
Luís Guilher...
F
73
Eduardo Feli...
M
26
Ousmane Diom...
D
22
Iván Fresned...
D
41
Diego Callai
G
12
João Virgíni...
G
97
Luis Javier...
F
COACH: Rui Borges
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
—
EST MANAGER
Pepa
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EST WINS
0
DRAWS
7
SPO WINS
100%
5 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.86
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
11 Apr 2026
Estrela
0 – 1
Sporting CP
L
30 Nov 2025
Sporting CP
4 – 0
Estrela
L
29 Mar 2025
Estrela
0 – 3
Sporting CP
L
01 Nov 2024
Sporting CP
5 – 1
Estrela
L
29 Mar 2024
Estrela
1 – 2
Sporting CP
L
ESTRELA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L L
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
ESTRELA #15
Lost · already at 30 pts
SPORTING CP #2
Lost · already at 82 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Jesse Derry
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Bénito
    Holding
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Abraham Marcus
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leandro Antonetti
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bénito
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Issa Doumbia
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Geny Catamo
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Georgios Vagiannidis
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Max Scholze
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ianis Stoica
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leandro Antonetti
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Javier Suárez
    Roughing
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Santiago Serra
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Flávio Gonçalves
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fotis Ioannidis
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fotis Ioannidis
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eddy Doué
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rodrigo Zalazar
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ESTRELA WIN
10.63
9.4% implied
↑ best 13.00
DRAW
5.85
17.1% implied
↑ best 6.79
SPORTING CP WIN
1.25
80% implied
↑ best 1.30

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 76% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 76% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 10.00 5.75 1.25 -1.4%
1xBet 11.60 6.79 1.25 +1.3%
888Sport 10.00 5.75 1.25 -1.4%
Bet365 11.00 5.50 1.27 -1.1%
Betano 13.00 5.70 1.30 +0.3%
Betfair 11.00 6.00 1.22 -0.7%
BetVictor 10.50 5.50 1.22 -1.5%
Dafabet 11.00 6.00 1.28 -0.7%
Marathonbet 10.50 6.10 1.23 -0.4%
Pinnacle 11.81 6.36 1.24 +0.3%
SBO 8.87 5.42 1.21 -2.5%
Superbet 10.00 6.00 1.26 -0.7%
Unibet 9.50 5.25 1.29 -1.5%
William Hill 10.00 5.80 1.25 -1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.60 U 2.26
3.5 O 2.51 U 1.50
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.08 11 bks
NO
1.68 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.5 1.05
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.25 1.13
Away +0.5 1.25
Away +0.75 1.27
Away +1 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.